Forums - Sony Discussion - Japanese analyst: PS5 could sell 200-300m in 5 to 6 years

DonFerrari said:
sales2099 said:
He should be fired when year 1 PS5 sales aren’t to his projections

Xbox guy wasn't fired when his 1 Billion prediction wasn't achieved.

Not only did they not fire him, they promoted him   He was Senior VP of Microsoft Interactive Entertainment (which was basically just Xbox at the time) when he made that insane statement about selling between 400m and 1 billion Xbox One units and 15 million more Xbox 360 units. 2 years later, they promoted him to Corporate Vice President of the Windows and Devices group (which included Windows 10, Surface, Bing, MSN, Skype, and Xbox). He actually had a pretty good stint as CVP of Windows and Devices group though, in his final year as head of the group, the group pulled in nearly $40b in revenue and over $8b in profit. He is currently head of the Modern Life, Search, and Devices group, which is in charge of all of the same stuff as his earlier role, minus Xbox, which is now in it's own division under Phil Spencer.  

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 17 October 2020

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Don't know what he's smoking, but I want some, too

shikamaru317 said:
DonFerrari said:

Xbox guy wasn't fired when his 1 Billion prediction wasn't achieved.

Not only did they not fire him, they promoted him... to Corporate Vice President of the Windows and Devices group...

Somebody needs to ask him at Investor call or board meeting:
"So, your 1 billion Xbox predicition was wrong back then, can Series SX do it this time?"
Ideally right in the middle of the rest of their financial forecasts to emphasize the bullshit factor.
"OH... ERR... 1 Billion talk was just meant for GAMING MEDIA, some kayfabe for the fanboys."

his hyping it up at least,
gotta giv credit to this fanboi

Consoles already struggle to reach the 100m mark, and this guy thinks the PS5 can double the sales of the fucking PS2...

You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

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someone tell him: esports =/= video game industry

and as the op pointed out, the biggest part of it is loyal on PC

it also depends on whether Microsoft makes Bethesda games exclusive, if yes they'll take a good portion of traditional gamers from Sony

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This guy needs a new job, ASAP. That's utterly and completely beyond ridiculous.

Exactly like for the COVID, we never keep a list of those prediction with the name of the predictor. Would be useful to frequently re-show all of them 2-3 years later.

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I've just read that he predicts a total of 700 MILLION units sold LTD for PS5, and the logic behind that number is simply illogical

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shikamaru317 said:

The eSports market has mainly moved to PC now, with the main exception being fighting games, and there certainly isn't enough of a fighting game market to move hundreds of millions of additional consoles. The chances of taking eSports gamers back from PC are slim imo.

Even if we assume that eSports move completely to PS5 (and that is a massive ask, as you said), how many additional unit sales would that make? 5 million? 10 million? Never the 80-180 million needed for this prediction. This guy not only assumes the eSports-scene moves completely to PS5 (and only talking about Xbox not PC), but also it has to grow massively.

EDIT: But at least we know which analyst recommended Atari to produce 4-5 million cartridges of E.T.

Last edited by Mnementh - on 18 October 2020

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