Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict sales of TLOU2 on PS4

How much TLOU2 will sell first week?

0-1M 1 1.39%
 
1.1-2M 2 2.78%
 
2.1-3M 6 8.33%
 
3.1-4M 20 27.78%
 
4.1-5M 16 22.22%
 
5.1-6M 15 20.83%
 
6.1-7M 3 4.17%
 
7.1-8M 0 0.00%
 
8.1-9M 1 1.39%
 
9.1-10M 8 11.11%
 
Total:72

4-5m is a good estimate since it has a lot of praise, hype and its pedigree!



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At least 20 lifetime.



96 on meta, huge hype and the last established franchise exclusive released for the PS4.... IMO it could break 5 million FW and 15million+ lifetime on this platform alone.



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StokedUp said:
When we say the first week do we mean the first 7 days (Friday to thursday) or the first week in which it's released so Friday to Saturday 2 days?

It usually is the weekend the game launched. When we get reports they usually mention like that. Sure some will say "sold this many on the first 5 or 7 days", but on VGC when we say first week we mean in sales calendar so it could be anything from 1 to 7 days (and won't make much difference since the bulky of first week is pre-order).



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

DonFerrari said:
StokedUp said:
When we say the first week do we mean the first 7 days (Friday to thursday) or the first week in which it's released so Friday to Saturday 2 days?

It usually is the weekend the game launched. When we get reports they usually mention like that. Sure some will say "sold this many on the first 5 or 7 days", but on VGC when we say first week we mean in sales calendar so it could be anything from 1 to 7 days (and won't make much difference since the bulky of first week is pre-order).


Yeah.  Just like the film box office.



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5 mil 1st week, 8 mil 1st month, 20 mil life time



FW: 5 million
Lifetime: 30 million (PS5 version/patch + HBO series should give it strong legs).

Edit: I can't predict PS4 version's lifetime sales as that will depend on whether PS5 gets its own heavily reworked version or just plays the same game enhanced through a patch.

Last edited by Kyuu - on 15 June 2020

25-30 million LTD



~5mil first week.
lifetime sales? PS4+PS5? over 20m.



5 Million in 3 days