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Forums - Nintendo - Nintendo quarterly sales update (Switch 61.44m, Animal Crossing 22.4m)

Wyrdness on 07 August 2020

Quick note at the current rate 100m could be reached come the end of next FY.



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javi741 on 07 August 2020
PotentHerbs said:
This is absolute madness.

40 Million+ lifetime may not be out of the question lol.

The Switch is on fire! Maybe it could even outsell the Nintendo 64!



TheBraveGallade on 07 August 2020
LivingMetal said:

In case no one has said this yet, 428% surge in profits.

Huge.



dane007 on 07 August 2020

Impressive figures. I expected animal crossing to do well as its a fantastic game. I still play game and I am nearly 200 hours lol. It's the go to game for me daily lol



Vodacixi on 07 August 2020
HoangNhatAnh said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Wii sold 25.95m during it's peak fiscal year.  After that it sold another 51.25m.  This is Switch's peak fiscal year and 25.95m is a pretty decent estimate.  If Switch sells this and has the same decline as the Wii, then lifetime sales end up at 132.98m.  That is what a "crash and burn" scenario looks like for the Switch.  People are thinking crash and burn is like 100m-110m.  No, crash and burn is 133m.  Wii had weak first party games and weak third party games (other than Just Dance) after 2009.  And if Switch fizzles out, then yeah it will sell 133m.  That is a pessimistic number that is feasible.

On the other hand, the likelyhood of Switch going to a crash and burn scenario is small.  Wii had no Pokemon games, which Switch will likely get 2 more (a port and a new one).  BotW2 is going to be far more popular than Skyward Sword, and Nintendo is going to keep a steady flow of games on the Switch until it's ready to replace it.  Western Devs are going to keep porting PS4 games over, because that is easy money.  Japanese devs are just getting started putting brand new 3rd party games on Switch.  It is far more likely that Switch will not crash and burn.

It is far more likely that Switch will sell a lot more than that 133m crash and burn scenario.

Wii had 3 Pokemon spin-off games.

You know what he meant. Main Pokémon titles sell absurd numbers and move tons of consoles. Spin offs are not even close to that. 



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The_Liquid_Laser on 07 August 2020
curl-6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Wii had weak first party games and weak third party games (other than Just Dance) after 2009.

Mario Galaxy 2, weak? Donkey Kong Country Returns? Wii Party?

The quote is out of context.  I was talking about hardware sales.  The games that really moved Wii harware all sold 20m+ and they all released 2009 or earlier.  None of the games you mentioned even broke 10m.  Switch will likely get 2 more Pokemon games, and Pokemon tends to sell in the 15-20m range.  BotW2 will likely also sell 10m+. Switch still has several guaranteed heavy hitters coming, each of which will sell more than Wii Party.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

curl-6 on 07 August 2020

Weird, No More Heroes III does not appear on their upcoming games list (last page) under either Nintendo or other publishers

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2020/200806_2e.pdf



PAOerfulone on 07 August 2020

Just based off what we have now, I think the bare minimum of Switch software sales should be as estimated below:

One or two (1-2) 50 million sellers???:
- Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
- Animal Crossing: New Horizons

Two (2) 40 million sellers:
- Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
- Animal Crossing: New Horizons

Four (4) 30 million sellers:
- Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
- Animal Crossing: New Horizons
- Zelda: Breath of the Wild
- Super Smash Bros. Ultimate

Seven (7) 20 million sellers
- Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Confirmed)
- Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Confirmed)
- Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Confirmed)
- Zelda: Breath of the Wild
- Pokemon Sword/Shield
- Super Mario Odyssey
- Super Mario Party

Eleven (11) 10 million sellers
- Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Confirmed)
- Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Confirmed)
- Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Confirmed)
- Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Confirmed)
- Pokemon Sword/Shield (Confirmed)
- Super Mario Odyssey (Confirmed)
- Pokemon Let's Go (Confirmed)
- Super Mario Party (Confirmed)
- Splatoon 2 (Confirmed)
- New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe
- Ring Fit Adventure

And there are plenty of other unreleased games that could hit any of these marks: Breath of the Wild 2, Pokemon Gen 9, a new 3D Mario game or that rumored 3D Mario collection.
As well as other games that weren't listed in this latest Earnings Release that will get there: Luigi's Mansion 3, Super Mario Maker 2.

Hardware is one thing; But the potential for software sales for the Switch is... limitless.

Last edited by PAOerfulone - on 07 August 2020

Hardware Comparison Threads:

Current Thread

Switch 1 '25 vs DS '11, 3DS '17, and Wii '12

Older Threads:

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch: 2022 Edition

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch Hardware Battle: 2021 Edition!
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2017 vs. 2018
PlayStation 4: 2015 vs. 2016 vs. 2017

HoangNhatAnh on 07 August 2020
Vodacixi said:
HoangNhatAnh said:

Wii had 3 Pokemon spin-off games.

You know what he meant. Main Pokémon titles sell absurd numbers and move tons of consoles. Spin offs are not even close to that. 

He should add mainline game



Vodacixi on 07 August 2020
HoangNhatAnh said:
Vodacixi said:

You know what he meant. Main Pokémon titles sell absurd numbers and move tons of consoles. Spin offs are not even close to that. 

He should add mainline game

No, he shouldn't. That would only legitimize the nitpicking person who is pretending to not understand the statatement.