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Forums - Sales Discussion - What does Nintendo need to do to reach 150M Switches sold?

Nogamez said:
Releasing some actual games would help.





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Give the console some solid support for at least 3 more financial years after this one. By then the console should be at around 130M and should leg out to 150M from there.



Tbh should Switch hit the 100m mark by the end of 2021 then 150m is not as unreachable as some think as it could achieve that goal with standard sales performances of 15m a year from then on and tbh I can see 2022 still being a decent year in that regards anything close to 20m for 2022 would put the platform in a good position to leg it out.



1. A price drop. It needs to happen at least shortly before Switch 2, if not a while before. Switch is doing better than most would've anticipated. But I don't see it reaching 150 million if it stays at $200 and $300 in perpetuity. I doubt Switch 2 would be any more than $400. And what's a better deal? A $300 Switch or a $400 Switch 2? We know the answer to that.
2021 might be the year to drop Switch Lite to $170 and Switch to $250.
2. A long life. If Nintendo releases Switch 2 in 2022 and starts abandoning the Switch en masse, good luck selling any more than 115-120 million units. Switch 2 should launch in 2023 or 2024. And then keep Switch supported in stores and some third-party games until 2027.
3. More iterations. A cheap home console only Switch or Switch Pro would be appreciated.
4. More Mario and Pokemon
5. The return of Wii Sports and Nintendogs



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

PS4: 130 mil (was 100 million) Xbox One: 55 mil (was 50 mil) Switch: 110 million (was 73, then 96 million)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

IcaroRibeiro said:
Sells more in Europe, LATAM and Asia minus Japan

JP and USA alone won't make this condole sells 150 MI

Switch is a growing force in Europe and Latin America outside of Brazil.

Switch is close to become the bestselling Nintendo console ever in the RoW category - and that includes the DS, which is less than 4M ahead of the Switch there right now. The Wii meanwhile will certainly be surpassed this holiday season.

And in Europe, the Switch is selling better and better. Italy and Spain in particular seem to exit Sonyland to become part of Nintendo country.



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With how well the Switch is selling at $300 I reckon just getting the base model to $200 would be almost as good as PS2/DS at $100.
Might even be viable to get the Lite to $100 eventually.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

The fact that we can have this conversation is crazy to me, coming off of last generation.
I do think its possible, even if it has a very small chance.
It would need more revisions, current models would need price cuts, and the most important thing: a constant stream of first party content. I know the pandemic has made this year tough for Nintendo, but I cannot see them hitting great numbers in the next following years with a lineup similar to 2020s.
I do think more experiences like Ring Fit are crucial to draw in a different crowd. I would love a Mii Sports game compilation and think it would do very well. Not Wii levels of success, but still very well. also stuff like Tomodachi. Even though Labo didn't take off like they had hoped, I still think some experimental projects like these are essential.
And of course bring those third party games coming. Even if they are toned down or slightly older ports, this is the best support we've seen in generations.

Switch has become my favourite console ever. I hope we see its success continue to grow over the rest of its life.



1doesnotsimply

GTA, more sports games, sell the switch in more countries at an affordable price. Then they can move forward with making nintendo more of a store than a system. Then they'll eventually catch up with where Microsoft is now by around 2024.



Soren0079 said:
GTA, more sports games, sell the switch in more countries at an affordable price. Then they can move forward with making nintendo more of a store than a system. Then they'll eventually catch up with where Microsoft is now by around 2024.

Looking at sales, it seems they are already comfortably ahead of where "Microsoft is now".



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
Soren0079 said:
GTA, more sports games, sell the switch in more countries at an affordable price. Then they can move forward with making nintendo more of a store than a system. Then they'll eventually catch up with where Microsoft is now by around 2024.

Looking at sales, it seems they are already comfortably ahead of where "Microsoft is now".

I think he means more along the lines of Microsoft as a whole and not just the Xbox division. 

In which case, it's going to take A LOT more than selling a shit-ton of video games and consoles to get to THAT level.



Hardware Comparison Threads:

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
(https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/241660/ps4xbons-2019-vs-2020/1/)