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Forums - Sales - Predict how long PS4 and XBox One will need to outsell WiiU - 14 weeks PS4, 52 X1

dsgrue3 on 03 April 2013

72 weeks.



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Mad55 on 03 April 2013

Man they might not you never know how things could go. Sony and Microsoft could be eating dust by this time next year.



NintendoPie on 03 April 2013
Mnementh said:

It is a fun prediction. Surely we will all be horrible wrong.

And as a side-note: your avatar is not a cute Pokemon and not a cute (real) asian girl, I can't recognize you.

Well, I can blame my prediction on ConeGamer when we're all proved horribly wrong!

That's the idea...!



chapset on 03 April 2013

104 weeks for both



Bet reminder: I bet with Tboned51 that Splatoon won't reach the 1 million shipped mark by the end of 2015. I win if he loses and I lose if I lost.

chris_wing on 03 April 2013
VGKing said:
This is a ridiculous thread. This is just going to be pure guesswork. Look at how the Wii U sold at launch, and now look at how its selling.......no one could have predicted that. We at least need to know how many PS4s will be available at launch and you know....how much it will cost.

Gamasutra did.

http://gamasutra.com/view/news/181351/Wii_U_launch_may_outpace_Wiis_though_momentum_is_the_real_challenge.php#.UMUfguTH5Qo
Their gloomy outlook was even shooting high compared to what actually happened.



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VGKing on 03 April 2013
chris_wing said:
VGKing said:
This is a ridiculous thread. This is just going to be pure guesswork. Look at how the Wii U sold at launch, and now look at how its selling.......no one could have predicted that. We at least need to know how many PS4s will be available at launch and you know....how much it will cost.

Gamasutra did.

http://gamasutra.com/view/news/181351/Wii_U_launch_may_outpace_Wiis_though_momentum_is_the_real_challenge.php#.UMUfguTH5Qo

Well that was a vague prediction. No one predicted that post-holiday sales would fall below the Gamecube....
You know how many people would have laughed at a prediction like that?



chris_wing on 03 April 2013
VGKing said:
chris_wing said:
VGKing said:
This is a ridiculous thread. This is just going to be pure guesswork. Look at how the Wii U sold at launch, and now look at how its selling.......no one could have predicted that. We at least need to know how many PS4s will be available at launch and you know....how much it will cost.

Gamasutra did.

http://gamasutra.com/view/news/181351/Wii_U_launch_may_outpace_Wiis_though_momentum_is_the_real_challenge.php#.UMUfguTH5Qo

Well that was a vague prediction. No one predicted that post-holiday sales would fall below the Gamecube....
You know how many people would have laughed at a prediction like that?

I updated with "Their gloomy outlook was even shooting high compared to what actually happened.".  They predicted a stong holiday, we got a strong holiday (but not as strong as predicted).  They predicted a drop off in momentum, we got a drop off in momentum (but a worse drop off then predicted).



MichaelH on 03 April 2013

225



menx64 on 04 April 2013
Mnementh said:
menx64 said:
they won't. This next gen is going to be way smaller than the current gen

But if WiiU will not grow very much, this gen will shrink drastically if the others are even behind it.


And? PS3 and xbox are still selling ok, price cuts are a given before the next consoles come out, so there will be some boost there, cutting some ps4/nextbox sales.

 The PS3 was a cheap (price, not quality) blue ray player, while the xbox was the call of duty/halo house that helped both consoles on the long run. Many casual gamers bought those consoles for those reasons, for all those gamers there is no reason to justify a $400+ console when all your CoD/GTA friends are still playing the 360/ps3 versions.

WiiU is low now, probably is not going to reach the wii (it could do half of that) but then again, ps4/nextbox neither will. 



Menx64

3DS code: 1289-8222-7215

NNid: Menx064

Normando on 04 April 2013

PS4: 45 weeks
NeXtbox: 50 weeks