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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales Week 47 Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - November 19-25 2018

Miyamotoo said:

Also, crazy legs continue for Switch games:

05./03. [NSW] Super Mario Party # (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 24.450 / 370.077 (+17%)
07./07. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 11.714 / 1.847.777 (+26%)
08./09. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 10.527 / 2.709.412 (+32%)
10./10. [NSW] Minecraft # (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 9.818 / 375.166 (+32%)
11./11. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 6.883 / 1.166.281 (+11%)
13./13. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 5.309 / 1.850.991 (+33%)
17./16. [NSW] Kirby Star Allies (Nintendo) {2018.03.16} (¥5.980) - 3.996 / 646.201 (+35%)
20./18. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} (¥6.100) - 2.650 / 228.067 (+22%)

Zelda most impressive. Its going to hit 2mil in japan. Let that sink in...

 

1.16mil switch

160k+ wiiu

50k-100k digital (both sku)

 

Already at 1.37mil-1.41mil Sold at this moment. End of year itll be over 1.6mil+ in ship+digital



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tbone51 said:
Miyamotoo said:

Also, crazy legs continue for Switch games:

05./03. [NSW] Super Mario Party # (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 24.450 / 370.077 (+17%)
07./07. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 11.714 / 1.847.777 (+26%)
08./09. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 10.527 / 2.709.412 (+32%)
10./10. [NSW] Minecraft # (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 9.818 / 375.166 (+32%)
11./11. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 6.883 / 1.166.281 (+11%)
13./13. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 5.309 / 1.850.991 (+33%)
17./16. [NSW] Kirby Star Allies (Nintendo) {2018.03.16} (¥5.980) - 3.996 / 646.201 (+35%)
20./18. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} (¥6.100) - 2.650 / 228.067 (+22%)

Zelda most impressive. Its going to hit 2mil in japan. Let that sink in...

 

1.16mil switch

160k+ wiiu

50k-100k digital (both sku)

 

Already at 1.37mil-1.41mil Sold at this moment. End of year itll be over 1.6mil+ in ship+digital

Also SPLATOON is about to hit 3 mil by the end of Q4, only a handful of games in Japan are capable of hitting that number



TheBraveGallade said:
tbone51 said:

Zelda most impressive. Its going to hit 2mil in japan. Let that sink in...

 

1.16mil switch

160k+ wiiu

50k-100k digital (both sku)

 

Already at 1.37mil-1.41mil Sold at this moment. End of year itll be over 1.6mil+ in ship+digital

Also SPLATOON is about to hit 3 mil by the end of Q4, only a handful of games in Japan are capable of hitting that number

Sold thru? Its already there.

 

We got 3.08mil ship+digital end of sept ;)



Megiddo said:

Here is the week 47 update in terms of the two big consoles in Japan's path to be able to reach the commonly stated (in these sales threads) estimates for 2018 sales (2 mil for PS4, 4 mil for Switch) .

  TWS GD YTD % Goal AWN (Change)
PS4 24,364/td> -79,478 1,401,308 70.1% (+1.3) 119,738 (+15.896)
Switch 108,375 -176,735 2,397,713 59.9% (+2.7) 320,457 (+35,347)

TWS - This week's sales
GD - Goal differential, the difference between the average week needed from last week compared to this week's sales
YTD - Units sold in 2018 so far including this week's sales
AWN - Average weekly sales needed to reach the estimate for the console.

Not much to comment on other than the race to who is closest, where PS4's lead has shrunk a bit but is still well far ahead. Both consoles were near what my estimates for them would be. I doubt that holds true as time goes on since the holidays are a wacky time.

Personal Estimates


NS: 120k, 145k, 240k, 200k, 295k, 250k = 1.25m would end just above 3.5 mil for the calendar year.

PS4: 20k, 25k, 30k, 25k, 40k, 30k = 170k would end up just above 1.5 mil for the calendar year.

Also of note for people claiming stock issues for the Switch there are none for the base unit according to Chris, so stop perpetuating a lie.

This post exists to draw your attention to a formatting issue in your table. It's probably not your fault, but I'll point it out anyway.

To be exact, column "This Week's Sales," for the PS4.



 
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PortisheadBiscuit said:
pikashoe said:
I see the switch downplaying crew is out in force today.

Yup, just starting to scroll past the usual nega ducks. They're getting so boring 

Great second week for Pokemon, not flopping at all like many predicted 

Pretty much, I feel people saying this week is bad are just grasping for straws for anti nintendo stuff at this point. No matter how its spun, these are still great numbers. Just the way it is. Will it last? well I guess that depends on Nintendo keeping stock and how much of a bump it will get for the holidays. HW wise it will prob fall for next week, then pick back up near 200k for Smash Bros



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Kerotan said:
That's the 3rd worst second week drop for a Pokémon game in Japan.

Actually 75% drop in second week is in line with past Pokemon games.

https://www.resetera.com/threads/media-create-sales-week-47-2018-nov-19-nov-25.83688/page-4#post-15467673



Farsala said:
As with last week, I encourage more predictions :). "Better than expected" and "Worse than expected" gets really boring when we don't actually know what you expected.

My thoughts exactly.



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5k yen price drop for both PS4 slim models and a choice of 2 free digital games included with purchase of PS4 and PS4 pro from Dec 6 to Jan 6.

https://www.jp.playstation.com/blog/detail/7955/20181203-ps4.html?emcid=so-co-174266&utm_medium=&utm_campaign=&utm_source=&utm_term=so-co-174266&utm_content=2018_PS4_Ohbanban_Burumai

Guess Sony doesn't want to just entirely sleep in Japan.



Megiddo said:

5k yen price drop for both PS4 slim models and a choice of 2 free digital games included with purchase of PS4 and PS4 pro from Dec 6 to Jan 6.

https://www.jp.playstation.com/blog/detail/7955/20181203-ps4.html?emcid=so-co-174266&utm_medium=&utm_campaign=&utm_source=&utm_term=so-co-174266&utm_content=2018_PS4_Ohbanban_Burumai

Guess Sony doesn't want to just entirely sleep in Japan.

Should help it have a solid December, it was looking like it was going to be down alot from last year.



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