|Train wreck said:
The few big? So you're saying that the Switch "exclusives" will be games from no name publishers who have first week sales of 8k and top out at 25-30k and have no relevance outside Japan. Sorta what the Vita got, gotcha.
You should be worrying more about how. after three years on the market, The Switch can release a game like The Outer Worlds in the shape its in than worry about which 3rd party exclusives it might be getting.
Switch third party domination means chart domination. Switch will be dominating the Japanese charts (and really it already is). But in a couple of years Switch third party games will have even more slots than they do now. This weeks charts looks like this:
Switch - 22 (7 of those third party)
PS4 - 7
3DS - 1
Nintendo platform games already have 77% of the chart. They already dominate. But Sony platforms are going to keep getting pushed out just like they have been. Some of these remaining spots are going to Switch third party titles. Just compare this weeks top 30 to the top 30 exactly 2 years ago:
At this time in 2018, the top 30 looked like this:
Switch - 12 (3 of those third party)
PS4 - 12
Vita - 5
3DS - 1
Two years ago Sony platforms had a majority of the top 30 with 57%. Switch only had 3 third party titles. Now Switch has 7 third party titles. In two more years expect even more slots to be Switch third party titles. There will not be one week in 2022 where Sony platforms get at least 7 titles. That is third party domination. Switch titles dominate the charts, both first party and third party titles dominate the charts.
But here is the thing about third party domination. Even when Nintendo pulls back its first party support the third party titles will keep getting released for a few more years. That is why third party domination is their "final trick". We see this right now with the PS4. PS4 hardware sales have slowed to a crawl in Japan, but we still see third party PS4 titles released on most weeks. This is the Switch's future. All of these small to medium size titles that would have gone to Vita or PS4 back in 2018 will be on Switch.
We are already seeing more Switch third party titles enter the Japanese charts. On the 2018 charts during this week we had 3 third party Switch titles compared to this week's (2020) 7 third party Switch titles. Expect this trend to continue.