The Xbox numbers are way off because they are essentially saying that its selling 50/50 America/World which just isn't even remotely close to reality. Therefore it's hard to take his discussion of future sales seriously when his current numbers are totally fictitious. A common flaw I see among gaming articles is the idea that you can have realistic conversations based on completely backwards false information.

Yes by 2021

I expect the x1 to plummet in 2019, so end of 2019 the switch should be ahead. I mean, what reasons have MS showed for anyone to buy an xbox? They basically said when they bought all the studios that its for next gen. So expect more little titles like sea of thieves and state of decay.

Not just that article, but here as well. I believe that then increase the x1 has seen this year has been solely in the US. EU and rest of the world just dont care for the extra power of the x1x. If they ever release sales numbers, it will be over tracked here a fair bit. 

The funniest thing about this is that they are projecting the Xbox to nearly double it's current base in 1 year.  26 million in a year would be nearly 90% of the 30 million that they site for end of 2017. Or roughly a 300% jump in YoY sales... after 4 years for no reason. 

This impossible scenario leads me to believe that Switch will win simply because of the unrealistic boost we need to give Xbox even to have this conversation. 

Yes, there's no doubt about it.

yes, ive got no doubt

Yes, it should easily do so.

Well yes, it probably will.

ZhugeEX said that Xbox One was roughly 35 million by the end of 2017, and based on that I'll put them around ~38 million as of now.

My guess is Q1 2020 for the overtake.

Xbox has too far of a lead. According to top industry analysts, Switch is only on track to sell 8 million this year. If Nintendo only does this for 2.5 years, by my calcoolations, that's only 32 million Switch units sold against Xbox One's... I dunno... 50-55 million units? To be conservative!