kowenicki said: Agreed. |
of course not...they'll announce it February with a 2013 launch. Why are people so set in their belief that PS4 will release in 2014?
kowenicki said: Agreed. |
of course not...they'll announce it February with a 2013 launch. Why are people so set in their belief that PS4 will release in 2014?
they will do fine this year. not gangbusters. but fine. and the PS3 appears to have a ton of games releasing, and xbox too.
Well I can't wait for the next Xbox and PlayStation so I'm excited either way.
theRepublic said: Here is the separated analysis everyone was asking for. I copy and pasted the exact numbers from the charts, so you will notice 2005 looks a little different because of the rounding TheSource did.
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I guess I will throw in a little of my own analysis.
If you were to graph the game purchase rate against time, it would make a rough bell curve with both consoles peaking in 2008. It is pretty amazing how far both consoles dropped in 2009, with both falling more than one game in purchase rate. It was more slow decline in 2010 and 2011, but 2012 brought another small cliff. Both fell another half game in 2012. The Xbox360 has now dropped below its launch point. The PS3 has not yet gone that low, but it is close. I would not be surprised by another 0.5 drop in purchase rate for 2013. That would put both consoles well below their rate at launch. Clearly, that would be the time for new consoles.
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Your getting all bunched up over nothing, this data DOESN'T INCLUDE DIGITAL SALES! Sony doesn't publish digital sales data, am I right? This trend ONLY illustrates how digital sales is expanding, taking the place of retail sales.
Digital is the El Dorado of this industry...mostly pomp and circumstance not much substance to it. Digital is huge for phones, and cheap games. It's quite small for downloading a a full 20 GB game, as most people don't have the capacity / bandwith / desire to do that regularly particularly outside of the wealthier areas of the US and Europe. If digital was offsetting physical declines for $60 games there wouldn't be constant rumors of imminent next Xbox and PS4 reveals and you wouldn't see constant shrinking of publisher revenue and profit as is the norm at the end of the console cycle.
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man-bear-pig said:
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Yep Sony will announce it! LOL .. I wouldnt be surprised if they did! haha incompetent company.
Gilgamesh said:
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That sounds realistic. For a second there I thought you'd do an Ethomaz and predict 20m or something
My prediction threads:
Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)
PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)
Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right
Gilgamesh said:
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It would be sub 10 million even without PS4 anouncement. The only home console selling 8 figures in 2012 is Wii U.
Wii U can easily have a 10 million lead by the time Sony and MS release their next consoles. But in the grand scheme of things that 10 million lead isn't much unless it grows by a lot oiver the following 3-4 years. Wii U ending the next gen 10 million ahead is a win but not a great win.
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