Will this be the last year PS4 outsells Switch?

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Mnementh said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

A console peaks early when it doesn't have good third party support.  The Switch will have extremely good third party support.  That is what is going to drive sales for the Switch in 2020 and beyond.

I actually doubt it. Given, the Switch has better 3rd-party-support than all Nintendo-home-consoles since N64 (not so sure about DS/3DS though). But still, the Switch lags behind other consoles in that regard: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=236419

And that is for the games that WERE released on Switch. Many still miss it. Interesting for me though, that the yearly sports games were confirmed again, although these are sellign comparatively very bad. The only multiplat shooter so far (Doom) is also among the games with the worst split, which makes more shooters unlikely. But even other games like Lego-games sell weaker than on PS4 (although Switch starts to beat XBox One in some areas).

Add to this, that while Switch is powerful enough to make ports of many games possible, it is still weaker, which makes ports more difficult. Porting to a more powerful console is extremely easy if you do not change anything. Downscaling assets to meet a weaker hardware though is work. But more importantly I think that storage is limiting. Nintendo needed cartridges for Switch, because it wouldn't be really mobile with optical media. Still optical media does contain more storage space, allowing for more assets.

These two reasons (sales and technical limitations) will assure, that Switch will have less 3rd-party support than say PS4, although still better than many Nintendo-consoles before.

Besides, Nintendo only sells because of its own games, really. NSW is basically the 3DS successor and even 3DS with it's wonderful library didn't sell more than PS4 that is a home console in its lifetime.