Well, it'll really depend on your playing habits considering all first party games are being released on physical carts meaning the actual footprint will be minimal on the system(just like it was on the Switch).
However, digital bros will definitely suffer rapidly from the lack of storage for a console getting third party ports with about the same file size than the competing current platform.
In itself if you make the comparison with the OG Switch, the storage situation was worse. Even first party wise, game file sizes could take more space of the console SD memory than the newer one. Third party games would take it in one fell swoop if not two at worst.
And people tend to forget, the bigger micro SD card to add storage available was also a 256GB card in 2017.
This isn't much of a different scenario to start with.
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