No, 50% in units.

Where do you even get this idea?

Any game published by Nintendo they consider first party and report it's sales if it crosses 1mil in the running fiscal year just like any other first party game. They mention how many third party games sold over 1mil in the fiscal year every quarter. Do you think all of these games, 8 in the current fiscal year, were somehow published by Nintendo but they didn't bother to actually name them?

They reported Octopath Traveller's sales like any first party game. Fire Emblem Warriors: Three Hopes is the only technically third party game that Nintendo piblished anywhere that sold over 1mil in this fiscal year and they didn't specifically name it because it would have needed to sell over 1mil in the regions they published it in.

I feel like many, including Nintendo themselves, had unrealistic expectations of how Switch would perform after the 2020/2021 peak years.

Every system eventually declines with age, and the Switch isn't magically exempt from that. It was inevitable that eventually most of the audience would already have one and saturation would kick in.
18 million in a system's 6th year is a very strong number. While the two don't line up exactly due to release timing, PS4 sold 14 million in 2019.

All Nintendo have do now is be smart; don't try to ride out the Switch until it stagnates and the brand's appeal sours. Send it off on a strong note, then get a Switch 2 out in 2024 that isn't weighed down by some stupid gimmick nobody wants or a confusing name.

@curl-6 Exactly. Though I've wanted a Switch Pro this year and then Switch 2 in 2025, I am starting to agree that they will not to a Switch Pro and just release a successor in 2024. The Switch probably won't surpass the PS2 & DS as a result, but it will still come respectably close.

If they market it as more of the same but more powerful with a killer launch lineup (Mario Kart Day 1, Animal Crossing the following Spring, Pokemon Gen 10 the following holiday, for example), they have a recipe for success. The PS5 & XSX are doing respectably well compared to their predecessors despite not having crazy gimmicks. Nintendo should take note of that. They could still do gimmicks within in the games themselves or through optional external hardware (like Labo & Ring Fit).

Yeah the hybrid form factor is enough of a selling point, there's no good reason to gamble everything on a gimmick, it's not worth the risk of it blowing up in their faces again if they get it wrong.

People love the Switch concept. Just release another one that's better in every way, and has the next Mario Kart, Animal Crossing, Pokemon, etc, and call it Switch 2.
Couldn't be easier.

Mario series sales on Switch

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe: 52.00m
Super Mario Odyssey: 25.12m
Super Mario Party: 18.79m
New Super Mario Bros U: 14.75m
Super Mario 3D World: 10.82m
Mario Party Superstars: 9.38m
Super Mario 3D All-Stars: 9.07m
Super Mario Maker 2: 7.89m
Mario Tennis Aces: 4.28m
Paper Mario The Origami King: 3.34m
Mario Strikers Battle League: 2.47m
Mario Golf Super Rush: 2.35m
Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle: 2.00m

Total: 162.26m

Pokemon series sales on Switch

Pokemon SW/SH: 25.68m
Pokemon S/V: 20.61m
Pokemon LG P/E: 15.07m
Pokemon BD/SP: 14.92m
Pokemon Legends: 14.63m
New Pokemon Snap: 2.74m
Pokemon MD DX: 1.89m
Pokken Tournament: 1.54m

Total: 97.08m

@ShadowLink93 They're about to sell more Pokemon games on Switch than the total sales of all Wii U games. I wish the Switch Pokemon spin-off had better sales figures though, especially compared to the DS days.

Top 100 Nintendo Published games as of 31st December, 2022.

Pokemon S/V and Kirby ATFL enter the top 100 knocking out Super Smash Bros for Wii U (5.38M) and the Gameboy version of Dr Mario (5.34m).

Switch K with the dock also being used as a joycon

I'll never take anything else that isn't called the Super Nintendo Switch