Time to renew the thread and the poll!
Vote now!

With the new forecast by Nintendo, Switch may reach new heights. Vote who didn't till now.

Time to renew the poll! Vote now!

161 million to shut up jim ryan lies

I believe it will be in the 158-162 range, specifically, at least 160m. Hopefully around 161m or more.

I feel like this can only be achieved with a permanent price drop and aggressive bundling going into this holiday though. If they do that in September, I can see the next Q being around 2.20m, 6m for the holidays and then 2.20m for Jan-Mar (under the assumption Z-A launches there with a special edition). Those three numbers plus the 2.10m we just got put Switch at exactly 13.50m for the FY. But if there's no price drop, I can see the next Q being about 2m, holidays being about 5m and Jan-Mar probably being about 2m. That would be 11.10m for the FY.

EDIT: Just realized that I am off by 1m in my original guess with a price drop. They'd be at 12.5m, so even actually even with a price drop, I see it being very difficult for them to match their forecast.

Even if Switch doesn't reach that figure somehow, it's more profitable with and without inflation than PS2 was. Switch hasn't been sold at a loss, has an online subscription, digital games and the like. 

I'd say about 161 million is my prediction with a more pessimistic number around 155 million (barely outselling DS) and a more optimistic figure of about 168 million. 

ask me this question once March 31, 2025 comes around. Until then, NSW could crater at 154mil (once the successor releases) or it could stand strong and blast through 170mil. There is no way of telling.

Yep, I agree. There is no point in renewing the poll every three months (or every 2M quarter). Next update will be after the data for the holiday quarter.

At this point the Switch has to absolutely choke in sales to somehow fall short of the DS, even in a worst case scenario I find it extremely unlikely for it to not outsell the DS's 154M.

Outselling the PS2's 159M is still a bit more up in the air but it seems like the odds are favoring more and more towards the Switch's favor.

My expectation is around 160M at this point so could really go either way when it comes to outselling the PS2. My minimum is 154M, and my more optimistic prediction would be 168M.

Just below 168m is also my optimistic prediction. However, I do belive it will not sell below 162m.