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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 3, 2021 (Jan 11- Jan 17)

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Mnementh said:

I am sure outside of the TOP 30 we have some more titles from other platforms, so the percentage might drop a bit. But 30-50 times seems likely.

This past week the cutoff for the top 30 was ~2,500 units. There would have to be an insane amount of leggy PS games to get a ratio between 30:1 and 50:1 like you are suggesting.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

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RolStoppable said:
Mnementh said:

I am sure outside of the TOP 30 we have some more titles from other platforms, so the percentage might drop a bit. But 30-50 times seems likely.

This past week the cutoff for the top 30 was ~2,500 units. There would have to be an insane amount of leggy PS games to get a ratio between 30:1 and 50:1 like you are suggesting.

Look at this, and all hardware sales. If I have a Japanese third-party studio, for the obvious reason my game go Ps5 only. 

Ps5/Ps4 if I look to overseas.

(This a mental gymnastics and this habitual trend, yet)



Not sure if anyone caught this but...

5. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 17,099 / 4,109,327
10. [NSW] Pokemon Sword/Shield – 9,882 / 3,929,246 + 15. [NSW] Pokemon Sword/Shield + Expansion Pass – 6,302 / 188,086 = 4,117,332

So Pokemon sword and shield is now the second highest selling switch game in Japan?



我是广州人

Ashadelo said:

Not sure if anyone caught this but...

5. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 17,099 / 4,109,327
10. [NSW] Pokemon Sword/Shield – 9,882 / 3,929,246 + 15. [NSW] Pokemon Sword/Shield + Expansion Pass – 6,302 / 188,086 = 4,117,332

So Pokemon sword and shield is now the second highest selling switch game in Japan?

Yes. But we should know this number doesn't contain download sales at all.

Last edited by y-koron - on 22 January 2021

If you need something about Japanese market from the perspective of Japanese, please contact me.

For reference this is what the software chart looked like a year ago.  Oh what a difference a year can make.
https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9100574

Famitsu Sales: Week 3, 2020 (Jan 13 - Jan 19)

01./00. [PS4] Yakuza: Like a Dragon <ADV> (Sega) {2020.01.16} (¥8.390) - 156.993 / NEW <80-100%>
02./00. [PS4] Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.01.16} (¥7.600) - 89.537 / NEW <80-100%>
03./01. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15} (¥5.980) - 55.604 / 3.312.358 <80-100%> (-22%)
04./02. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure <HOB> (Nintendo) {2019.10.18} (¥7.980) - 35.860 / 583.429 <80-100%> (+67%)
05./00. [PS4] Romance of the Three Kingdoms 14 # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2020.01.16} (¥8.800) - 20.095 / NEW <60-80%>
06./00. [NSW] Tokyo Mirage Session FE Encore <RPG> (Nintendo) {2020.01.17} (¥6.700) - 18.797 / NEW <60-80%>
07./04. [NSW] Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch <HOB> (Nintendo) {2019.12.27} (¥3.480) - 15.790 / 107.698 <40-60%> (+0%)
08./03. [NSW] Minecraft # <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 13.919 / 1.222.666 <80-100%> (-12%)
09./06. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 12.370 / 2.737.674 <80-100%> (-12%)
10./05. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 12.347 / 3.522.802 <80-100%> (-13%)
11./07. [NSW] Luigi's Mansion 3 <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.10.31} (¥5.980) - 8.676 / 578.747 <80-100%> (-25%)
12./00. [PS4] Kandagawa Jet Girls # <ACT> (Marvelous) {2020.01.16} (¥7.980) - 7.749 / NEW <40-60%>
13./08. [NSW] Super Mario Party # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 7.690 / 1.318.863 <80-100%> (-20%)
14./09. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games: Tokyo 2020 <SPT> (Sega) {2019.11.01} (¥5.990) - 7.193 / 255.700 <80-100%> (-18%)
15./10. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 7.023 / 3.295.293 <80-100%> (-13%)
16./11. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.06.28} (¥5.980) - 5.096 / 839.314 <80-100%> (-20%)
17./12. [NSW] Fishing Spirits: Nintendo Switch Version <SPT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.07.25} (¥5.700) - 4.738 / 377.671 <80-100%> (-9%)
18./13. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 4.488 / 1.502.526 <80-100%> (-12%)
19./20. [PS4] 13 Sentinels: Aegis Rim # <ADV> (Atlus) {2019.11.28} (¥8.980) - 4.329 / 57.681 <80-100%> (+52%)
20./14. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe <New Super Mario Bros. U New Super Luigi U> <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.01.11} (¥5.980) - 3.202 / 768.672 <80-100%> (-7%)
21./16. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age - Definitive Edition # <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.09.27} (¥7.980) - 2.927 / 477.782 <80-100%> (-8%)
22./19. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} (¥6.100) - 2.599 / 437.278 <80-100%> (-10%)
23./00. [NSW] Fire Emblem: Three Houses # <SLG> (Nintendo) {2019.07.26} (¥6.980) - 2.371 / 281.032 <80-100%>
24./17. [NSW] Disney Tsum Tsum Festival # <ETC> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.10.10} (¥6.100) - 2.354 / 148.013 <80-100%> (-26%)
25./27. [PS4] Monster Hunter: World - Iceborne Master Edition <Monster Hunter: World Monster Hunter: World - Iceborne> # <ACT> (Capcom) {2019.09.06} (¥6.990) - 2.247 / 426.945 <80-100%> (+4%)
26./18. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 2.244 / 2.062.855 <80-100%> (-26%)
27./23. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town <SLG> (Marvelous) {2019.10.17} (¥5.800) - 2.040 / 128.562 <80-100%> (-18%)
28./21. [PS4] Call of Duty: Modern Warfare <ACT> (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2019.10.25} (¥7.900) - 1.984 / 219.733 <80-100%> (-24%)
29./22. [NSW] Yo-kai Watch 4++ <RPG> (Level 5) {2019.12.05} (¥6.480) - 1.958 / 60.890 <80-100%> (-23%)
30./00. [PS4] Grand Theft Auto V: Premium Online Edition <Grand Theft Auto V Grand Theft Auto Online> [2][Reprint] <ACT> (Take-Two Interactive Japan) {2019.11.07} (¥3.500) - 1.946 / 13.431 <60-80%>

Top 30

NSW - 22
PS4 - 8



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Agente42 said:
Marth said:

As it stands currently 2021 Switch is outpacing 2007 DS (which means peak DS, best Q1 ever) but its very doubtful that will continue until end of Q1

The only way, new model plus AAA 2D Mario, Zelda Botw 2, and a Switch Sports game, in the same year.

Those are actually precisely the things I'm hoping for this year. Botw2 is obviously this year. A new 2D Mario game should be coming sometime in the near future as it is a MAJOR IP and Switch has yet to get one other than a port just throw out to temporarily appease people, so hopefully that'll this year. Switch Sports, even just a port of Wii Sports Club from Wii U, makes a ton of sense and is an easy pickup of millions (perhaps even 10+ million) in software sales.



Week 3 top selling hardware (Famitsu - maybe data are not that precise for handhelds until 2000):

1997: PS1 - 93.555 (LTD: 4.759.361)
1998: PS1 - 113.077 (9.846.939)
1999: PS1 - 72.493 (14.016.722)
2000: GBC - 49.516 (3.221.483)
2001: PS2 - 23.966 (3.232.624)
2002: PS2 - 91.718 (6.867.542)
2003: PS2 - 68.252 (10.430.391)
2004: GBA - 51.977 (11.584.167)
2005: PSP - 57.383 (630.480)
2006: NDS - 64.515 (5.857.127)
2007: NDS - 127.770 (14.567.730)
2008: NDS - 88.575 (21.625.563)
2009: NDS - 81.334 (25.533.278)
2010: PSP - 52.122 (13.822.746)
2011: PSP - 31.551 (16.438.818)
2012: 3DS - 80.960 (4.704.569)
2013: 3DS - 81.855 (10.235.654)
2014: 3DS - 47.438 (14.948.066)
2015: 3DS - 44.229 (18.096.641)
2016: 3DS - 39.677 (20.331.655)
2017: PS4 - 36.413 (4.187.494)
2018: PS4 - 44.910 (6.045.922)
2019: NSW - 71.672 (7.270.052)
2020: NSW - 96.458 (11.881.017)
2021: NSW - 170.691 (17.990.782)

Only NDS came close to this year's Switch result (127.770 units in 2007).

Source: Resetera

Unusual 3rd week 



Usually Japan doesn't go in a state of emergency because of a pandemic in week 3.



Sakuna on Switch not only outselling but significantly out-legging the PS4 version now that it's had a restock.

10 third party Switch games versus 2 on PS, which comes to 83% of third party games in the top 30 being on Switch.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

Marvelous Top 15

  1. [DS] Harvest Moon: Island of Happiness - 304.660
  2. [3DS] Harvest Moon: A New Beginning - 264.042
  3. [3DS] Harvest Moon: Linking the New World - 259.111
  4. [3DS/NSW] Rune Factory 4 - 245.857
  5. [DS] Harvest Moon: Twin Villages - 212.870
  6. [PSV/PS4/NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star - 198.804
  7. [3DS] Story of Seasons: Trio of Towns - 196.088
  8. [PSV] Kan Colle Kai - 190.568
  9. [NSW/PS4] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin - 188.219
  10. [PS4/PSV/NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star Link - 177.279
  11. [PSV] Senran Kagura Shinovi Versus - 158.270
  12. [3DS] Harvest Moon: Shining Sun and Friends - 155.065
  13. [PSP] Fate/Extra - 147.911
  14. [PSP] Fate/Extra CCC - 147.911
  15. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town - 146.363
  • 3DS - 5
  • NSW - 5
  • PSV - 4
  • PS4 - 3
  • DS - 2

Sakuna is already the 9th best selling game by Marvelous in Japan and this is without even thinking about digital which would probably bring it very close to #1, no doubt I think the game will surpass 500K by the end of this year. PS4 version faced no supplies issues and it's actually the 3rd best selling game overall in the past 4 months on the system , so it should have 100K physical by the end of 2021. 

Switch Q4 2020:

Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin - 84.814

Switch Q1 2021: 

Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin - 32.244

It interesting that in the last months the only two games that have broken the Switch domination are COD, Cyberpunk 2077 and Sakuna, just the stark contrast between the three games. Two are made by teams of thousands and have the biggest marketing campaigns we've seen and the other one is made by two guys and Nintendo literally had to ask to get it on the Switch. In the last few years there is only a few franchises from third parties to surpass 500K, so this would be a put Marvelous on the map. Especially as I anticipate Rune Factory 5 to surpass 500K as well Olive Town to easily surpass 1 million. By the end of 2021 Marvelous will potentially have sold over 2.5M software making them a top publisher in Japan. 

Top 30 3rd Party NSW/PS4

  1. [PS4] Monster Hunter: World (Capcom) - 2.564.928
  2. [NSW/PS4] Minecraft (Microsoft) - 2.201.049
  3. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu(Konami) - 1.617.601
  4. [PS4] Dragon Quest XI (Square Enix) - 1.368.698
  5. [PS4] Final Fantasy XV (Square Enix) - 1.042.951
  6. [PS4] Final Fantasy VII Remake (Square Enix) - 932.821
  7. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts III (Square Enix) - 861.226
  8. [PS4] Grand Theft Auto V (Take Two) - 708.610
  9. [NSW/PS4] Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 632.532
  10. [PS4] Monster Hunter: World - Iceborne (Capcom) - 557.153
  11. [NSW] Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 562.051 
  12. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 561.470 
  13. [NSW/PS4] Dragon Quest Builders 2 (Square Enix) - 545.553
  14. [PS4] Nier: Automata (Square Enix) - 467.485
  15. [PS4] Metal Gear Solid V (Konami) - 448.554
  16. [NSW/PS4] eBaseball 2020 (Konami) - 422.323
  17. [PS4] Resident Evil 2 (Capcom) - 418.236
  18. [PS4] Dark Souls III (From Software) - 413.021
  19. [PS4] Persona 5 (Atlus) - 405.455
  20. [PS4/NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes (Square Enix) - 394.338
  21. [NSW] Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate (Capcom) - 377.689
  22. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 (Sega) - 370.235 
  23. [PS4] Yakuza 6 (Sega) - 367.965
  24. [PS4] Resident Evil 7: biohazard (Capcom) - 365.896
  25. [NSW] Yo-kai Watch 4 (Level 5) - 358.356 
  26. [PS4] Rainbow Six: Siege (Ubisoft) - 348.882
  27. [PS4/NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes II (Square Enix) - 344.946
  28. [NSW] Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 331.047
  29. [NSW/PS4] Dragon Ball: Xenoverse 2 (Bandai Namco) - 309.176
  30. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 + II.5 (Square Enix) - 293.248

PS4 - 23/30

NSW - 14/30

TOP 10 PUBLISHERS

  1. Square Enix - 6.590.550
  2. Capcom - 4.283.902
  3. Konami - 2.488.478
  4. Microsoft - 2.201.049
  5. Bandai Namco - 1.425.787
  6. Sega - 738.200
  7. Take Two - 708.610
  8. From Software - 413.021
  9. Atlus - 405.455
  10. Level 5 - 358.356

With over 2.5 million sales Marvelous would definitely be in the running for a Top 5 3rd Party publisher this gen. We shall see how things work out this year but they are in a very good position to see rapid growth

Last edited by noshten - on 23 January 2021