siebensus4 said:
Actually I don't expect a Switch Pro. I think we will we see a Switch successor in March 2022. That would be 5 years after the launch of Switch, what would be a typical Nintendo console life cycle. It would be about a year after the launch of PS5, so still in time to enter next gen. |
Very unlikely.
The only Nintendo handhelds with less than 6 years between their launch and successor are the Game Boy Color (2 years and a couple of months after its launch the GBA came out) and the GBA (about 3.5 years later the DS came out).
The only time the 5 year cycle has happened, at least worldwide, is the N64 to GCN, and then GCN to Wii.
Averaging Nintendo's handhelds and home consoles and including the Switch, the average lifespan from launch to successor seems to be about 6-6.5 years (didn't plug the numbers, but seems about right).
I'm not saying a Switch Pro is a guarantee. To give the Switch a big boost would cost a ton of money and be difficult due to the system's hybrid nature. A beefed up Switch Pro would probably not even hit base Xbox One performance unfortunately.
Is the Switch being hurt right now for being underpowered? A little. But I don't think it will feel that hurt until the PS5 and Xbox Scarlett are out. The Switch launched during the mid-life of the XBONE and PS4. It's a new way to play, and a new piece of hardware. It's seeking to unite handheld and home console Nintendo games and audiences.
I just think the Pro is pretty necessary to have the Switch ride things out until it gets a successor. Holiday 2020 (over 5.5 years) is the absolute soonest I see it happening. It will more than likely be March 2023 or November 2023.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 151 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million)
PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 57 million (was 60 million, then 67 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
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