1. A price drop. It needs to happen at least shortly before Switch 2, if not a while before. Switch is doing better than most would've anticipated. But I don't see it reaching 150 million if it stays at $200 and $300 in perpetuity. I doubt Switch 2 would be any more than $400. And what's a better deal? A $300 Switch or a $400 Switch 2? We know the answer to that.
2021 might be the year to drop Switch Lite to $170 and Switch to $250.
2. A long life. If Nintendo releases Switch 2 in 2022 and starts abandoning the Switch en masse, good luck selling any more than 115-120 million units. Switch 2 should launch in 2023 or 2024. And then keep Switch supported in stores and some third-party games until 2027.
3. More iterations. A cheap home console only Switch or Switch Pro would be appreciated.
4. More Mario and Pokemon
5. The return of Wii Sports and Nintendogs
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 125 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million)
PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million
PS4: 122 mil (was 100 then 130 million) Xbox One: 50 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima