The Wii started with a rush hitting 60 odd million in its first 3 years with 20 million sales in 2007, 2008 and 2009. It was well on pace to outsell the PS2 but the Wii lost momentum as the competition 360 and PS3 launched upgraded Slim models and lowered their price points.
The Wii U will have 12 to 18 months lead over the PS4 and the XBox 720 and it should set up a lead of around 20 million units. The Wii U price can be lowered as it enters its third year making it more attractive than the higher priced PS4 and Next Box. Wii U will be attractive to third party developers critical for long term success.
Wii U will become the fourth system to reach 100 million sales target following in the footseps of PS1, PS2 and Wii.