The_Liquid_Laser said:
LethalP said:
What sells the Switch? Is it Doom and Skyrim? Or is it Mario, Zelda, Mario Kart, Smash, Pokemon? Look at the software: http://www.vgchartz.com/platform/83/nintendo-switch/
If Skyrim can't sell 1 million in a year then what the fuck chance does anything else stand? Do you really think Switch could become the go to platform for AAA gaming? As in Switch being the lead platform for GTA 6, Elder Scrolls 6 and the like? You're tripping.
The reality is, PS4 will keep getting the lions share of third party titles up until the release of the PS5. Once PS5 is on the market, both it and PS4 will get cross gen games for the first year or so just like the beginning of this gen. The Switch will continue not to get CoD, BF, or any major AAA thrid party release outside of stuff that is big in Japan. What motivation does Bethesda have to bring Doom 2 to Switch when the first one can barely sell past 300k?
The PS5 will be fine. Switch'l do nuttin.. It'l do nuttin'.
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One place where we differ is that you put a lot more emphasis on big Western titles than I do. Switch won't get many Western exclusives, but most Western games are going to go multiplat and include Switch anyway. Western developers are already making 5 versions of their games : PC, PS4, PS4 Pro, XB1, XB1X. They might as well make a 6th version for the Switch. These games are already made with scaling up/down in mind, so its not a big deal to scale the games down a little to the Switch. It's definitely worth porting a game over if it's going to sell a million+ like Skyrim. Of course you're not going to full see this until 2019 because most games take 2-3 years to develop. Next week at E3, we'll see maybe 30-50% or so of Western games get a Switch version. Starting next year, the majority of multiplat games will also get a Switch version.
Where Switch will really stand out though is with Japanese exclusives. This is a bigger deal, because Japanese developers don't go multiplat to the extent that Western developers do, so third party exclusives will mostly be coming from Japan. Switch is on track to surpass the PS4's total install base by late 2018/early 2019. This means that Japanese developers see Switch as the main console to develop for. Switch is going to get a lot of Japanese exclusives. Of course, some Japanese games are going to be multiplat, but the ones that aren't are going to be mostly Switch exclusives. Again, since games take at least a couple of years to make then you won't see too much of this next week at E3. Switch will get a few third party exclusives next week, but PS4 will get more. Next year that will reverse, and then Switch will just get more and more exclusives after that.
This is all why Sony needs to release PS5 ASAP. They still aren't going to get many Japanese exclusives, but they'll actually get more Western exclusives. Downgrading from PS4 to Switch is easy. Downgrading from PS5 to Switch is much bigger deal and probably won't happen much.
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