The linked post explains it (if it hasn't changed). Basically you lose your wager if you pick the wrong option and get 150% if you're right. The payout is triggered by a mod (who selects the correct option). For this I put it in my sig, so that I remember next year to ping a mod.

Sure launch window doesn't ensure lifetime sales. But if there wasn't demand from even scalped consoles they wouldn't be continuing to scalp even a month after release and we will see lack of availability probably until April.

@twintail These are the numbers for second calendar year and first 12 months. 

Aw, I guess I’m just part of the crowd with my 15-17 bet. It looks to me like it is either that or the just under 15 mil bet. Main factors:
How long does Covid last? More stuck at home will be a bonus unless the economy collapses (now unlikely with vaccines incoming)
DO they get all the games out.? Lineup looks great as long as not too many delays
How is 4K penetration? I feel like there is a lack of enthusiasm to both 4K and next gen consoles, but if people Have the latter, they might also Want the former.

Hi @couchmonkey I agree with you, I believe that it is a toss up right now between the 12.5-15 and the 15-17.5, it actually surprises me that so many opted for 15-17.5 and so few for the lower one. Personally I went with the 15-17.5, but that is just because I like to consoles sell as much as possible, I am an optimist. But really that 12.5-15 is extremely likely in my opinion.

Just out of curiosity, how do you earn more VGC$? (apart from betting)

In your Profile you can click on VG$ to see a balance to get an impression which action netted you how much. As I see it you get major VG-Cash for increasing your level (which is done by posting and stuff). Besides that you get VG$ for adding to the game database. And you can place more bets in the prediction league. I have old entries from 2008 with VG$ for forum activity, but this doesn't seem to be the case anymore, except the level-up bonus.

Besides that I don't know about anything, which doesn't mean there aren't other ways to net shiny VG-currency.

Thank you @Mnementh for the information, and specially thank you for creating these betting posts, I really enjoy them. My biggest concern is that I will soon go bankrupt and won't be able to participate in any future bets.

I wish that we had more short term bets, like this month totals or something like that, I think this is a great idea (betting) and hopefully with your posts it will grow a lot in the future.

Are they still having chip yield issues?

From start this have only been a rumor and Sony have denied.

I can deny the sky is blue too...