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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu sales: Week 47, 2021 - (15th Nov - 21st Nov)

Wow Switch down from last year even though Pokemon launched and last year basically had no holiday title. That's crazy. Either demand has dropped off lately or just supply constraints. I assume there was some supply issues given that Sony only managed 4k PS5s again. I guess most systems are probably going to the US for black friday this week.

Seems like Sony didn't ship any PS4s at all this week.

So is this Pokemon's first week bigger than Sw/Sh?? That's crazy. Didn't expect that! How much did Sw/Sh sell first week?



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Slownenberg said:

Wow Switch down from last year even though Pokemon launched and last year basically had no holiday title. That's crazy. Either demand has dropped off lately or just supply constraints. I assume there was some supply issues given that Sony only managed 4k PS5s again. I guess most systems are probably going to the US for black friday this week.

Seems like Sony didn't ship any PS4s at all this week.

So is this Pokemon's first week bigger than Sw/Sh?? That's crazy. Didn't expect that! How much did Sw/Sh sell first week?

01./00. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15} (¥5.980) - 1.364.544 / NEW <60-80%>



SKMBlake said:

So weird to see the Switch still below the 3DS in Japan despite overselling it completely in global.

I really wonder if it will manage to reach DS levels. 2 stuff:
- the DS pretty much died in its 5th year (reaching 29 million in 5 years and 3 million in the coming 3 years after that)
- the Switch seems to have a longer run, so another year at 5+ million should do the trick

Launch aligned as of these numbers:

ConsoleTotal SalesWeek 247 Sales
Nintendo DS27,483,77565,313
Nintendo Switch22,026,770167,778
Nintendo 3DS19,387,50428,593

Nintendo DS Week 247 = August 23rd 2009
Nintendo 3DS Week 247 = November 15th 2015
Nintendo Switch Week 247 = November 21st 2021

So Switch is currently 5.4m units behind DS. It will be very tough to recover that ground, but not impossible. It did gain 0.1m back this week though have to bare in mind the comparison is pokemon launch week in November to some random August week for DS lol.

It really comes down to how much switch sales drops next year, and when the successor launches. There's no doubt Switch 2022 will be a lot better than DS 2010 and the gap will be closing continually but I'm not convinced it will be able to close it completely before it is replaced.



3DS outsold PS4 this week.

Obviously some more OLED model stock. I thought that the Pokémon bundles were with the regular model or Switch Lite.



Animal Crossing inching closer to 7 million physically, a holiday bump might get it there by the end of the year.



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Blood_Tears said:

Not surprised at the low PS5 stock at all. The chip shortage is one thing but Sony is likely shipping everything over to US/Europe for Black Friday sales this week.

But that paltry amount is outright disrespectful, surely shipping an extra 10k this week to Japan isn't going to hurt their Black friday sales in the west very much.



Pokemon had the second strongest launch in the region for Switch I imagine with digital it's already pass 2m.



Zippy6 said:
SKMBlake said:

So weird to see the Switch still below the 3DS in Japan despite overselling it completely in global.

I really wonder if it will manage to reach DS levels. 2 stuff:
- the DS pretty much died in its 5th year (reaching 29 million in 5 years and 3 million in the coming 3 years after that)
- the Switch seems to have a longer run, so another year at 5+ million should do the trick

Launch aligned as of these numbers:

ConsoleTotal SalesWeek 247 Sales
Nintendo DS27,483,77565,313
Nintendo Switch22,026,770167,778
Nintendo 3DS19,387,50428,593

Nintendo DS Week 247 = August 23rd 2009
Nintendo 3DS Week 247 = November 15th 2015
Nintendo Switch Week 247 = November 21st 2021

So Switch is currently 5.4m units behind DS. It will be very tough to recover that ground, but not impossible. It did gain 0.1m back this week though have to bare in mind the comparison is pokemon launch week in November to some random August week for DS lol.

It really comes down to how much switch sales drops next year, and when the successor launches. There's no doubt Switch 2022 will be a lot better than DS 2010 and the gap will be closing continually but I'm not convinced it will be able to close it completely before it is replaced.

Switch will catch and beat DS eventually, this console has legs like no other Nintendo console before it.



It is looking increasingly likely that 2021 sales will just fall short of 2020 perhaps finishing at around 5.8m. This is to be expected since globally 2021 will also be behind 2020, still another huge year though.

Last edited by ShadowLink93 - on 25 November 2021

2021 now needs to beat 2020's remaining weeks by an average of 30k per week. That's still not impossible, but the underlying question remains the amount of supply that Nintendo will allocate to Japan. Up till now, the holiday quarter is down by ~60k year over year. At the end of it, it needs to be up by ~90k. That is within the range of the expected global hardware shipments this holiday quarter.

Week2020 Weekly2020 Cumulative2021 Weekly2021 CumulativeDifference WeeklyDifference Cumulative
1284.827284.827312.121312.12127.29427.294
2116.301401.128167.596479.71751.29578.589
396.458497.586170.691650.40874.233152.822
467.987565.573110.811761.21942.824195.646
575.922641.495114.170875.38938.248233.894
6100.961741.45688.485963.874-12.476222.418
780.312821.948109.6151.073.48929.303251.541
841.490863.25874.2981.147.78732.808284.529
953.098916.35678.0491.225.83624.951309.480
1050.585967.94189.8271.315.66339.242347.722
1157.2741.025.21572.6101.388.37315.336363.158
12392.5761.417.79189.1041.477.477-303.47259.686
13282.5611.700.352267.4971.744.974-15.06444.622
14154.6401.854.992135.0761.880.050-19.56425.058
1525.3131.880.30596.2591.976.30970.94696.004
1627.8741.908.17994.0572.070.36666.183162.187
17107.1042.015.284105.8332.176.199-1.271160.915
18115.0422.130.326165.2682.341.46750.226211.141
1942.4202.172.74670.7602.412.22728.340239.481
2038.3802.211.12695.4112.507.63857.031296.512
2152.5572.263.68399.1182.606.75646.561343.073
22107.5932.371.27671.1482.677.904-36.445306.628
2368.1922.439.46897.2082.775.11229.016335.644
2455.1872.494.65578.3172.853.42923.130358.774
2578.4282.573.08375.0772.928.506-3.351355.423
2693.7992.666.88272.9513.001.457-20.848334.575
2752.2502.719.13284.4943.085.95132.244366.819
2896.8792.816.01169.2833.155.234-27.596339.223
29113.1972.929.20864.1073.219.341-49.090290.133
30125.2313.054.43969.7383.289.079-55.493234.640
3186.6053.141.04462.8653.351.944-23.740210.900
32173.3383.314.38272.7733.424.717-100.565110.335
33148.6993.463.08189.7323.514.449-58.96751.368
3470.1293.533.21072.5273.586.9762.39853.766
3578.7733.611.98363.2543.650.230-15.51938.247
3677.6113.689.59460.9423.711.172-16.66921.578
3783.9203.773.51467.1143.778.286-16.8064.772
38110.0293.883.54340.0683.818.354-69.961-65.189
3970.5423.954.08546.2973.864.651-24.245-89.434
4091.0934.045.17840.4633.905.114-50.630-140.064
41108.5754.153.753179.8514.084.96571.276-68.788
4295.8524.249.60572.9444.157.909-22.908-91.696
4364.7684.314.373108.1224.266.03143.354-48.342
4486.9854.401.35874.8034.340.834-12.182-60.524
45139.2004.540.55890.5174.431.351-48.683-109.207
46116.2674.656.82587.2674.518.618-29.000-138.207
47179.1434.835.968167.7784.686.396-11.365-149.572
48145.1784.981.146
49204.6225.185.768
50229.6985.415.466
51263.3045.678.770
52278.1735.956.943


Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

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