The cliff is already a failed prediction. The whole thing was about how the Switch, despite early success, would still fail by "falling off a cliff" during its second year. It was disarmed when the Switch doubled its sales during year two.

https://knowyourmeme.com/photos/1450719-nintendo

But apparently it still had legs!

The Cliff Bros kept kicking back the date. Like this guy in 2019 who predicted that it would fall off a cliff shortly after it topped 60 million, and could potentially fail to surpass 3DS in the comment section here:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/444613/nintendo-switch-sales-top-60-million-units-sold-worldwide/

Then Switch sales took off like a rocket ship in fall 2019 and have continued an insane sales rate for the last two years.

That basically cut the legs off "The Cliff" predictions since now we're approaching the end of the generation. Not only has the Switch not fallen off a cliff, but it's seen an abnormally long period of high sales. We're already passed the border of where we would expect end of generation declines to occur, and Switch is still riding high. In fact, it's just out of the blocks and is going to pass the 100 million line in full sprint.

All these "The cliff" predictions can do now is shout while they bleed from dismemberment.

I don't think I've seen reality slaughter a prediction this badly since the Black Knight predicted to King Arthur that "None shall pass!"

Going back through my bookmarks, I have a couple of cliff predictions noted:

December 2017 - Switch is headed for Gamecube lifetime sales https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8673203

June 2020 - Switch sales will collapse after Christmas 2020 https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9173203

Crazygamer was really a crazy gamer, I mean thinking that the Switch would eventually fail/not sell much and thinking that the Xbox One X would have huge sales, can you be more wrong ?

At around 92-93m now so it will finish at around 103m at the end of December which is not only 5m higher than what I thought it would last December but it passes the Wii and PS1, in one year NS is going to pass 7 platforms to become the fifth best selling platform of all time. This means an average sales performance next year will still have it pass the PS4 and GB to walk into the top three and given the line up next year has for it the is a good chance performance will be stronger than average.

Man. I wonder how many Switch owners are going to double dip. A better screen is a better screen, might be a big incentive.

And just like that team 2021 is in play again.

I was expecting about 750k, so outdid my expectations! The question is how well it holds into the 2nd week or if it starts heading into down YoY again for the 2020 battle.

It will dip this is probably 3-4 weekly of production if not more

Yeah there will be a big dip, just not sure how big. 500k next week? Less?

With this week 2020's lead is cut from 1.54m to 1.21m, but the next few weeks in 2020 leading up to black friday the switch sold 520k, 490k, 518k, 599k, 617k, 747k.

So while the lead was cut a lot this week it might start to widen again and this progress could be all but lost by the time BF roles around.

Going to be an interesting race anyway.

I think "double-dipping" is a strategy Nintendo, Sony and Microsoft are doing since a long time. Whether it be a slim model, a bigger harddrive or more power, they know that early adopters are mostly hardcore gamers and they likely will buy an improved console down the line. The worldwide console market is and always will be limited, simply as console gaming is a luxury hobby. All the poor and 3rd word will play shitty games for free on their phones. So, if you can't enter the poor's market, you must fined away to make the current owners to double-dip.