By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - What does Nintendo need to do to reach 150M Switches sold?

Nogamez on 03 October 2020
mZuzek said:
Nogamez said:
Releasing some actual games would help.

Not gonna lie, I'm glad people like you are still around. Never gets old.

Anyway.

Don't think they can hit 150M, not because there's no way it could ever happen, but because I can't see Nintendo doing everything that's necessary to reach that sales milestone. They do need to put out some real system-sellers with more consistency, but more importantly, they need to keep pushing the console with new games and revisions, deep into its lifetime. Don't think the Switch has a shot if the next console comes out before 2025, honestly. But just generally it's an issue of Nintendo consoles not having very good legs - that isn't quite true for the handhelds, but we can't know for sure if the Switch will keep this up for much longer, especially with the arrival of next gen. At the very least, a price cut would be a very important move, and it should be done this winter, though obviously that won't happen. To be fair, people don't seem to care too much at the prospect of overpaying for anything with a Nintendo brand these days.

I'd say the Switch is gonna end up somewhere around 110-120 million lifetime.

Should be glad anybodys still around here. Pretty much a dead site. Also im not joking the release schedule for nintedo in 20/21 is abysmal. 



Around the Network
Shiken on 03 October 2020
curl-6 said:
The thing that most makes me feel this is unlikely is that I can see Nintendo being super stubborn on pricing and never making the Switch as cheap as it needs to be to outsell PS2 and DS.

Nintendo has not had a reason to drop the price yet, so this does not yet apply.  With the packed release potential of exclusive games next year, sales could even be as close (or higher) than this year, so a price cut would still make little sense.



Nintendo Switch Friend Code: SW-5643-2927-1984

Animal Crossing NH Dream Address: DA-1078-9916-3261

curl-6 on 03 October 2020
Shiken said:
curl-6 said:
The thing that most makes me feel this is unlikely is that I can see Nintendo being super stubborn on pricing and never making the Switch as cheap as it needs to be to outsell PS2 and DS.

Nintendo has not had a reason to drop the price yet, so this does not yet apply.  With the packed release potential of exclusive games next year, sales could even be as close (or higher) than this year, so a price cut would still make little sense.

For the moment, sure, a price cut isn't needed this year or probably even next year. But in 2022, 2023, if they really want to maximise sales they should drop the price to get it down to easy impulse buy territory, but I wonder if they will or if they'll be stubborn.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 03 October 2020

tbone51 on 03 October 2020
Leynos said:
wohufana said:

It can never be. $99 a decade ago is not the same $99 in 2020s, much more in 2024, after 7 years in the market.

I was waiting for someone to take my comment too seriously. I never said it was a reality they will lower the price to $99. I just said that's what it will take to get to 150. Aka they won't.

It’s going to get to 100mil just fine with it’s intial MRSP. Don’t think they have to drop it to $99 unless they care about 200mil goal lol

Nogamez said:
mZuzek said:

Not gonna lie, I'm glad people like you are still around. Never gets old.

Anyway.

Don't think they can hit 150M, not because there's no way it could ever happen, but because I can't see Nintendo doing everything that's necessary to reach that sales milestone. They do need to put out some real system-sellers with more consistency, but more importantly, they need to keep pushing the console with new games and revisions, deep into its lifetime. Don't think the Switch has a shot if the next console comes out before 2025, honestly. But just generally it's an issue of Nintendo consoles not having very good legs - that isn't quite true for the handhelds, but we can't know for sure if the Switch will keep this up for much longer, especially with the arrival of next gen. At the very least, a price cut would be a very important move, and it should be done this winter, though obviously that won't happen. To be fair, people don't seem to care too much at the prospect of overpaying for anything with a Nintendo brand these days.

I'd say the Switch is gonna end up somewhere around 110-120 million lifetime.

Should be glad anybodys still around here. Pretty much a dead site. Also im not joking the release schedule for nintedo in 20/21 is abysmal. 

Can you see the future? Didn’t realize Nintendo 2021 release list was known at this early time.

funny cuz 2021 seems more like it could potentiallybe NSW best Software year in terms of releases but hey who knows



Leynos on 03 October 2020
tbone51 said:
Leynos said:

I was waiting for someone to take my comment too seriously. I never said it was a reality they will lower the price to $99. I just said that's what it will take to get to 150. Aka they won't.

It’s going to get to 100mil just fine with it’s intial MRSP. Don’t think they have to drop it to $99 unless they care about 200mil goal lol

Nogamez said:

Should be glad anybodys still around here. Pretty much a dead site. Also im not joking the release schedule for nintedo in 20/21 is abysmal. 

Can you see the future? Didn’t realize Nintendo 2021 release list was known at this early time.

funny cuz 2021 seems more like it could potentiallybe NSW best Software year in terms of releases but hey who knows

No said it would not hit 100mil. That's a no-duh but it's not hitting a 150



Bite my shiny metal cockpit!

Around the Network
tbone51 on 03 October 2020
Leynos said:
tbone51 said:

It’s going to get to 100mil just fine with it’s intial MRSP. Don’t think they have to drop it to $99 unless they care about 200mil goal lol

Can you see the future? Didn’t realize Nintendo 2021 release list was known at this early time.

funny cuz 2021 seems more like it could potentiallybe NSW best Software year in terms of releases but hey who knows

No said it would not hit 100mil. That's a no-duh but it's not hitting a 150

I’m not saying it’s guaranteed to hit 150mil, my point was that if it hits 100mil without a price drop then 150mil goal doesn’t need any sku to ever hit the $99 price tag. Meaning it’s realistic for a 150mil goal without $99 price cut



OTBWY on 03 October 2020
Nogamez said:
Releasing some actual games would help.





Bofferbrauer2 on 03 October 2020

Give the console some solid support for at least 3 more financial years after this one. By then the console should be at around 130M and should leg out to 150M from there.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Wyrdness on 03 October 2020

Tbh should Switch hit the 100m mark by the end of 2021 then 150m is not as unreachable as some think as it could achieve that goal with standard sales performances of 15m a year from then on and tbh I can see 2022 still being a decent year in that regards anything close to 20m for 2022 would put the platform in a good position to leg it out.



Wman1996 on 03 October 2020

1. A price drop. It needs to happen at least shortly before Switch 2, if not a while before. Switch is doing better than most would've anticipated. But I don't see it reaching 150 million if it stays at $200 and $300 in perpetuity. I doubt Switch 2 would be any more than $400. And what's a better deal? A $300 Switch or a $400 Switch 2? We know the answer to that.
2021 might be the year to drop Switch Lite to $170 and Switch to $250.
2. A long life. If Nintendo releases Switch 2 in 2022 and starts abandoning the Switch en masse, good luck selling any more than 115-120 million units. Switch 2 should launch in 2023 or 2024. And then keep Switch supported in stores and some third-party games until 2027.
3. More iterations. A cheap home console only Switch or Switch Pro would be appreciated.
4. More Mario and Pokemon
5. The return of Wii Sports and Nintendogs



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 151 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 57 million (was 60 million, then 67 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima