A console peaks early when it doesn't have good third party support.  The Switch will have extremely good third party support.  That is what is going to drive sales for the Switch in 2020 and beyond.

I didn't say stable 30fps. And as your video itself says, it's much closer to 720/30 than the 600/25 you're claiming.

Back on the late Wii days the Nintendo console was, indeed, proportionally stronger on its holiday period than its competitors. However, last year the Switch was outsold by the PS4 in November-December. So, while some are expecting a repeat of the former, other are expecting the later. It's not unreasonable.

Wasn't GoW the only big gun that the PS4 had though? If you are going to count MHW and SotC like that for PS4 yo can't forget stuff like LABO and Kirby for Switch.

In response to my first reply to you.....

Awwwwwwwww man. It is just Pokemon Go on Switch .........

While it looks cool still and some of the concepts look fun it is still not a full fledged Pokemon game just yet

Either way it will still sell loads this year.......but a let down for me. I am SOOOOO ready for a Pokemon game done CORRECTLY and full fledged. Waiting for the dream of Pokemon Colosseum being FULLY realized and done the right way, that game had so much potential but Nintendo dropped the ball with it sigh.......one day lol.

you said smoothly at 720p/30fps. i see nothing that suggest that. The game is much closer to 600p according to DF first video and the patch main upgrade is like 2 frames per second, it doesn't matter when ever the action is heavy the game is not stable, Sub hd unstable 30fps is a butchered version.

One place where we differ is that you put a lot more emphasis on big Western titles than I do.  Switch won't get many Western exclusives, but most Western games are going to go multiplat and include Switch anyway.  Western developers are already making 5 versions of their games : PC, PS4, PS4 Pro, XB1, XB1X.  They might as well make a 6th version for the Switch.   These games are already made with scaling up/down in mind, so its not a big deal to scale the games down a little to the Switch.  It's definitely worth porting a game over if it's going to sell a million+ like Skyrim.  Of course you're not going to full see this until 2019 because most games take 2-3 years to develop.  Next week at E3, we'll see maybe 30-50% or so of Western games get a Switch version.  Starting next year, the majority of multiplat games will also get a Switch version.

Where Switch will really stand out though is with Japanese exclusives.  This is a bigger deal, because Japanese developers don't go multiplat to the extent that Western developers do, so third party exclusives will mostly be coming from Japan.  Switch is on track to surpass the PS4's total install base by late 2018/early 2019.  This means that Japanese developers see Switch as the main console to develop for.  Switch is going to get a lot of Japanese exclusives.  Of course, some Japanese games are going to be multiplat, but the ones that aren't are going to be mostly Switch exclusives.  Again, since games take at least a couple of years to make then you won't see too much of this next week at E3.  Switch will get a few third party exclusives next week, but PS4 will get more.  Next year that will reverse, and then Switch will just get more and more exclusives after that.

This is all why Sony needs to release PS5 ASAP.  They still aren't going to get many Japanese exclusives, but they'll actually get more Western exclusives.  Downgrading from PS4 to Switch is easy.  Downgrading from PS5 to Switch is much bigger deal and probably won't happen much.

I actually doubt it. Given, the Switch has better 3rd-party-support than all Nintendo-home-consoles since N64 (not so sure about DS/3DS though). But still, the Switch lags behind other consoles in that regard: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=236419

And that is for the games that WERE released on Switch. Many still miss it. Interesting for me though, that the yearly sports games were confirmed again, although these are sellign comparatively very bad. The only multiplat shooter so far (Doom) is also among the games with the worst split, which makes more shooters unlikely. But even other games like Lego-games sell weaker than on PS4 (although Switch starts to beat XBox One in some areas).

Add to this, that while Switch is powerful enough to make ports of many games possible, it is still weaker, which makes ports more difficult. Porting to a more powerful console is extremely easy if you do not change anything. Downscaling assets to meet a weaker hardware though is work. But more importantly I think that storage is limiting. Nintendo needed cartridges for Switch, because it wouldn't be really mobile with optical media. Still optical media does contain more storage space, allowing for more assets.

These two reasons (sales and technical limitations) will assure, that Switch will have less 3rd-party support than say PS4, although still better than many Nintendo-consoles before.

Besides, Nintendo only sells because of its own games, really. NSW is basically the 3DS successor and even 3DS with it's wonderful library didn't sell more than PS4 that is a home console in its lifetime. 

Its 3d mario, zelda, splatoon 2, and mario kart. Mario kart and 3d Mario will out sell all those games except for pokemon.