Yeah I wouldn't be surprised if Tomodachi gives the Switch one last 10 million plus seller.

Once again, people can laugh all they want but their first party social sim/farm games are hella popular with their demographic.

Also, first console to likely surpass the 20M bar in its first market year !

Come on Switch 1 !!!!

Yeah there's still another 2 months and 4 days from the 30th of March til Switch 2's first birthday, so it may yet reach 21 million in it's first 12 months which would be a hell of an achievement.

Switch 2 Hardware

Switch 2 Hardware Q4: 2.49m
Regional Split Q4: Japan 0.88m, Americas 0.75m, Europe 0.30m, Other 0.56m

Switch 2 Hardware Total: 19.86m
Regional Split Total: Japan 5.66m, Americas 6.73m, Europe 4.40m, Other 3.06m

Global Shipment History (millions)

Switch 2 Software

Switch 2 Software Q4: 10.78m
Regional Split Q4: Japan 4.01m, Americas 3.38m, Europe 2.19m, Other 1.21m
Tie Ratio Q4: 4.33

Switch 2 Software Total: 48.71m
Regional Split Total: Japan 13.17m, Americas 17.48m, Europe 12.37m, Other 5.70m
Tie Ratio Total: 2.45

Global Shipment History (millions)

Switch Hardware

Switch Hardware Q4: 0.55m
Regional Split Q4: Japan 200k, Americas 160k, Europe 120k, Other 80k
Model Variants Q4: Standard 170k, Lite 150k, Oled 240k

Switch Hardware Total: 155.92m
Regional Split Total: Japan 38.34m, Americas 59.61m, Europe 40.03m, Other 17.94m
Model Variants Total: Standard 97.61m, Lite 26.41m, Oled 31.90m

Global Shipment History (millions)

Switch Software

Switch Software Q4: 27.98m
Regional Split Q4: Japan 5.76m, Americas 11.68m, Europe 7.00m, Other 3.53m
Tie Ratio Q4: 50.87

Switch Software Total: 1528.14m
Regional Split Total: Japan 302.01m, Americas 662.19m, Europe 443.87m, Other 120.07m
Tie Ratio Total: 9.80

Global Shipment History (millions)

Switch Software Top 10

Total sales followed by the previous total then sales added to the total in Q4

• Mario Kart 8 Deluxe: 71.08m (70.59m) + 490k
• Animal Crossing New Horizons: 49.91m (49.32m) + 590k
• Super Smash Bros Ultimate: 37.76m (37.44m) + 320k
• Legend of Zelda Breath of the Wild: 33.84m (33.64m) + 200k
• Super Mario Odyssey: 30.50m (30.27m) + 230k
• Pokémon Scarlet/Violet: 28.28m (28.08m) + 200k
• Pokémon Sword/Shield: 27.16m (27.08m) + 80k
• Legend of Zelda Tears of the Kingdom: 22.56m (22.40m) + 160k
• Super Mario Party: 21.32m (21.28m) + 40k
• New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe: 18.96m (18.80m) + 160k

Other

• Nintendo Switch Sports: 18.32m (17.84m) + 480k
• Super Mario Bros. Wonder: 17.44m (17.15m) + 290k
• Super Mario Party Jamboree: 9.96m (9.41m) + 550k
• Pokemon Legends ZA: 8.85m (8.41m) + 440k
• Super Mario Galaxy 2: 2.76m (2.42m) + 340k
• Super Mario Galaxy: 2.60m (2.28m) + 320k

Switch 2

• Mario Kart World: 14.70m (14.03m) + 670k
• Donkey Kong Bonanza: 4.52m (4.25m) + 270k
• Pokemon Legends ZA: 3.94m (3.89m) + 50k
• Pokemon Pokopia: 2.41m New! (Excluding Japan)
• Kirby Air Riders: 1.87m (1.76m) + 110k

Huge sales for Pokemon Fired Red/Leaf Green

I believe counterintuivily the controversy about it being overpriced or not really helped it

It gave the release too many headlines and online discourse to what would be an otherwise low-key and uneventful release that could just pass outside of the radar of main audiences

Still no numbers for Metroid 4?

Mario Tennis Fever apparently did not cross 1 milj.

Could be the reason Nintendo changing their pricing somewhat in places (digital cheaper)

Good quarter for Nintendo. Reaching just under 20m for the Switch 2 in its first fiscal year and first 10 months is an incredible start. It's gonna notably slow down going forward thanks to stuff like the upcoming price increase but it should continue selling well and they've already reached enough of an install base that thanks to the Switch 2 they're set for a good while.

For the Switch 1 they failed to reach the revised down forecast and are increasing its price in Japan soon which will tank its sales in the last major region it's still doing decently so that's truly the end of any last hopes of it reaching 160m. The 2m forecast is a little higher than I expected but it's very possible they miss it and 2m wouldn't be enough since after March next year shipments of the Switch will be very low. The DS shipped a bit more than 2m from April 2012 till March 2013 but shipped basically nothing afterwards. It'll still get to 158m though which is amazing.

I'm actually more surprised at people being surprised at the success, Tomodachi did 6m+ on 3DS the sim genre have been one of Nintendo's best performing genre for a while.