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Forums - Sales Discussion - Switch OLED Boosts Switch Sales to Over 860,000 - Global Hardware Oct 2 to 9

Impressive showing; I thought the chip crunch would prevent them hitting a number quite this high.

It would seem for all the internet hate, plenty of folks are still quite happy with the Switch's power level and see the OLED as a worthwhile purchase.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

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The Switch's sales here exceeded my expectations. I wonder if the Switch OLED will end up being more popular than the Switch Lite or if it's more front-loaded.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

From what I am seeing supply is really limited for the OLED in the second week, but even so I would expect sales to remain higher than they were in September.



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Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

SKMBlake said:
siebensus4 said:

Very convincing numbers for a 4.5 year old console. Next year should be pretty healthy with the already announced titles like Zelda BOTW 2, Splatoon 3, Kirby, Mario & Rabbids. The numbers in the next weeks should not fall below 350k, maybe even 400k.

It's not really about the console being 4.5 years old, but mostly that it sold more than 90 million by this point, so we could've expect to be close to saturation.

And yeah, next week numbers should be very high too, the OLED is nowhere to be found

thats only if the market doesn't grow



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curl-6 said:

Impressive showing; I thought the chip crunch would prevent them hitting a number quite this high.

It would seem for all the internet hate, plenty of folks are still quite happy with the Switch's power level and see the OLED as a worthwhile purchase.

Internet hate very rarely translates to floppage in the real world, especially when it comes to Nintendo (I'm sure the new shitty $30 more expensive expansion of their online service will be highly successful).



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Wman1996 said:

The Switch's sales here exceeded my expectations. I wonder if the Switch OLED will end up being more popular than the Switch Lite or if it's more front-loaded.

The premium model being a bigger hit than the budget model would be consistent with the pattern of the base model outselling the Lite for the past two years.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 19 October 2021

Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

IcaroRibeiro said:

This will shut up cliff theorists for at least more 3 or 4 months, then they will start their cliff predictions again...

The cliff is already a failed prediction. The whole thing was about how the Switch, despite early success, would still fail by "falling off a cliff" during its second year. It was disarmed when the Switch doubled its sales during year two.

https://knowyourmeme.com/photos/1450719-nintendo

But apparently it still had legs!

The Cliff Bros kept kicking back the date. Like this guy in 2019 who predicted that it would fall off a cliff shortly after it topped 60 million, and could potentially fail to surpass 3DS in the comment section here:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/444613/nintendo-switch-sales-top-60-million-units-sold-worldwide/

Then Switch sales took off like a rocket ship in fall 2019 and have continued an insane sales rate for the last two years.

That basically cut the legs off "The Cliff" predictions since now we're approaching the end of the generation. Not only has the Switch not fallen off a cliff, but it's seen an abnormally long period of high sales. We're already passed the border of where we would expect end of generation declines to occur, and Switch is still riding high. In fact, it's just out of the blocks and is going to pass the 100 million line in full sprint.

All these "The cliff" predictions can do now is shout while they bleed from dismemberment.

I don't think I've seen reality slaughter a prediction this badly since the Black Knight predicted to King Arthur that "None shall pass!"

Last edited by Jumpin - on 19 October 2021

I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Jumpin said:
IcaroRibeiro said:

This will shut up cliff theorists for at least more 3 or 4 months, then they will start their cliff predictions again...

The cliff is already a failed prediction. The whole thing was about how the Switch, despite early success, would still fail by "falling off a cliff" during its second year. It was disarmed when the Switch doubled its sales during year two.

https://knowyourmeme.com/photos/1450719-nintendo

But apparently it still had legs!

The Cliff Bros kept kicking back the date. Like this guy in 2019 who predicted that it would fall off a cliff shortly after it topped 60 million, and could potentially fail to surpass 3DS in the comment section here:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/444613/nintendo-switch-sales-top-60-million-units-sold-worldwide/

Then Switch sales took off like a rocket ship in fall 2019 and have continued an insane sales rate for the last two years.

That basically cut the legs off "The Cliff" predictions since now we're approaching the end of the generation. Not only has the Switch not fallen off a cliff, but it's seen an abnormally long period of high sales. We're already passed the border of where we would expect end of generation declines to occur, and Switch is still riding high. In fact, it's just out of the blocks and is going to pass the 100 million line in full sprint.

All these "The cliff" predictions can do now is shout while they bleed from dismemberment.

I don't think I've seen reality slaughter a prediction this badly since the Black Knight predicted to King Arthur that "None shall pass!"

Going back through my bookmarks, I have a couple of cliff predictions noted:

December 2017 - Switch is headed for Gamecube lifetime sales https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8673203

June 2020 - Switch sales will collapse after Christmas 2020 https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9173203



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
Jumpin said:

The cliff is already a failed prediction. The whole thing was about how the Switch, despite early success, would still fail by "falling off a cliff" during its second year. It was disarmed when the Switch doubled its sales during year two.

https://knowyourmeme.com/photos/1450719-nintendo

But apparently it still had legs!

The Cliff Bros kept kicking back the date. Like this guy in 2019 who predicted that it would fall off a cliff shortly after it topped 60 million, and could potentially fail to surpass 3DS in the comment section here:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/444613/nintendo-switch-sales-top-60-million-units-sold-worldwide/

Then Switch sales took off like a rocket ship in fall 2019 and have continued an insane sales rate for the last two years.

That basically cut the legs off "The Cliff" predictions since now we're approaching the end of the generation. Not only has the Switch not fallen off a cliff, but it's seen an abnormally long period of high sales. We're already passed the border of where we would expect end of generation declines to occur, and Switch is still riding high. In fact, it's just out of the blocks and is going to pass the 100 million line in full sprint.

All these "The cliff" predictions can do now is shout while they bleed from dismemberment.

I don't think I've seen reality slaughter a prediction this badly since the Black Knight predicted to King Arthur that "None shall pass!"

Going back through my bookmarks, I have a couple of cliff predictions noted:

December 2017 - Switch is headed for Gamecube lifetime sales https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8673203

June 2020 - Switch sales will collapse after Christmas 2020 https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9173203

Crazygamer was really a crazy gamer, I mean thinking that the Switch would eventually fail/not sell much and thinking that the Xbox One X would have huge sales, can you be more wrong ?



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At around 92-93m now so it will finish at around 103m at the end of December which is not only 5m higher than what I thought it would last December but it passes the Wii and PS1, in one year NS is going to pass 7 platforms to become the fifth best selling platform of all time. This means an average sales performance next year will still have it pass the PS4 and GB to walk into the top three and given the line up next year has for it the is a good chance performance will be stronger than average.