The rest of Famitsu Top 30

11. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 13,2722 (3,279,652)
12. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 11,813 (2,471,622)
13. [NSW] Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition (Bundle Version Included) (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 11,646 (945,981)
14. [NSW] Dead by Daylight Official Japanese Version (3goo, 09/26/19) – 9,988 (New)
15. [NSW] FIFA 20 Legacy Edition (Electronic Arts, 09/27/19) – 9,593 (New)
16. [PS4] eFootball PES 2020 (Konami, 09/12/19) – 9,309 (86,822)
17. [NSW] Tsuri Spirits Nintendo Switch Version (Bandai Namco, 07/25/19) – 8,907 (180,748)
18. [PS4] Borderlands 3 (2K Games, 09/13/19) – 7,232 (52,079)
19. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Limited Edition Included) (Nintendo, 03/03/17) – 6,916 (1,412,796)
20. [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo, 10/05/18) – 6,412 (1,119,900)
21. [NSW] Pokemon: Let’s Go, Pikachu! / Let’s Go, Eevee! (Bundle Editions Included) (Nintendo, 11/16/18) – 6,360 (1,639,859)
22. [NSW] Ninja Box (Bandai Namco, 09/26/19) – 6,034 (New)
23. [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Bundle Version Included) (Nintendo, 07/21/17) – 5,798 (3,164,890)
24. [NSW] Hakuoki Shinkai: Tsukikage no Shou (Limited Edition Included) (Idea Factory, 09/26/19) – 4,848 (New)
25. [NSW] Fire Emblem: Three Houses (Limited Edition Included) (Nintendo, 07/26/19) – 4,811 (250,272)
26. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo, 01/11/19) – 4,390 (690,592)
27. [PS4] Tropico 6 (Square Enix, 09/27/19) – 4,368 (New)
28. [NSW] Daemon X Machina (Marvelous, 09/13/19) – 4,034 (40,155)
29. [NSW] Gunvolt Chronicles: Luminous Avenger iX (Inti Creates, 09/26/19) – 3,943 (New)
30. [PS4] Monster Hunter World: Iceborne (Capcom, 09/06/19) – 3,703 (65,295)

In 2017, the best selling game of year was Dragon Quest XI with around 3 million copies between the PS4 and 3DS versions.

Yes, but Famitsu doesn't combine SKUs from other platforms. I'm just going along with them.  

It is crazy how well the switch is doing in Japan.

Maybe this is a best-selling Nintendo chart. Or best-selling game on a single console. But I agree; if you can't count PS4 + 3DS, then it's also not fair to count both Utra Sun & Ultra Moon together. Worth pointing out that the "Ultra" games were pretty much re-releases of the games from the year before.

Pretty amazing that Red/Green managed to win two years in a row, though.

Switch is super impressive and Pokemon isn't even here yet. Maybe has a shot at 5m for the year in Japan.

I think 5 million is a tough goal, I would say 4.5 million is more likely.

Using Famitsu numbers

Q4 2017-1.60m

Q4 2018-1.72m

Hitting 5m would require 2.5m this quarter which is more than 3DS ever did.

I wouldn't bank on 5M. There are only 13 weeks left, so Switch would need to sell an average of about 191k per week for the rest of the year.

Last year during the final 13 weeks, Switch averaged 132k.
During its best holiday quarter, 3DS averaged 178k per week.
Even the DS only managed to beat a 191k average once: In its best year, 2006, it averaged 197k for the period.

So for Switch to hit 5M, it would need to reach peak-DS-level sales. It would be cool, but it's not very likely.

We pretty much just posted the same thing lol

I think it will fall somewhere 4.5-4.8 million (2-2.3m for Q4) range which puts it right there with the best 3DS holiday quarters (2011-2.2m, 2012-2.3m, 2013-1.8m).

Really keen to see how Switch did outside Japan for this week; obviously Dragon Quest isn't the system seller in the West that it is in Japan, but with the Lite still only in its second week, sales should still be elevated considerably above its previous baseline.

I wish there was some way to know how DQ11 S sold outside Japan too, would be really interesting to see.