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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will PS5 and Series X have a bigger opening than Switch?

 

Wich will have the biggest launch window (2 months)?

Switch (March-May 2017) 12 21.82%
 
Xbox Series (November-Dec... 2 3.64%
 
Playstation 5 (No release date yet, 2020) 41 74.55%
 
Total:55
Imaginedvl said:

I have a hard time believing they will achieve that honestly.
Both have a so so lunch line up and while they have clearly a big upgrade from the current generation, they are still that, an upgrade until new games are coming out (Halo, Flight Simulator for Microsoft) and (Horizon Dawn, GT for Sony) that will really use the machine's internals.

The Switch cames up with Zelda (and few others) which, by itself, sold the console :)

Would say:

Sony: 2.5M
Microsoft: 1.5M

I promise you people didn't buy a PS4 for Knack & Killzone :p

Spiderman has more pull than both of those titles combined even if its not a full sequel, add in all the backwards compatibility with improved performance, some cross gen games taking advantage of PS5 like Kena and big third party titles like AC and I'm sure the PS5 will outsell the PS4 on the basis of being a more useful device for Playstation gamers out the gate. Long term it will need those exclusives but PS4 was really lacking for its whole first 12months and still sold well 



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Otter said:

I promise you people didn't buy a PS4 for Knack & Killzone :p

Then why did I buy this version?



Both will outsell Switch and probably sell all of their stock.

If it weren’t for Covid-19, I would have more questions about price and lineup, particularly for Xbox, but lots of people will be seeking at-home entertainment this year. In the non-covid world, a wild card for Xbox could be the performance for the last console and Microsoft’s apparent strategy of retreating / hedging on PC.



It's a bit early to predict since we don't know the price for each Sony/MS console and the definitive launch software line-up. Due to the pandemic and two models of each manufacturer I'd expect a bigger opening than Switch.



Bigger in terms of money spent? Sure.

Bigger in terms of actual units pushed? That's tough.



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NS had a great first week, but suddenly dropped due to supply constraints, PS5 and XSX could beat its first two months if they'll have larger initial supplies. Beating its first week will be much harder.



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Between the supply constraints and a non-holiday launch, I say switch is 2nd. I don't believe in the Xbox Series X having a fantastic launch, and certainly not beating 3.2 million. Plus PS5 has Spiderman and a holiday launch, in addition to faithfulness from the PS5 community I highly doubt it will sell less than 3.2 million was it?



ArchangelMadzz said:
Bigger in terms of actual units pushed? That's tough.

You think is tough for Sony shipping less than 4 million PS5 this year?



Ryng said:
ArchangelMadzz said:
Bigger in terms of actual units pushed? That's tough.

You think is tough for Sony shipping less than 4 million PS5 this year?

Considering its going to be out for like 8 weeks I don't know about supply constraints. PS4 sold 4.2 million from launch to end of year. 

They're making less PS5's for launch last I heard and its going to definitely cost more. So we'll see. 



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DonFerrari said:
RolStoppable said:

Eh, Switch sells better than the PS4 in general. It did so in year 1, year 2, year 3 and will do so again in the current year 4, so assigning the year 1 win to a non-holiday launch is a bit reaching.

If a non-holiday launch would be inherently beneficial, then both Sony and Microsoft would have targeted that with their upcoming consoles, but there has never been any word (be it official or rumored) that a non-holiday launch was ever in consideration by either one of them.

Yes launch aligned Switch have sold more than PS4, but not in any way similar to the difference of switch launch window+holidays versus PS4 launch + first march and april. And again if there was more inventory PS4 and Switch would have sold more on launch, showing that for launch it being on holiday doesn't necessarily improve sales that much.

It is beneficial to launch as early as possible, if holiday would be so much better then why didn't Nintendo wait for Holiday in 2017 to launch? Sony had released outside of holiday in the past. And you can bet that if Nintendo could have launched on Holiday 2016 they would have, but that is because they would like to launch earlier than later.

UnderwaterFunktown said:
Like you said yourself even the Xbone despite the controversy that haunted it at the time sold more than the Switch in its first two months, so its very hard to imagine a scenario where both of the new consoles don't do the same.

If you want specific predictions I'll say:
PS5 - 5,6 mil (assuming it launches in Japan right away unlike the PS4)
Series X - 3,7 mil

If inventory is there both can possibly outsell it.

Because the Wii U was discontinued in January 2017.  Nintendo wasn't going to go 10 months without a home console in the retail space.  Nintendo was getting such bad press at the time, "Nintendo should go 3rd Party", that they had to launch a new console ASAP.  And that's what they did.