There is a post on GAF that states the first shipment is only 1 million with another 300k being shipped shortly afterwards:
That would limit the bundle shipment to only 40k.
Edit: Here's the Japanese link:
ameblo
and here's the babel fish translation:
As for the first shipment 1,000,000 book, with sale day arrival 150,000 book, with the shipment schedule, weekend 150,000 book at amount,
When you suppose from circumstance of reservation, also the possibility of achieving the million at first week is high, is.
Of course PS3 bundled lightning edition focusing on the net with shortage of goods,
It remains even from the shop front and the little it has entered in a state where you say.
This work the being countless the method which purchases PS3 with aim, in addition SCE because of this work
The extent which can do also the how to see was finished to step on in big reduction,
It is the title which becomes a big turning important point in PS3.
Concerning contents that this the necessity to write is improbable.
Currently playing on PS3: God of War III
Currently playing on Xbox360: Final Fantasy XIII
Currently playing on NDS: Chrono Trigger