The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[XtremeBG]

Zippy6 said:

Now the DS is about to die pretty fast so the gap will quickly start closing. But the Switch will need stronger post-successor sales than the DS to reach 160m. Yet even now before the Switch is replaced it is selling worse than the DS in the past 12 launch aligned months when 6 of those months for the DS are after the 3DS release. 

So if Switch isn't selling more than the DS launch aligned now, while the DS has a huge disadvantage of 6-months 3ds, how is it going to sell more than the DS post-successor? Especially as the 3DS didn't get off to the best start and the Switch 2 may not have that problem.

The later release of the Switch 2 compared to the 3DS is going to greatly help the Switch in potentially reaching similar sales to the DS but I really don't see the Switch selling 12m+ after the Switch 2 launches like the DS sold 12m after the 3DS, which is probably the minimum it will need to do to reach 160m.

Currently sticking to the around 155m I said before.

I agree with you.

Also with Switch reaching around 135M with December I can't see it reaching more than 145M with the next year, and with successor in full swing by 2025 Switch will have hard time reaching even 155M in my opinion. Possibly falling somewhere at 150M or 152M, cuz I can't see the Switch selling more than 7-8M in the years of 2025 and beyond. Maybe only if Switch make some notable pricecut it may stretch to reach 155M.