Well.. congratulations!

Lol, the 100m prediction was wild to say but definitely not for the reason you thought, the 100m prediction ended up being a major lowball

Crazy to look back at threads like this and see even the most optimistic predictions having the Switch selling almost half of what it's actually gonna end up selling, and people thinking that the Switch selling as much as 80-100M was wild. Really goes to show how damaged Nintendo's image was coming off the Wii U era and how much of a comeback Nintendo made

Right now, I'd say it finally stops around 155-160 million.
No successor this year and resilient legs will keep it ticking over til it is replaced, but after that I expect Nintendo will kill it off relatively quickly to focus on producing enough of Switch 2 and transitioning their userbase across.

I've shifted my prediction from 152M earlier in 2024 to now 156M after Nintendo had a better than expected holiday quarter and rumors pointing towards a 2025 release of Switch 2 instead of 2024, giving Switch one more critical holiday season to sell. So now I'm expecting the Switch to surpass the DS and be within striking distance of the PS2 158-159M.

At this point the absolute minimum Switch will sell lifetime is 150M, even if Switch falls off a cliff hard from here on out I find it impossible it falls short of 150M.

Why so "pessimistic/doubtful"?The minimum of 150M actually applies for end of 2024, not for lifetime. By end of March 2024 (= FY24) the Switch will be at 142M shipped (or very close to it). The Switch coming of a FY shipping more than 16M (yes, mostly likely the forecasted 15.5mil for FY24 will be surpassed) and having another holidays all for itself, it is very unlikely that it will ship less than 10M in FY25. Therefore, by end of March 2025, the Switch will be at a minimum of 152M (or very close to it). From then on out and whenever the Switch 2 will come out in 2025 (March, April, May,...), I mean, the Switch will not just stop completely to sell. Even if Nintendo "kills off" the Switch (which is very unlikely but howsoever...), an absolute bare minimum of two full years of production after Switch 2 comes out is guaranteed.

King Switch is coming for 165 million, even 170 million is possible

One million units!

As of Feb 29th the Switch is estimated at 141M shipped (personal estimate), and is at -13% from FY'23 (18.63M from FY'23, and ~16.3M from this FY) in terms of shipping.

Jan and Feb are always the lowest selling & shipping months of the FY so seeing a -9.7% YoY in Jan & -15% YoY in Feb is really solid. We should expect to see a minimum of a 15%-20% decrease in the FY'25 goal. Personally I expect around 13M for the FY'25 goal. 10M is very reasonable. I'm sticking with 13M. Bringing the Switch to a total of 155M by Mar 31 2025.

I see, you are an optimist. I personally expect 11M for FY25, however, if it goes even higher - I'm in for the party!