Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict sales of TLOU2 on PS4

How much TLOU2 will sell first week?

0-1M 1 1.39%
 
1.1-2M 2 2.78%
 
2.1-3M 6 8.33%
 
3.1-4M 20 27.78%
 
4.1-5M 16 22.22%
 
5.1-6M 15 20.83%
 
6.1-7M 3 4.17%
 
7.1-8M 0 0.00%
 
8.1-9M 1 1.39%
 
9.1-10M 8 11.11%
 
Total:72
Ryng said:
Carl said:
God of War did 3.1 Million in 3 days.
Spiderman did 3.3 Million in 3 days.
Final Fantasy VII Remake did 3.5 Million in 3 days.

The Last of Us Part 2 will probably be between 3.5 to 4 Million, but I wouldn't at all be surprised to see it go beyond 4.

The hype is real.

you can't compare God of War and Spiderman with Final Fantasy, that's sales VS shipments.

Yes I can. I just did.



                            

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Carl said:
Ryng said:

you can't compare God of War and Spiderman with Final Fantasy, that's sales VS shipments.

Yes I can. I just did.

you monster! D:



2020 predictions: NSW 25m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 11m, XB1 4m

In December 2019 i predicted 21m Switch, 9m PS4 and 3m XB1, but that was before COVID, obvius increased my predictions.

Great News from UK: New Sales Records for The Last of Us 2 :) I am curious to see how it looks in the other countries.

I am thrilled, the quality is strong. The gameplay rocks and is better than in the first part, the story is very emotional and exciting.



Game of the Year 2020: Ghost of Tsushima, Persona 5 Royal or The Last of Us 2 ?!

https://blog.playstation.com/2020/06/26/the-last-of-us-part-ii-sells-more-than-4-million-copies/

So 4M sales on first week.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Great opening. I believe it beats Spider Man.
Anyone know how it compares to all exclusives the past few years including Switch?



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DonFerrari said:
https://blog.playstation.com/2020/06/26/the-last-of-us-part-ii-sells-more-than-4-million-copies/

So 4M sales on first week.

More than 4 million units in 3 days. Damm that’s impressive, even with all the negativity!!



brute said:
Great opening. I believe it beats Spider Man.
Anyone know how it compares to all exclusives the past few years including Switch?

It beats any Sony exclusives.

Comparing to Switch ones I dunno, but I believe some have sold faster than it, perhaps BotW, Mario Odissey, Animal Crossing, Smash and DK.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Ryng said:
It's gonna be the biggest first week for a Playstation exclusive.

Uncharted 4 sold 2.7 million at launch, Gow 3.1 million and Spiderman 3.3 million, i think we can see 4 million.

let's goooooooooooooooo



2020 predictions: NSW 25m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 11m, XB1 4m

In December 2019 i predicted 21m Switch, 9m PS4 and 3m XB1, but that was before COVID, obvius increased my predictions.

brute said:
Great opening. I believe it beats Spider Man.
Anyone know how it compares to all exclusives the past few years including Switch?

Mario Odyssey - 2 million
Pokémon Let's go Pikachu/Eevee - 3 million
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 5 million
Pokémon Sword/Shield - 6 million

No numbers for Animal Crossing: New Horizon but with the numbers we got it probabily sold over 7 million at launch



2020 predictions: NSW 25m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 11m, XB1 4m

In December 2019 i predicted 21m Switch, 9m PS4 and 3m XB1, but that was before COVID, obvius increased my predictions.

DonFerrari said:
brute said:
Great opening. I believe it beats Spider Man.
Anyone know how it compares to all exclusives the past few years including Switch?

It beats any Sony exclusives.

Comparing to Switch ones I dunno, but I believe some have sold faster than it, perhaps BotW, Mario Odissey, Animal Crossing, Smash and DK.

I'll post in the launch thread as well, but here:

Current Gen Exclusive launches (typically 3-day sell-through).

NSW SwSh >6.0M

NSW SSBU >5.0M

PS4 TLOU2 >4.0M

PS4 SM >3.3M

PS4 GoW >3.1M

NSW LGPE >3.0M

PS4 UC4 >2.7M

NSW SMO >2.0M

PS4 FF7R: 3.5M <Shipped, not sold.

ACNH unknown but presumably higher than 7M.  Same with Sun/Moon.

I'm doing digging on others for PS4 and Halo.  Doubt any other Switch titles make it on here - BOTW was day 1 with NSW hardware so there's no way it could have moved >1M over the weekend.  BOTW2 will make it high on this list though.