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I've shifted my prediction from 152M earlier in 2024 to now 156M after Nintendo had a better than expected holiday quarter and rumors pointing towards a 2025 release of Switch 2 instead of 2024, giving Switch one more critical holiday season to sell. So now I'm expecting the Switch to surpass the DS and be within striking distance of the PS2 158-159M.

At this point the absolute minimum Switch will sell lifetime is 150M, even if Switch falls off a cliff hard from here on out I find it impossible it falls short of 150M.