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Forums - Sales Discussion - JAPAN Consoles Showdown 2024: May 12th

 

Will the PS5 sell more than 2M in 2024?

Yes 7 33.33%
 
No 14 66.67%
 
Total:21
XtremeBG on 31 December 2023

This is the JAPAN Console Showdown comparison thread for 2024.

It will be only for the JAPAN region, and will be the only sales thread from me, that will be updated weekly since the site is updating the worldwide numbers monthly instead of weekly.

To be able to update them weekly I will put the Famitsu numbers each week, and when VGCharts releases estimated ones, I will adjust them with those numbers, because the competitor's numbers are VGCharts estimated and not Famitsu ones, and therefore it is more fair to compare them to the numbers from the same place, and at the same time.

The battles for this year for JAPAN are as follows:

  • PlayStation 5 2024 vs Nintendo Switch 2024
  • Nintendo Switch vs NDS'10 (2.9M) vs Wii'10 (1.7M)
  • PlayStation 5 vs PS4'16 (2M) vs PSP'10 (2.9M)
  • XBOX Series vs XB360'11 (115K) vs XB360'07 (260K)

*The target for all of the comparisons is to be as close as possible (and with that to give us better perspective where the given console is going this year) and to have good chance of finishing close in the end. Therefore if some of the contenders go way far one from another then, the contender's year, or even the contender itself may change so that it suits better to the given's console performance in 2024. Other thing is also I would not repeat main competitor (on the tables) from the year before from my thread, so even if it's a good fit, I would always look for a different one, so it's always new and fresh.*

2024 PlayStation 5 vs 2024 Nintendo Switch Comparison

Week/Month '24 PS5 - Weekly '24 PS5 - Yearly '24 NSW - Weekly '24 NSW - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 41,143 41,143 104,566 104,566 +63,423 +63,423
2 36,521 77,664 46,618 151,184 +10,097 +73,520
3 57,919 135,583 43,708 194,892 -14,211 +59,309
4 49,959 185,542 46,448 241,340 -3,511 +55,798
5 34,497 220,039 41,978 283,318 +7,481 +63,279
February 40,754 260,793 49,558 332,876 +8,804 +72,083
7 38,223 299,016 48,407 381,283 +10,184 +82,267
8 33,511 332,527 50,898 432,181 +17,387 +99,654
9 48,079 380,606 62,544 494,725 +14,465 +114,119
March 39,078 419,684 65,931 560,656 +26,853 +140,972
11 26,528 446,212 42,904 603,560 +16,376 +157,348
12 27,797 474,009 60,839 664,399 +33,042 +190,390
13 20,854 494,863 57,546 721,945 +36,692 +227,082
April 24,988 519,851 71,961 793,906 +46,973 +274,055
15 20,949 540,800 71,286 865,192 +50,337 +324,392
16 21,308 562,108 64,295 929,487 +42,987 +367,379
17 28,044 590,152 59,068 988,555 +31,024 +398,403
May 21,510 611,662 41,047 1,029,602 +19,537 +417,940
19 21,518 633,180 47,064 1,076,666 +25,546 +443,486
20
21
June
23
24
25
26
July
28
29
30
August
32
33
34
35
September
37
38
39
October
41
42
43
November
45
46
47
48
December
50
51
52

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2010 Nintendo DS vs 2024 Nintendo Switch Comparison

Week/Month 10' DS - Weekly '10 DS - Yearly '24 NSW - Weekly '24 NSW - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 110,547 110,547 104,566 104,566 -5,981 -5,981
2 63,689 174,236 46,618 151,184 -17,071 -23,052
3 51,542 225,778 43,708 194,892 -7,834 -30,886
4 72,429 298,207 46,448 241,340 -25,981 -56,867
5 54,551 352,758 41,978 283,318 -12,573 -69,440
February 52,242 405,000 49,558 332,876 -2,684 -72,124
7 46,256 451,256 48,407 381,283 +2,151 -69,973
8 46,798 498,054 50,898 432,181 +4,100 -65,873
9 45,573 543,627 62,544 494,725 +16,971 -48,902
March 40,569 584,196 65,931 560,656 +25,362 -23,540
11 40,975 625,171 42,904 603,560 +1,929 -21,611
12 45,553 670,724 60,839 664,399 +15,286 -6,325
13 42,160 712,884 57,546 721,945 +15,386 +9,061
April 36,923 749,807 71,961 793,906 +35,038 +44,099
15 31,626 781,433 71,286 865,192 +39,660 +83,759
16 31,143 812,576 64,295 929,487 +33,152 +116,911
17 45,371 857,947 59,068 988,555 +13,697 +130,608
May 45,466 903,413 41,047 1,029,602 -4,419 +126,189
19 28,446 931,859 47,064 1,076,666 +18,618 +144,807
20 26,518 958,377
21 28,757 987,134
June 20,331 1,007,465
23 22,397 1,029,862
24 52,736 1,082,598
25 66,881 1,149,479
26 54,859 1,204,338
July 50,087 1,254,425
28 46,576 1,301,001
29 45,955 1,346,956
30 44,428 1,391,384
August 42,468 1,433,852
32 57,872 1,491,724
33 45,031 1,536,755
34 38,911 1,575,666
35 37,823 1,613,489
September 38,311 1,651,800
37 83,767 1,735,567
38 86,931 1,822,498
39 56,299 1,878,797
October 50,618 1,929,415
41 46,141 1,975,556
42 33,226 2,008,782
43 51,689 2,060,471
November 37,693 2,098,164
45 32,347 2,130,511
46 40,573 2,171,084
47 51,781 2,222,865
48 76,125 2,298,990
December 113,152 2,412,142
50 149,426 2,561,568
51 203,231 2,764,799
52 107,484 2,872,283

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2016 PlayStation 4 vs. 2024 PlayStation 5 Comparison

Week/Month  16'PS4 - Weekly '16 PS4 - Yearly '24 PS5 - Weekly '24 PS5 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 37,474 37,474 41,143 41,143 +3,669 +3,669
2 26,102 63,576 36,521 77,664 +10,419 +14,088
3 24,821 88,397 57,919 135,583 +33,098 +47,186
4 32,667 121,064 49,959 185,542 +17,292 +64,478
5 31,740 152,804 34,497 220,039 +2,757 +67,235
February 26,451 179,255 40,754 260,793 +14,303 +81,538
7 28,667 207,922 38,223 299,016 +9,556 +91,094
8 26,405 234,327 33,511 332,527 +7,106 +98,200
9 28,232 262,559 48,079 380,606 +19,847 +118,047
March 27,093 289,652 39,078 419,684 +11,985 +130,032
11 27,829 317,481 26,528 446,212 -1,301 +128,731
12 35,552 353,033 27,797 474,009 -7,755 +120,976
13 32,259 385,292 20,854 494,863 -11,405 +109,571
April 23,408 408,700 24,988 519,851 +1,580 +111,151
15 20,567 429,267 20,949 540,800 +382 +111,533
16 20,631 449,898 21,308 562,108 +677 +112,210
17 28,104 478,002 28,044 590,152 -60 +112,150
May 24,641 502,643 21,510 611,662 -3,131 +109,019
19 22,679 525,322 21,518 633,180 -1,161 +107,858
20 18,604 543,926
21 24,214 568,140
June 22,552 590,692
23 18,907 609,599
24 19,372 628,971
25 21,539 650,510
26 24,390 674,900
July 22,250 697,150
28 21,579 718,729
29 20,223 738,952
30 22,051 761,003
August 18,687 779,690
32 19,401 799,091
33 19,602 818,693
34 18,077 836,770
35 17,105 853,875
September 15,455 869,330
37 96,387 965,717
38 49,381 1,015,098
39 42,470 1,057,568
October 35,917 1,093,485
41 35,022 1,128,507
42 36,776 1,165,283
43 41,278 1,206,561
November 41,614 1,248,175
45 103,352 1,351,527
46 47,375 1,398,902
47 51,079 1,449,981
48 128,157 1,578,138
December 105,990 1,684,128
50 87,026 1,771,154
51 114,390 1,885,544
52 97,955 1,983,499

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2011 XBOX 360 vs. 2024 Xbox Series Comparison

Week/Month '11 XB360 - Weekly '11 XB360 - Yearly '24 XBSX - Weekly '24 XBSX - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 4,373 4,373 704 704 -3,669 -3,669
2 2,913 7,286 1,173 1,877 -1,740 -5,409
3 2,931 10,217 1,897 3,774 -1,034 -6,443
4 3,608 13,825 3,912 7,686 +304 -6,139
5 2,590 16,415 3,186 10,872 +596 -5,543
February 2,628 19,043 3,101 13,973 +473 -5,070
7 2,561 21,604 1,655 15,628 -906 -5,976
8 4,918 26,522 3,120 18,748 -1,798 -7,774
9 2,380 28,902 2,358 21,106 -22 -7,796
March 1,943 30,845 3,752 24,858 +1,809 -5,987
11 1,339 32,184 1,503 26,361 +164 -5,823
12 1,620 33,804 1,364 27,725 -256 -6,079
13 1,615 35,419 1,381 29,106 -234 -6,313
April 1,943 37,362 2,119 31,225 +176 -6,137
15 1,918 39,280 2,622 33,847 +704 -5,433
16 1,871 41,151 2,797 36,644 +926 -4,507
17 3,702 44,853 2,872 39,516 -830 -5,337
May 3,213 48,066 2,471 41,987 -742 -6,079
19 2,707 50,773 4,448 46,435 +1,741 -4,338
20 2,021 52,794
21 2,123 54,917
June 2,080 56,997
23 1,972 58,969
24 2,697 61,666
25 2,023 63,689
26 2,080 65,769
July 1,983 67,752
28 1,675 69,427
29 1,551 70,978
30 1,804 72,782
August 1,450 74,232
32 1,743 75,975
33 1,278 77,253
34 1,177 78,430
35 1,039 79,469
September 983 80,452
37 1,052 81,504
38 3,926 85,430
39 2,072 87,502
October 1,438 88,940
41 1,905 90,845
42 1,555 92,400
43 1,649 94,049
November 1,616 95,665
45 1,582 97,247
46 1,799 99,046
47 1,667 100,713
48 1,631 102,344
December 3,039 105,383
50 3,193 108,576
51 4,075 112,651
52 2,308 114,959

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Last edited by XtremeBG - 6 days ago

My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

Around the Network
Bofferbrauer2 on 31 December 2023

Aaand subscribed!



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

hellobion2 on 02 January 2024

PS5 show no mercy do not hesitate. Defeat the Nintendo we must.



BiON!@ 

Eagle367 on 07 January 2024

Nippon showdown



Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also

Qwark on 08 January 2024

PS5 will lose all its battles I fear



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

Around the Network
Shtinamin_ on 08 January 2024

Im very excited. Here are my predictions:

Switch will sell more than PS5.

  • Switch 3.5M
  • PS5 3.3M

Switch beats NDS'10 & 3DS'17

PS5 does not beat PSP'08 but does beat PSP'10

XBOX Series does not beat XBOX 360'08 but does beat XBOX 360'11

  • XBOX Series 170k


Also I think the head to head graphs are a bit Playstation biased but that is fun. Competition is fun. I might be a bit Nintendo bias with my prediction but I have faith in Nintendo (and rather logical stats to back it up).
Let's go Switch! Give it your best!



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

XtremeBG on 08 January 2024
Shtinamin_ said:


Also I think the head to head graphs are a bit Playstation biased but that is fun. Competition is fun. I might be a bit Nintendo bias with my prediction but I have faith in Nintendo (and rather logical stats to back it up).
Let's go Switch! Give it your best!

There is no bias here. The comparisons are made from what is the natural way of continuing the sales from 2023 according to every console life and performance to date. If PS underperforms I will of course change it's competitor to weaker one. If Switch is better than it's competitors, I can change it as well. But the chances of Switch making more than 3M this year giving the big declines in Japan lately is not very likely.

For PS5 the most likely period of doing more than it's 2023, is now - 2024, when the Switch 2 won't be a factor for the most of the year, and where there won't be big competition (as Switch sales for example the last few years). That's why it's only natural for the PS5 to be able to reach higher numbers than it's 2023. Again if it fails I can and will change it's comparison accordingly.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

Norion on 08 January 2024
Shtinamin_ said:

Im very excited. Here are my predictions:

Switch will sell more than PS5.

  • Switch 3.5M
  • PS5 3.3M

Switch beats NDS'10 & 3DS'17

PS5 does not beat PSP'08 but does beat PSP'10

There's no way the PS5 is beating the PSP'10, let alone getting to 3.3m. With pent up demand fulfilled and it getting a price increase everything points to it being down this year. It'll be surprising if it sells more than 2m again considering the PS4 never did that.



XtremeBG on 08 January 2024

Okay, maybe there is a point here. I changed the PS comparison to:

  • PlayStation 5 vs PSP'06 (1.85M) vs PSP'07 (3.05M)

Let's see if PS5 will have tough time this year reaching 3M in Japan, and low target - 1.85M.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

Norion on 08 January 2024
XtremeBG said:

Okay, maybe there is a point here. I changed the PS comparison to:

  • PlayStation 5 vs PSP'06 (1.85M) vs PSP'07 (3.05M)

Let's see if PS5 will have tough time this year reaching 3M in Japan, and low target - 1.85M.

That definitely makes more sense. I expect it'll be similar to the former.