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Forums - Sony Discussion - How much units will the PS5 sell next year?

         

How much will the PS5 sell in 2021?

< 5M 3 $1,050.02 6.52%
 
5-7.5M 1 $5.00 2.17%
 
7.5M-10M 3 $161.00 6.52%
 
10M-12.5M 3 $1,220.00 6.52%
 
12.5M-15M 7 $1,102.00 15.22%
 
15M-17.5M 17 $6,386.00 36.96%
 
17.5M-20M 8 $1,962.00 17.39%
 
20M-22.5M 1 $1,000.00 2.17%
 
22.5M-25M 2 $550.00 4.35%
 
> 25M 1 $1.00 2.17%
 
 
Totals: 46 $13,437.02  
Game closed: 12/31/2020

With the release of the new gen out of the way, what do you think will the PS5 sell next year? I talk about calendar year 2021 and numbers according to VGC. And to make it something you not just about preferences, I make it a bet, so you should put your VG$ where your mouth is.

You can also bet, which console will sell the most in 2021.

Last edited by Mnementh - on 25 November 2020

3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

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Attention: I added two options beyond 20M. If that is important, you can change your current bet.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

With low production for the foreseeable future, not much.



I updated the comparative thread with data from all three console threads. This is the graph, comparing the bets in all three threads (as of today):

You can still add bets.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

If supply could actually meet demand, 22.5-25 million. I'll just bet on that, because what do I have to lose?



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

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I imagine 17.5-20.0M.



The first year for a system isn't high compared to year 2, 3, and/or 4. So I'll say 10-12.5 mil. I think sales will slow down in the Spring and Summer time.
So by shipped numbers if Sony releases them:
Jan - March: 2 - 2.5 mil
April - June: 1.5 -2 mil
July - Sept: 2 - 2.5 mil
Oct - Dec: 4.5 -5.5 mil

2022 I predict will be 15 -17 mil.



As much as Sony can deliver to the market. First half of 2021 will be another period full of Covid-19 problems, damn perhaps even the entire year of 2021... that said, yeah, Video game sales are going to be strong.



GoTY 2022:

Whoa, when did this betting feature become available?



 

My Real Redneck friends


PDF said:

Whoa, when did this betting feature become available?

A year and a half ago.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]