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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 14, 2020 (Mar 30 - Apr 05)

Bofferbrauer2 on 11 April 2020
tbone51 said:
Sooooo what y’all think about a crazy 7mil ship*digital AC in Japan by end of Q2?

Retail 2608k Q1 and maybe Q2 will be 1900k to make it 4.5mil (4.6mil-4.7mil shipped) and 2.3mil-2.4mil digital

7mil :p

That you were lowballing, as usual ;p



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tbone51 on 11 April 2020
Bofferbrauer2 said:
tbone51 said:
Sooooo what y’all think about a crazy 7mil ship*digital AC in Japan by end of Q2?

Retail 2608k Q1 and maybe Q2 will be 1900k to make it 4.5mil (4.6mil-4.7mil shipped) and 2.3mil-2.4mil digital

7mil :p

That you were lowballing, as usual ;p

I was thinking about making a 10mil bold prediction for Japan o.0



Wyrdness on 11 April 2020
tbone51 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

That you were lowballing, as usual ;p

I was thinking about making a 10mil bold prediction for Japan o.0

Depending on how long Nintendo keep the Switch active it may not even finish far off from that especially if it's another 9 year platform like the 3DS.



Farsala on 13 April 2020

A little late but still relevant.

03./02. [PS4] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.26} (¥7.800) - 18.333 / 94.331 (-76%)
04./03. [NSW] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.26} (¥7.800) - 17.340 / 78.911 (-72%)

Switch now has a 4.2m install base lead, almost 50% more consoles than the PS4 but the same day 3rd party release still sold better on the PS4. Even COMG! predicted a Switch win by 50% with 33pts for the Switch version and 22pts for the PS4 version.

04./02. [PS4] Nioh (Koei Tecmo) {2017.02.09} (¥7.800) - 17.586 / 135.713 (-38%)

13./08. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo) {2020.03.12} (¥7.800) - 7.365 / 136.667 (-35%)

Nioh has better legs, but they aren't too bad for Nioh 2 to be flat by week 3.



brute on 13 April 2020
Farsala said:
A little late but still relevant.

03./02. [PS4] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.26} (¥7.800) - 18.333 / 94.331 <80-100%> (-76%)
04./03. [NSW] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.26} (¥7.800) - 17.340 / 78.911 <60-80%> (-72%)

Switch now has a 4.2m install base lead, almost 50% more consoles than the PS4 but the same day 3rd party release still sold better on the PS4. Even COMG! predicted a Switch win by 50% with 33pts for the Switch version and 22pts for the PS4 version.

04./02. [PS4] Nioh (Koei Tecmo) {2017.02.09} (¥7.800) - 17.586 / 135.713 <80-100%> (-38%)

13./08. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo) {2020.03.12} (¥7.800) - 7.365 / 136.667 <80-100%> (-35%)

Nioh has better legs, but they aren't too bad for Nioh 2 to be flat by week 3.

There a few reasons for why the PS4 version would still sell better.

1. Multiplatform owners may choose to go with PS4 due to performance plus trohpies

2. PS4 games are usually more front loaded.



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src on 14 April 2020
Farsala said:
A little late but still relevant.

03./02. [PS4] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.26} (¥7.800) - 18.333 / 94.331 <80-100%> (-76%)
04./03. [NSW] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.26} (¥7.800) - 17.340 / 78.911 <60-80%> (-72%)

Switch now has a 4.2m install base lead, almost 50% more consoles than the PS4 but the same day 3rd party release still sold better on the PS4. Even COMG! predicted a Switch win by 50% with 33pts for the Switch version and 22pts for the PS4 version.

04./02. [PS4] Nioh (Koei Tecmo) {2017.02.09} (¥7.800) - 17.586 / 135.713 <80-100%> (-38%)

13./08. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo) {2020.03.12} (¥7.800) - 7.365 / 136.667 <80-100%> (-35%)

Nioh has better legs, but they aren't too bad for Nioh 2 to be flat by week 3.

This should be common sense. The size of an install base is not the be all end all factor for software sales. The types of demographics an install base has is often more important. All companies learnt this a long time ago.

Nintendo faces the same problem Xbox did in the West: even if titles go multiplatform, Playstation still remains the console where most third party bases have their majority at.



forest-spirit on 15 April 2020
Marth said:
Thanks to the COVID-19 situation the next Famitsu report will be delayed by 1-2 days.

Unacceptable. 



UnderwaterFunktown on 15 April 2020

A shame about the delay, especially since this week could be particularly interesting. Last minute prediction: FF7R at 1.2 mil and PS4 at 90K+

I'm also curious if anybody knows what the percentage marking (for example ) after each game means? I can't really see a pattern in it.



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TruckOSaurus on 15 April 2020
UnderwaterFunktown said:
A shame about the delay, especially since this week could be particularly interesting. Last minute prediction: FF7R at 1.2 mil and PS4 at 90K+

I'm also curious if anybody knows what the percentage marking (for example <80-100%>) after each game means? I can't really see a pattern in it.

I think 90k for PS4 is too much. I'm guessing somewhere around 40-60k here.



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xMetroid on 15 April 2020

90k PS4 in japan would be really surprising but at the same time since there isn't shipments of switch this week maybe some people chose the PS4 over waiting for a Switch