I believe it will be in the 158-162 range, specifically, at least 160m. Hopefully around 161m or more.
I feel like this can only be achieved with a permanent price drop and aggressive bundling going into this holiday though. If they do that in September, I can see the next Q being around 2.20m, 6m for the holidays and then 2.20m for Jan-Mar (under the assumption Z-A launches there with a special edition). Those three numbers plus the 2.10m we just got put Switch at exactly 13.50m for the FY. But if there's no price drop, I can see the next Q being about 2m, holidays being about 5m and Jan-Mar probably being about 2m. That would be 11.10m for the FY.
EDIT: Just realized that I am off by 1m in my original guess with a price drop. They'd be at 12.5m, so even actually even with a price drop, I see it being very difficult for them to match their forecast.
Last edited by Torpoleon - on 03 August 2024
