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Forums - Politics Discussion - 2024 US Presidential Election

Soundwave said:

Obama would demolish an 82 year old Trump in an election, especially because I don't think anything can be done about inflation.

Prices of goods will still be high in 4 years, companies have no incentive to lower them whatsoever, the money folks in the government have no incentive really to want super low inflation either, the US has massive deficits which will continue under Trump and inflation *helps*. If you have large deficits and large debt, it makes it easier to pay off as a government (maybe not so if you're a consumer and have say credit card debt, but for a government that can control their currency, high inflation is actually preferable in a debt environment). 

The only way to lower prices is to have a massive recession and that obviously isn't good for an incumbent party either.

This basically mirrors what I said earlier but that’s not what people want to hear, they want a quick and easy answer that’s going to bring prices down to what they were 5 years ago and that’s simply not happening without a major recession like you mentioned.

The Fed succeeded in bringing inflation down without causing a recession and we have seen wages outpace inflation for the last year or so and interest rates are finally starting to come down. The problem is it was too little, too late for people to feel the effects of it going into this election.

If we continue to see ~2% inflation with ~4% wage growth and a couple more interest rate cuts then people will have their purchasing power slowly but surely return to where it was and the current prices of goods won’t feel as high anymore.

That’s one aspect that is infuriating about Trump winning, if he does go through with his crazy deportation & tariff plans then he is going to crash the economy and all the work of the Biden administration will be erased and on the other hand, if he doesn’t go through with these crazy plans then he is going to take credit for the work that happened under the Biden administration of getting inflation under control and in the next few years we will start to see the benefits of the Infrastructure, CHIPs & IRA bills and he will be able to take credit for them as well.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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sc94597 said:
EnricoPallazzo said:

Seriously asking... what I Joe had NOT stepped down for Kamala? Dementia and all, he decided to stay for the fight. Or actually "they" let him stay for the fight. Do you think the result would have ben different?

Yes. It would be different. We'd be looking at a 57-43 senate and a +20 GOP house of representatives. Trump probably would have had a real landslide election in the EC.

Kamala lost in part because she didn't distance herself from Biden enough. His favorability is below 40% currently. 

He shouldn't have ran for a second term, like he said he wouldn't when campaigning for his first.

I agree, the result would have been even worse for the Democrats.

The message of the Democrats' campaign wouldn't have made it through with a less coherent candidate. Biden's economic policies have worked, but this election was one about perception vs. reality. Reality is that the USA had the best recovery from COVID, millions of new jobs were created, inflation was brought down to a normal level. But perception... ~75% of Americans believed the country is a wreck. So just like Harris didn't distance herself from Bidenomics, Biden himself wouldn't have done that either.

It's a very common sentiment that the political elite is to blame for all of a country's problems, but at some point it needs to be acknowledged that the people who vote are not without responsibility. When there's such a disparity between perception and reality, there's only so much you can do. From what I gathered, the incumbent party always loses when the American people perceive the economy as bad, because the opposing party will be the one to be recognized as bringing the change.



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Soundwave said:

The economy will either rebound or it won't, but likely it doesn't in terms of affordability. The same trends that exist today will exist in 4 years, quite probably even worse, the stock market and jobs rate is technically "very good" right now. Stock market has largely been hitting highs all through Biden's term. The economy on a technical level today is "good", the problem is average joes don't feel that way and the price of everything has gone up.

The part about inflation no one wants to talk about is you need a recession (and a really bad one) if you want prices to go down. No company is going to lower their prices because XYZ is president, they have their own shareholders to appease, so potato chips are going to stay expensive for a bag, eating at McDonalds is going to stay $15+ per person, grocery prices will remain sky high, etc. etc. Those high prices make for sweet, sweet high profit margins. 

When they say "inflation is coming down!" all that means is the rate of additional inflation is coming down, it doesn't mean the prices of things are getting cheaper, just they are increasing more slowly.

In 4 years we'll have a Democratic president again if people are still fed up by general unaffordability of things, as the incumbent party (Republicans) will then get blamed for not fixing it. Think the next Dem candidate will be Gavin Newsom as the Dems won't run another woman for a long time.

It sucks for people who would like to see a woman in that spot, but the fact is the Democrats are 3 for 3 out of the last 3 elections and overall 5 for 7 overall going back to Bill Clinton with male candidates at the top of the ticket. Those are pretty high win rates. 

Gavin Newsom is someone I could agree with under ordinary circumstances.

But the GOP and evangelical church have spent the past 50 years conditioning Southerners and Midwesterners to hate California. I'd dare say they hate California more than they hate Russia. In Oklahoma, where I have the most experience with the South, "California" is practically a profanity. I'm not kidding, either. Republicans in Oklahoma regularly say the C-word to scare voters into voting for them in their speeches, SM posts, and political ads.

The only thing Vance would have to do to beat Newsom in 2028 is flash the word "California" under Newsom's picture. I'm pretty sure that didn't help Harris, either. 



EricHiggin said:
sc94597 said:

Anyway. This is a pointless hypothetical. Fortunately we have the 22nd Amendment and the GOP probably will be finding itself in the same place when Trump can't run again that the Democratic Party found itself in when Obama couldn't. A party with an identity but without the candidate that made that identity. 

Dems had like what, 20-25 Primary candidates, all who lost to Biden, the VP, stepping in late?

Then after one term of Biden they decide a late VP Harris is the answer?

Reps have at least 4, at least, good to go for 2032, right, after, Trump. LOL.

Yes, and Biden probably won in part because he had to defend himself against those 20-25 candidates and make a viable argument for himself. Biden was abandoned because he isn't popular. 

Why are you talking about 2032? Trump's term ends in 2028. 



LegitHyperbole said:
jason1637 said:

John Cena or Stephen A Smith need to run next time on the Dem ticket. Unfortunately im being dead serious.

Idiocracy achieved. 

How else do we appeal to the 52%. Also Smith is an amazing debater. 



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zorg1000 said:
Soundwave said:

Obama would demolish an 82 year old Trump in an election, especially because I don't think anything can be done about inflation.

Prices of goods will still be high in 4 years, companies have no incentive to lower them whatsoever, the money folks in the government have no incentive really to want super low inflation either, the US has massive deficits which will continue under Trump and inflation *helps*. If you have large deficits and large debt, it makes it easier to pay off as a government (maybe not so if you're a consumer and have say credit card debt, but for a government that can control their currency, high inflation is actually preferable in a debt environment). 

The only way to lower prices is to have a massive recession and that obviously isn't good for an incumbent party either.

This basically mirrors what I said earlier but that’s not what people want to hear, they want a quick and easy answer that’s going to bring prices down to what they were 5 years ago and that’s simply not happening without a major recession like you mentioned.

The Fed succeeded in bringing inflation down without causing a recession and we have seen wages outpace inflation for the last year or so and interest rates are finally starting to come down. The problem is it was too little, too late for people to feel the effects of it going into this election.

If we continue to see ~2% inflation with ~4% wage growth and a couple more interest rate cuts then people will have their purchasing power slowly but surely return to where it was and the current prices of goods won’t feel as high anymore.

That’s one aspect that is infuriating about Trump winning, if he does go through with his crazy deportation & tariff plans then he is going to crash the economy and all the work of the Biden administration will be erased and on the other hand, if he doesn’t go through with these crazy plans then he is going to take credit for the work that happened under the Biden administration of getting inflation under control and in the next few years we will start to see the benefits of the Infrastructure, CHIPs & IRA bills and he will be able to take credit for them as well.

No politician will say it (not right or left) but the only way prices come down is with a painful and probably lengthy recession. 

If I'm running Lays Potato Chips or McDonalds or Sony or Coca-Cola or whatever I give exactly zero fucks who is president (lol), I like my post COVID fat profit margins and am not lowering the price other than some token measures here and there (like McDonalds throwing people a bone with a limited "value menu", but the fact is in generally it still costs a ton more to eat fast food today versus 5 years ago, or eat anything period). In fact, I'm looking to see if I can push the prices up even further now that interest rates are getting slashed. 

Prices of consumer goods will still be sky high one year from now, two years from now probably too, 3-4 years from now? Take a wild guess. 

Pre-2020 pricing is not coming back and wage growth is a two way street ... if salaries increase, then inflation just increases with it, causing the price of goods to go higher. 



SanAndreasX said:
Soundwave said:

The economy will either rebound or it won't, but likely it doesn't in terms of affordability. The same trends that exist today will exist in 4 years, quite probably even worse, the stock market and jobs rate is technically "very good" right now. Stock market has largely been hitting highs all through Biden's term. The economy on a technical level today is "good", the problem is average joes don't feel that way and the price of everything has gone up.

The part about inflation no one wants to talk about is you need a recession (and a really bad one) if you want prices to go down. No company is going to lower their prices because XYZ is president, they have their own shareholders to appease, so potato chips are going to stay expensive for a bag, eating at McDonalds is going to stay $15+ per person, grocery prices will remain sky high, etc. etc. Those high prices make for sweet, sweet high profit margins. 

When they say "inflation is coming down!" all that means is the rate of additional inflation is coming down, it doesn't mean the prices of things are getting cheaper, just they are increasing more slowly.

In 4 years we'll have a Democratic president again if people are still fed up by general unaffordability of things, as the incumbent party (Republicans) will then get blamed for not fixing it. Think the next Dem candidate will be Gavin Newsom as the Dems won't run another woman for a long time.

It sucks for people who would like to see a woman in that spot, but the fact is the Democrats are 3 for 3 out of the last 3 elections and overall 5 for 7 overall going back to Bill Clinton with male candidates at the top of the ticket. Those are pretty high win rates. 

Gavin Newsom is someone I could agree with under ordinary circumstances.

But the GOP and evangelical church have spent the past 50 years conditioning Southerners and Midwesterners to hate California. I'd dare say they hate California more than they hate Russia. In Oklahoma, where I have the most experience with the South, "California" is practically a profanity. I'm not kidding, either. Republicans in Oklahoma regularly say the C-word to scare voters into voting for them in their speeches, SM posts, and political ads.

The only thing Vance would have to do to beat Newsom in 2028 is flash the word "California" under Newsom's picture. I'm pretty sure that didn't help Harris, either. 

Vance has zero personality, zero charisma. Evangelicals won't decide the next election, more and more Americans are becoming less religious as time goes on. I'm sure plenty of evangelicals had a conniption fit when Obama won twice too. 

The "average" middle of the road American basically operates on the logic of "OK, you had your turn, now you get a turn" if things aren't going great when flipping back and forth between Democrats and Republicans. That's basically all there is to it. 

Last edited by Soundwave - 6 days ago

the-pi-guy said:
Chrkeller said:

Two way street.  Someone could ask for clarification instead of dogpiling with "your wrong."  Hell didn't you literally make up a best friend story in the UK call me out?  I am pretty sure that was you.  Lol.  Please.  

And funny nobody is out to get me but a mod is pulling off topic information and now is going after me on my wall...  and who are you defending?  Oh yeah, the guy pulling off topic information and going after me on my wall.

Amazing to me how you can't see your own irony.  

People did ask you for clarification multiple times. Ryuu and I both asked you multiple questions. 

"Are you sure, the correct answer wasn't something like pull over to somewhere safe? You'd need to do that before changing your tire."

Not because I assumed I was right, but because I couldn't find anything about it. 

And I didn't make up anything. 

Here's the problem. You would rather believe that I lied, over assuming that say Ryuu was the British best friend that I asked. 

My British best friend on here is Xevross. I met him about a decade ago on VGChartz. I added him on Facebook, he no longer posts here, but I still talk to him pretty much every day. 

I never accused you of lying. I told you that my best friend hasn't heard of the law you were talking about. 

If you felt that was somehow overly antagonistic, I apologize. 

I have tried to be kind to you and engage you with good faith. 

But frankly I'm sick of you bullying people, any time anyone disagrees with you or dares to question you to get clarification. 

Lol, bullying?  I have two mods up my bumper, one who fabricated a false story and another threatening attacks on my wall.  Sweet mother of pearl.  

Enjoy fellows.  I cannot make a horse drink, regardless of how much water there is.  

Last edited by Chrkeller - 6 days ago

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Chazore said:
Chrkeller said:

Two way street.  Someone could ask for clarification instead of dogpiling with "your wrong."  Hell didn't you literally make up a best friend story in the UK call me out?  I am pretty sure that was you.  Lol.  Please.  

And funny nobody is out to get me but a mod is pulling off topic information and now is going after me on my wall...  and who are you defending?  Oh yeah, the guy pulling off topic information and going after me on my wall.

Amazing to me how you can't see your own irony.  

It's no real secret that mods tend to stick up for other mods (Not saying this to be vindictive, just from an observational standpoint). I have been on this site for years and I've barely ever seen one mod to another to get them to either back down or calm down. What I have seen from my own eyes over time, is defence and dogpile approaches and that has always resulted in backlash (I've also seen this across countless forums over the decades, unless it's 4chan, where it's a mod eat mod world over there).

Now I don't like Seeing Ryuu getting the way he is, I know he's not in the right head space right now (the back and forth's are enough to tell me this), but you mods need to actually sit down and actually talk to your community, because things as they are, are starting to break up a bit here and there. 

I've had Pem at me, and now I'm seeing Ryuu at Chr, and now I'm seeing Pi just picking what side they were already a part of (moderation). This is not painting a good look. I know you're all human just like me and everyone else, but your position on this site does not give you the last say or the moral high compass. You are 100% fallible and now is not the time to act like you are not. 

Ryuu going to someone's wall is not the best course of action, it should have been done in DM's, or off-site, because that was clearly turning into a personal matter.

Ryuu I have nothing against you mate, you're a good bean, you always have been, but this is not the time to do what you are doing, this isn't solving anything.

Please, I implore ya'll to sit down and talk about it more rationally. This is my first time peeking my head into the politics board (over the past few days I mean, I've never really thought to look into it until recently), and now I realise why people get riled up outside of it against one another. I honestly believe the politics board is a mistake to have on any site, because it often brings our irrational discussions (especially that user who was acting extremely nasty a couple of days ago that deservedly got perma'd), and brews hate for one another. 

Please, can we all just sit down, play some games and chill out for the weekend and come back to this on Monday or something?. I just feel like something is reaching a boiling point and something nasty is going to happen.

(Ryuu if you need to talk to me in DM's, I'm all ears dude). 

I'm not making this post to pick any side. I'm making this post because it's clear that this board has heated some folks up in a bad way, and it's not going anywhere good. Also this will by my last post in the Pol board. I don't want to argue within it, because I've seen what that's been like on Twitter over the yrs, and even disco servers with Pol threads. 

This.  

I'm out of this thread and will stick to video game chats.  



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He's gone and innstalled a women for White House Chief of staff, first ever. What a horribly misogynistic thing to do, this man hates women to their core, he all but had to outright say it alloud.