xMetroid said:
If they didn't reduce the price on Black friday and for the upcoming holiday season, i doubt they will just randomly cut the price in June. And at this point, does a price cut unless it's really significant, hold that much power ? Not really. It's also not a move you do when you have a new system on the way, you will slow down production and will let the rest get off the shelves naturally. As for the rumours, Nate has made himself trustworthy with the amount of stuff he called right. He isn't just some random guy, he clearly works closely with Nintendo or with people close to Nintendo to know some of their scheduling. I would be VERY surprised if it doesn't come in fall next year. Even not based on him, Switch is on it's way out right now and you can tell by the sales that have been tracking down for several years and could dip around 10-12 millions next year, Nintendo usually don't wait till the system sells 4 millions to drop their next console. Also the games that are coming out, clearly studios have moved their work for the next console since last year and no other big game is on production for Switch since Tears. They won't position themselves by having B/C tiers games if the successor is 2 years away.... Even if they release games on it, there is a difference when the successor is on the market. The PS4 barely sold and wasn't really on the market even if it had all their major first party releases. They can utilize the Switch installbase without it selling still. |
Thank you, someone has some decent logic. Though I do think a price reduction on Switch, once NG comes out, will help the Switch get off the shelves to make room for the NG.
And I agree Nate is very trustworthy, just because they are rumors doesnt mean they are lies.
The Switch line up isnt that great next year, and is looking to be slim pickings out of the new content. Meaning, like you said, the studios are done with the Switch.
EPD1 consists of Big 3rd party developers: Monolith Soft, HAL Labs, GameFreak, and Intelligent Systems. They all made their games rather recently within the this year.
EPD2 consists of Small 3rd Part developers to make Mario-related spin-offs: Ubisoft, NDCube, Sega, Bandai Namco. The only developer to have made a game recently (this means within the last year) is Ubisoft with Mario Rabbids 2 DLC. Are we not gonna get a Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games from Sega? And Smash Bros releases once per console.
EPD3 is the Legend of Zelda.
EPD4 is the Experimental Group, games like: Nintendo Switch Sports, Brain Age, Game Builder Garage, 1-2 Switch (and the sequel). Maybe we could get Switch Sports DLC for Wuhu Island, but thats a stretch.
EPD5 has been Animal Crossing and Splatoon.
EPD6 is International Developers & small Japanese developers: Next Level Games, Retro Studios, Grezzo. One day we will get Metroid Prime 4.
EPD7 is Metroid, WarioWare, and Rhythm based games.
EPD8 is 3D Mario.
EPD9 is Mario Kart, and Nintendogs.
EPD10 is 2D Mario and Pikmin.
EPD11 is Smart Device Apps.
All of those mentioned have done the following: made a game within the year (2022-2023), made DLC within the year, or are no longer making games (EPD11 with the dissolving of all the apps like Fire Emblem, Dragalia, Mario Kart Tour). The only developers that could make a game for the Switch maybe would be Sega with Mario & Sonic, EPD4, Retro Studios with Metroid prime 4, a Rhythm Heaven, and Nintendogs.
The developers are looking to the future, the Switch is old-school now.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)
PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)
Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)
"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.