I was reading this article: https://segmentnext.com/2018/07/31/nintendo-switch-sales-2/
And they stated that since Xbox One sales should be arround 45 millions units sold and be close to 56 millions by the end of the year, there is no chance Switch's 19,7 millions could reach Xbox One level sales.
We are here on VGChartz, which obviously doesn't have the same sales numbers at all (for Xbox One). According to VGC, Xbox One sold 38.4 millions since november 2013 while Switch sold 19.3 millions since march 2017.
So, do you think the Switch will surpass Xbox One sales before the launch of the Xbox Scarlett ?
The linked article is quite bogus speculation:
- "At the moment the assumptions are that Xbox sales are laying around somewhere near 45 Million." -- Really?
- "Now although they have sold over 19 million units, the rate of sales has slowed down quite significantly." -- That's about Switch, and are they sure?
- "At the moment in terms of sales, we have PS4 at the top and Xbox One at the second place and Switch at third." -- This right there is absolutely bogus. There do they take that form?
- "Just a few months back Electronic Arts in its financial conference for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year, 2018, among other things predicted Switch sales to reach about 30 million by the end of the year, while for Xbox EA predicted 56.4 million." -- I highly doubt EA subscribes to that prediction.
Overall seems much speculation. Well, now to the question at hand - it seems it is down to when MS plans to release Scarlett. If they do that end of 2019, then Switch will not have overtaken Xbox One. End of 2020 though might the Switch be close or over the XB1-number.