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Forums - Nintendo - How many NX's does Nintendo need to sell for it to be considered a success?

 

For the NX to be a success how many units need to be sold?

10-20 million 8 1.91%
 
20-30 million 52 12.44%
 
30-40 million 137 32.78%
 
40-50 million 84 20.10%
 
50-60 million 93 22.25%
 
It doesnt matter what it sells NINTENDOOM! 27 6.46%
 
Whats an NX? 17 4.07%
 
Total:418
maxleresistant said:
Soundwave said:

25 is probably too close to the GameCube which Nintendo has basically admitted was a failure.

But 30 would in line with the N64, which is a clear notch better.

The N64 wasn't really a success either. It did really well in the USA, but it was a failure in europe and japan.

I still think 30 millions wouldn't cut it. We're not talking about an "ok results", we're talking about "success".  

Here are the home consoles from Nintendo that are considered success:

-Wii 100 million

-NES 60 millions

-Snes 50 millions

 

You can't go lower than 40 millions lifetime.

Where are you deriving your definition of success? Is this from Nintendo's own mouth?

Likely success is completely respective to what they hoped to achieve. It is well known the gamecube was a bigger money maker than the 360 and PS3. It could only be a failure in terms of what Nintendo had hoped to achieve. Same with N64.



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If it will be the only Nintendo console (home console + handheld combined) then it should be 60-80M.



If it runs around the competition in circles, I don't think the internet would consider it a success even if sold a billion units. If it flops and sells only half of Wii U's sales numbers, you're going be reading how NX is the best thing since sliced bread.

So, yeah, I guess it's Nintendoomed.



Ei Kiinasti.

Eikä Japanisti.

Vaan pannaan jalalla koreasti.

 

Nintendo games sell only on Nintendo system.

maxleresistant said:
Soundwave said:

40 million (if you're talking one model, that being a home console) is probably asking for a lot, to get there Nintendo probably needs a couple of new breakout hit IP. N64 basically sold the same as the SNES in North America and Europe, it's Japan that basically accounted for the difference and that was strictly on the dumb decision to not inlcude CD-ROM as some part of the N64. If they had CD it would have outsold the SNES, probably easily because it would've had JRPGs and many other types of Japanese games the Super Famicom had.

Yes I'm talking about one model, home console. If the NX is a hybride handheld/home, the numbers needs to be a lot more than that. It needs to sell something upward of a 120 million to be a success (the 3DS/wiiU are peaking right now at 82 millions combined, and probably will hit 90/95 until they are discontinued, so the  NX needs to sell more than that,  otherwise it will be a step back, and the last thing Nintendo wants, is another step back) 

As for the N64 it wasn't a success in japan and europe, and overall, not a success. It was half-successful. But we're not talking about what the NX needs to be a "half-success"', we are talking about a Success.

30 millions is not a success in this market, it's not a success for Nintendo either. 30 millions would be a good start but a disappointment.

I say 40

You have your 3DS/Wii U numbers a little off, they are around 72-73 million combined, not 82 million.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

When it starts making money.



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zorg1000 said:

You have your 3DS/Wii U numbers a little off, they are around 72-73 million combined, not 82 million.

turns out I can't add 59 + 13.... Yeah sorry about that, so I'll say 110 instead 120. Thanks for pointing it out



teigaga said:

Where are you deriving your definition of success? Is this from Nintendo's own mouth?

Likely success is completely respective to what they hoped to achieve. It is well known the gamecube was a bigger money maker than the 360 and PS3. It could only be a failure in terms of what Nintendo had hoped to achieve. Same with N64.

They sold 100 millions Wii, and 150 millions NDS, That's 250 millions consoles sold in the span of 5/6 years.

Do you really think Nintendo is content with selling 72 millions units at this point in the gen? Do you think they would be happy and think it's a success if they sold 30 millions home console and 70 million handhelds?

They always made a lot of money, they always aimed for more, they are not aiming at the gamecube numbers, they are aiming at a lot more than that. Also the cost of making games has been increased tenfold since the Gamecube. You can't make as much profit with the same sales.

30 millions would put the NX behind the Wii, NES, SNES and N64. How can anyone here thinks that Nintendo will be happy with the NX being their 5th best selling console? 

I'm dead sure on that, if it doesn't do better than  the N64, they'll categorize it as a mild failure. Hell, I bet they would even think 40 millions is not a success.

For me 40 millions means : a good third party support, a great first party support, great sales of software, and good profits. That xould be a success



Why is it so hard for people to grasp that Nintendo wants identify more with a platform like iOS and Android where they just report on how many compatible active devices are on the market than just a traditional console installed base.



This really depends on the definition of success. As long as its profitable, then its worth-while to do. So it then comes down to other indications of success. If it is based on consumer acceptance or market leadership, then it isn't as simple as selling X MM. It has a lot of other variables.

For instance, I look at Wii U. As a comparison to the sales of other Nintendo consoles, then it is not 'successful'. But in terms of profitability and lessons learned, it is successful.



I guess it would be considered a success if their sales outsells the competition or at least be on par with them.