The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[XtremeBG]

Shtinamin_ said:

Perdón, yes the PSP sold for 7 years and 5 days (Its 8th year, 5 days into it). PSP sold worldwide in Dec 12th 2004 with the PS Vita selling worldwide in Dec 17th 2011. Does that still make the whole argument invalid?

Yes those are all the times of discontinuation.
WiiU sold a measely 1 units in 2023, I gotta give it to little guy for holding out so long :)
I was specifying that consoles sell past their discontinuation notice, consoles sell past the release of their successor. The Switch is pushing the boundaries for Nintendo on what a console can do, and they will continue to do so.

Im not counting the Wii Mini for there weren't any reliable places to quote, nor was it included in Nintendo's reports.
The Wii sold from Nov 19, 2006 and stopped selling until March 2016
160427e.pdf (nintendo.co.jp)

(I may have been using wrong lingo so i'll try to use better wording)
Thats 10 years (more specifically, 9 years and 4 months, which is its 10th year).
The Wii had a lifespan of 9 years and 4 months, its 10th year.
If we include the fact that no units were shipped in Jan-Mar '16, then the Wii lifespan was 9 years 1 month and 12 days (still in its 10th year)

The Wii ended production in Oct 24th 2013, its life cycle is 6 years and 11 moths (its 7th year). If we include the RVL-101 (non-compatible with GCN) that was discontinued on May 2014, its life cycle is now 7 years and 6 months (its 8th year).

You can say it sold for X years, when those years are full, not 7 years and 5 days = 8 years.

7 years and days or even months are still 7 years. If you have 7 years and 10/11 months then we can rounded it out to 8 Years yes, it's close enough, however for just 5 days past it's 7th year to say 8 years is just wrong.

Same goes for the 10 years of the Wii. From Nov 2006 to march 2016 those are 9 years and 4 months, far far long of 10 years. It is way more closer to 9 years than it is to 10. So you can't call 10 years of 9 years and 4 months when the argument was specifically for how many years is the trend of the consoles.

Is that making the argument invalid ? I forget about it in the first place .. What was again about ? Longevity of the consoles ? every console reaching 100M is selling for 10 years ? No, in one of my others posts I have you 4 or 5 examples of consoles selling 10 years (or almost 10) that were far from 100M. There is no correlation between the two other than the coincidence chance which is big, for a successful system to have both good sales and long life.

Different boundaries has been pushed by every 2nd system. (Different types of boundaries of course) It's not something new. Congrats for Switch. The only boundaries I see pushing is something mixed between the Sprint of DS and the marathon of the PS2. Trying to have fast huge sales like DS, and trying to continue to sell like PS2. Guess what. It fell short of both. It won't reach PS2, and it didn't reached the sprint of DS's sales. Lifetime sales of both systems won't be reached either by the System, unless Pricecut of 100$ happens or Switch successor got delayed to 2025, which I don't see hapenning.

About the original argument, the guy is right. Switch is not reaching 8 full years on the market before the successor comes. It is coming before March 2025 (Switch's 8 year anniversary). (8 years or 96 months, not 7 years and 5 days, like you are counting them)

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 15 December 2023