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Forums - Sales - Predict how long PS4 and XBox One will need to outsell WiiU - 14 weeks PS4, 52 X1

Negative 4 weeks.

One month before release, their preorders will be higher than the Wii U's lifetime sales. Maybe even earlier if the Wii U starts seeing negative weekly sales as more people return consoles rather than people buying new ones. Lot of unknown variables though.



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No less than 60 weeks.

Granted, this is subject to pricing, which hasn't been announced (heck, "NextBox" doesn't even have a name!), but my most optimistic estimates put the next-gen PS and XB at 150% of Wii U sales, which means they'd need 2 holiday seasons to make up for lost ground...and this is assuming they both launch in November.



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menx64 said:
Mnementh said:
menx64 said:
they won't. This next gen is going to be way smaller than the current gen

But if WiiU will not grow very much, this gen will shrink drastically if the others are even behind it.


And? PS3 and xbox are still selling ok, price cuts are a given before the next consoles come out, so there will be some boost there, cutting some ps4/nextbox sales.

 The PS3 was a cheap (price, not quality) blue ray player, while the xbox was the call of duty/halo house that helped both consoles on the long run. Many casual gamers bought those consoles for those reasons, for all those gamers there is no reason to justify a $400+ console when all your CoD/GTA friends are still playing the 360/ps3 versions.

WiiU is low now, probably is not going to reach the wii (it could do half of that) but then again, ps4/nextbox neither will.

That'sa bleak outlook to the current gen, I hope it will notbe that bad.



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My prediction:

PS4 - 110 weeks
Xbox - 105 weeks



1 Month... Considering It will come with good games.



 

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30 weeks



It's just that simple.

5 years.. About one year after Ninendo launches their next system and largely discountinues supporting wiiu.



Normando said:
PS4: 45 weeks
NeXtbox: 50 weeks


How many units are you expecting these guys to sell in their first year?  Wiiu should be around 14 million units by this time.



NeroPrototype said:
1 Month... Considering It will come with good games.


Not really relevant since wiiu will have more good exclusives at the time these guys launch.   So far the ps4 doesn't have any exclusives announced which will be big system sellers. Battlefield and Call of Duty will be much bigger system sellers than what Sony's first party has announced.



PS4 42 weeks

NextBox 56 weeks