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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Halo 4 will sell 7,793,000+ in 2012

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Here are my Halo 4 weekly sales predictions for the rest of the year.

W.E. 10th Nov: 4,428,000 (4,428,000) ACTUAL: 3,798,209 (3,798,209)

W.E. 17th Nov: 713,000 (5,141,000) ACTUAL: 752,500 (4,550,709)

W.E. 24th Nov: 532,000 (5,673,000) ACTUAL: 607,817 (5,158,526)

W.E. 1st Dec: 356,000 (6,029,000) ACTUAL: 358,373 (5,516,899)

W.E. 8th Dec: 360,000 (6,389,000) ACTUAL: 395,719 (5,912,618)

W.E. 15th Dec: 403,000 (6,792,000) ACTUAL: 530,538 (6,443,550)

W.E. 22nd Dec: 480,000 (7,272,000) ACTUAL: 587,400 (7,030,950)

W.E. 29th Dec: 378,000 (7,650,000) ACTUAL: 357,019 (7,387,969)

W.E. 5th Jan: 143,000 (7,793,000) ACTUAL: 176,412 (7,520,654)

I was 272,346 off.



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No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.



Slimebeast said:
No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.


Lol...we'll see. Why do you think Halo 4 will follow different sales trends than all other popular FPS's?



Im thinking around 6.5 million, I have no stats to back it up but looking at past halos 6.5 million for 9 weeks of sale is amazing and would still be higher than reach. Plus there are alot of halos already on the 360 so even 6.5 in 9 weeks is being generous.



Slimebeast said:
No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.


Your right.



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think-man said:
Im thinking around 6.5 million, I have no stats to back it up but looking at past halos 6.5 million for 9 weeks of sale is amazing and would still be higher than reach. Plus there are alot of halos already on the 360 so even 6.5 in 9 weeks is being generous.


Past Halos were all released in September, so you can't really compare them to Halo 4. November is a completely different sales climate



man-bear-pig said:
think-man said:
Im thinking around 6.5 million, I have no stats to back it up but looking at past halos 6.5 million for 9 weeks of sale is amazing and would still be higher than reach. Plus there are alot of halos already on the 360 so even 6.5 in 9 weeks is being generous.


Past Halos were all released in September, so you can't really compare them to Halo 4. November is a completely different sales climate

Thats true but It doesn't play in its favor with COD releasing around the same time.



man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.


Lol...we'll see. Why do you think Halo 4 will follow different sales trends than all other popular FPS's?

After 9 weeks Halo Reach had sold 5.7 million.

Your first week 4.4 million is totally unrealistic (Reach had 3.7 million). After the review meltdowns even people on this site have canceled their plans to buy this game early.



Slimebeast said:
man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.


Lol...we'll see. Why do you think Halo 4 will follow different sales trends than all other popular FPS's?

After 9 weeks Halo Reach had sold 5.7 million.

Your first week 4.4 million is totally unrealistic (Reach had 3.7 million). After the review meltdowns even people on this site have canceled their plans to buy this game early.

Names of these people?



man-bear-pig said:

Here are my Halo 4 weekly sales predictions for the rest of the year. I've found them by using the percentage weekly changes of similar titles released at similar times of the year.

Week ending 10th November: 4,428,000

Week ending 17th November: 713,000

Week ending 24th November: 532,000

Week ending 1st December: 356,000

Week ending 8th December: 360,000

Week ending 15th December: 403,000

Week ending 22nd December: 480,000

Week ending 29th December: 378,000

Week ending 5th January: 143,000

2012 Total: 7,793,000

Thoughts?


Hmm i don't know i think that's a bit too much bro,i say 6 mill at least it's far more realistic in my opinion