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Will the Switch surpass Xbox One sales by the end of the generation ?

Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the Switch surpass Xbox One sales by the end of the generation ?

Switch sales over Xbox One's by the end of 2020 ?

Yes 88 92.63%
 
No 7 7.37%
 
Total:95
SKMBlake said:

I was reading this article: https://segmentnext.com/2018/07/31/nintendo-switch-sales-2/

And they stated that since Xbox One sales should be arround 45 millions units sold and be close to 56 millions by the end of the year, there is no chance Switch's 19,7 millions could reach Xbox One level sales.

We are here on VGChartz, which obviously doesn't have the same sales numbers at all (for Xbox One). According to VGC, Xbox One sold 38.4 millions since november 2013 while Switch sold 19.3 millions since march 2017.

 

So, do you think the Switch will surpass Xbox One sales before the launch of the Xbox Scarlett ?

The linked article is quite bogus speculation:

  • "At the moment the assumptions are that Xbox sales are laying around somewhere near 45 Million." -- Really?
  • "Now although they have sold over 19 million units, the rate of sales has slowed down quite significantly." -- That's about Switch, and are they sure?
  • "At the moment in terms of sales, we have PS4 at the top and Xbox One at the second place and Switch at third." -- This right there is absolutely bogus. There do they take that form?
  • "Just a few months back Electronic Arts in its financial conference for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year, 2018, among other things predicted Switch sales to reach about 30 million by the end of the year, while for Xbox EA predicted 56.4 million." -- I highly doubt EA subscribes to that prediction.

Overall seems much speculation. Well, now to the question at hand - it seems it is down to when MS plans to release Scarlett. If they do that end of 2019, then Switch will not have overtaken Xbox One. End of 2020 though might the Switch be close or over the XB1-number.
 



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SKMBlake said:

I was reading this article: https://segmentnext.com/2018/07/31/nintendo-switch-sales-2/

And they stated that since Xbox One sales should be arround 45 millions units sold and be close to 56 millions by the end of the year, there is no chance Switch's 19,7 millions could reach Xbox One level sales.

We are here on VGChartz, which obviously doesn't have the same sales numbers at all (for Xbox One). According to VGC, Xbox One sold 38.4 millions since november 2013 while Switch sold 19.3 millions since march 2017.

 

So, do you think the Switch will surpass Xbox One sales before the launch of the Xbox Scarlett ?

15 million units sold so far this year?  And yet they expect only 11 million more for the rest of the year?

They need to redo their numbers.



Massimus - "Trump already has democrat support."

Most likely around late next year, considering Pokémon and Smash Bros will do their thing.



zorg1000 said:
That article makes no sense, it says Xbox One was around 30 million at the end of 2017 but 45 million in mid-2018, must be a typo and mean 35 million.

No typo, they used VGC or EA numbers (the 103M PS4 + XBO at the End of 2017) for the 30M but switched to another source (probably some "analyst") which probably showed ridiculously inflated unit sales 



Considering next Xbox will use AMD64 again, backward compatibility is almost assured. If so, unless Microsoft makes really compelling reason to buy Xbox One now, it would be reasonable to assume that anyone who knows about Scarlett will not purchase Xbox One.

Switch in turn, with Nvidia's new chipsets completely abandoning mobile space in favour of DNN, probably have no option for upgrade path for while. Switch could easily surpass Xbox One's sale even in 2018 if Nintendo pushed even more aggressive sales strategy, such as cutting price down sharply - Though very unlikely.



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56m by the end of this year? what the hell they smoking?



Honestly? yes it can....



Those xbxo numbers seem way off.....



It should easily. Switch destroyed my expectations, tbh.



The best proof of X1 sales were from EA, 30 odd million.