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Forums - Gaming - Halo 5 advert.....6 months before release

DialgaMarine said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:


UC4 is a nonfactor for 2015 now, so it seems like UC4 is going to go up against Quantum Break in spring of next year. PS4 wont get Tomb Raider either until like six or seven months after launch for sure. We all know Microsoft will bundle Halo 5 and Rise of the Tomb Raider in special edition Xboxes for the holiday season, so Sony is really going to be digging and still going off of hype. No doubt Sony will win the year while Microsoft wins 4th quarter again though. When Microsoft makes deals like this it totally kills the buzz for Sony with Rise of the Tomb Raider though. Remember Bioshock? Sold decently, but it could've been way better had Microsoft not stepped in the way of a dual launch. Unless Sony comes up with something at E3 they are pretty much spent for the year on AAA exclusives.

 Sony getting BO3 and Battlefront marketing deals and bundles will definitely give PS4 an edge this holiday, plus I sincerely doubt Sony's just gonna go through the rest of the year without at 1 or 2 more big AAA titles. E3 will tell all.


I'm pretty sure Sony also has the Mad Max marketing deal which comes out in September, that's looking very nice now as well. Maybe Metal Gear is a Sony thing too, that's a lot of weight for Halo, Forza and Tomb Raider to go up against, especially given everything else Sony has.

 

Sony likely has at least Ratchet & Clank, Fat Princess Adventures and Disgaea 5 as outright AAA retail exclusives so far for Q4.

Then there's a bunch of other stuff too like the F2P games Deep Down, Let it Die, Drawn 2 Death.

Given how GT6 was handled it's possible Sony may do a full reveal of GT7 next month and release that in the holidays this year as well, probably leaving at least one spot at E3 for another title.

Let's face it Sony's developers have been busy and quiet for a pretty long time now.

We know Bend, Media Molecule & Guerrilla Games are all working on something, I'd probably rule out Media Molecule because they have a game coming out this year with Tearaway Unfolded, so their new IP may be held back to show at Gamescom or PSX and released next year.

Guerrilla's Horizon could be the big gun for the Holidays, it's been in development for over 4 years, is very unique and we all know how Sony likes to be different to the competition.

 

The software Sony already has lined up for 2015, but that is lacking release dates is all very different from the 3rd party stuff coming. Sony has a big volume of games, which could hold more weight than the few titles Microsoft has prepped already for Q4.

 

There's also the likes of Persona 5 as a cross gen release, with so many other games that are next gen exclusives anything that could come to last gen will probably just help to reinforce Sony's position this Holiday. They also have Bloodborne, The Order, Tearaway Unfolded, Until Dawn, Everybody's Gone to the Rapture and anything else that came out in Q1, 2 & 3, which can be bundled with PS4 for the holidays.

 

I doubt Sony will go through E3 or Gamescom without pushing a couple of big AAA exclusives. There's also the possibility that they've backed some 3rd party AAA new IP and also the likes of Level 5 or Quantic Dream could have something ready this year.

 

The conferences should be very interesting this year!



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S.T.A.G.E. said:
DialgaMarine said:

 Sony getting BO3 and Battlefront marketing deals and bundles will definitely give PS4 an edge this holiday, plus I sincerely doubt Sony's just gonna go through the rest of the year without at 1 or 2 more big AAA titles. E3 will tell all.



Thats decent enough I guess, but I don't see it winning the holiday season for Sony. Halo will sell consoles on its own for sure though.


As I said in my post it will move some, but it's not the big system seller that you seem to believe it to be.

If past games in the series could increase hardware sales by hundreds of thousands you'd have a point, especially if it had some long standing effect for weeks after release (which doesn't happen), but looking at past entries in the series it's beem the fact that people already have an XBox that has sold so many copies of the game.

Best case scenario Halo 5 moves maybe an additional 50K XBox One's compared to the previous week, the game will no doubt sell at least 2 million units release week, but it's highly doubtful it'll do much more than that.

If MS bundles the game, with some other titles then that will help, but then that's not Halo 5 having the system selling effect by itself, it's just giving a new AAA release away with the platform.

 

This gen XBox doesn't have the 3rd party preference like it did last gen, which will surely have an effect on how numbers rise when Halo 5 comes out.



JustBeingReal said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:

Thats decent enough I guess, but I don't see it winning the holiday season for Sony. Halo will sell consoles on its own for sure though.


As I said in my post it will move some, but it's not the big system seller that you seem to believe it to be.

If past games in the series could increase hardware sales by hundreds of thousands you'd have a point, especially if it had some long standing effect for weeks after release (which doesn't happen), but looking at past entries in the series it's beem the fact that people already have an XBox that has sold so many copies of the game.

Best case scenario Halo 5 moves maybe an additional 50K XBox One's compared to the previous week, the game will no doubt sell at least 2 million units release week, but it's highly doubtful it'll do much more than that.

If MS bundles the game, with some other titles then that will help, but then that's not Halo 5 having the system selling effect by itself, it's just giving a new AAA release away with the platform.

 

This gen XBox doesn't have the 3rd party preference like it did last gen, which will surely have an effect on how numbers rise when Halo 5 comes out.


Sony had no major exclusive for 4th quarter last year and Microsoft outsold the PS4 with a price cut. If Halo 4 drops they will move consoles. This is the first Halo on the Xbox One. 360 gamers who are fans will be forced to jump ship. Just wait.



JustBeingReal said:
DialgaMarine said:

 Sony getting BO3 and Battlefront marketing deals and bundles will definitely give PS4 an edge this holiday, plus I sincerely doubt Sony's just gonna go through the rest of the year without at 1 or 2 more big AAA titles. E3 will tell all.


I'm pretty sure Sony also has the Mad Max marketing deal which comes out in September, that's looking very nice now as well. Maybe Metal Gear is a Sony thing too, that's a lot of weight for Halo, Forza and Tomb Raider to go up against, especially given everything else Sony has.

The difference is that all those multiplatform AAA titles like Metal Gear Solid V are coming out at the same time on Xbox One.

Sony likely has at least Ratchet & Clank, Fat Princess Adventures and Disgaea 5 as outright AAA retail exclusives so far for Q4.

None of those titles are AAA...

Then there's a bunch of other stuff too like the F2P games Deep Down, Let it Die, Drawn 2 Death.

If those kinds of games moved a lot of systems the Vita would be selling like hot cakes.

Given how GT6 was handled it's possible Sony may do a full reveal of GT7 next month and release that in the holidays this year as well, probably leaving at least one spot at E3 for another title.

Thinking they're going to reveal GT7 and release it before X'mas just seems like wishful thinking.

Let's face it Sony's developers have been busy and quiet for a pretty long time now.

We know Bend, Media Molecule & Guerrilla Games are all working on something, I'd probably rule out Media Molecule because they have a game coming out this year with Tearaway Unfolded, so their new IP may be held back to show at Gamescom or PSX and released next year.

Guerrilla's Horizon could be the big gun for the Holidays, it's been in development for over 4 years, is very unique and we all know how Sony likes to be different to the competition.

Didn't Guerrilla have most of its staff working on the last Killzone game?  They're probably only halfway through development of Horizon.

The software Sony already has lined up for 2015, but that is lacking release dates is all very different from the 3rd party stuff coming. Sony has a big volume of games, which could hold more weight than the few titles Microsoft has prepped already for Q4.

Sounds like list wars stuff where you put in a bunch of niche games that will be lucky to even chart in the top 10 to pad a list.

There's also the likes of Persona 5 as a cross gen release, with so many other games that are next gen exclusives anything that could come to last gen will probably just help to reinforce Sony's position this Holiday. They also have Bloodborne, The Order, Tearaway Unfolded, Until Dawn, Everybody's Gone to the Rapture and anything else that came out in Q1, 2 & 3, which can be bundled with PS4 for the holidays.

The fact Personal 5 is going to be on 3 different systems will probably impact it being a PS4 system seller.  As for the others they will help in sales for sure but the same can be said of the Xbox One's existing library.

I doubt Sony will go through E3 or Gamescom without pushing a couple of big AAA exclusives. There's also the possibility that they've backed some 3rd party AAA new IP and also the likes of Level 5 or Quantic Dream could have something ready this year.

The conferences should be very interesting this year!





S.T.A.G.E. said:
JustBeingReal said:


As I said in my post it will move some, but it's not the big system seller that you seem to believe it to be.

If past games in the series could increase hardware sales by hundreds of thousands you'd have a point, especially if it had some long standing effect for weeks after release (which doesn't happen), but looking at past entries in the series it's beem the fact that people already have an XBox that has sold so many copies of the game.

Best case scenario Halo 5 moves maybe an additional 50K XBox One's compared to the previous week, the game will no doubt sell at least 2 million units release week, but it's highly doubtful it'll do much more than that.

If MS bundles the game, with some other titles then that will help, but then that's not Halo 5 having the system selling effect by itself, it's just giving a new AAA release away with the platform.

 

This gen XBox doesn't have the 3rd party preference like it did last gen, which will surely have an effect on how numbers rise when Halo 5 comes out.


Sony had no major exclusive for 4th quarter last year and Microsoft outsold the PS4 with a price cut. If Halo 4 drops they will move consoles. This is the first Halo on the Xbox One. 360 gamers who are fans will be forced to jump ship. Just wait.

These are the numbers:

4th October 2014
PS4  11,903,468
XB1 6,050,362

3rd Jan 2015
PS4  18,724,800
XB1 10,981,041

Q4 2014 sales
PS4 : 6,821,332
XB1: 4,930,679

According to VG Driveclub sold 1.6M, Sunset Overdrive sold 780K, those were the only major exclusives on either platform last holiday.

MS had the marketing deals for things like COD, yet Sony still outsold Microsoft by 1,890,653, so almost 2 million units. You're also acting like Sony doesn't have a thing, for one thing they have all of the games that have come out throughout the whole year, plus they have a bunch of exclusives, one of which (Ratchet & Clank) has a major movie release in cinemas, which Sony will no doubt market the hell out of.

 

This year Sony has a lot more exclusives, those games that came out before the Fall will also be reduced in price compared to the new releases.

There's also the issue of Sony likely dropping the price of PS4 down to $299/£249, just as they have done with every other home console for their 1st major price cut.

 

Halo 3 was the 1st major Halo game on 360, the 1st Halo game since 2004, yet it still only pushed hardware sales up by about 67K, it's not going to have the huge effect you think it will.



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Just because Halo 3 moved an extra 60k retail at launch doesn't mean it wasn't selling consoles long before or after that. I bought an Xbox 360 for Halo 3 a couple months before the game released. I bought an Xbox One because of Halo. Both of those examples make your point invalid.



Legend11 said:
JustBeingReal said:

The difference is that all those multiplatform AAA titles like Metal Gear Solid V are coming out at the same time on Xbox One.

The difference is actually that multiplats clearly move PS4 more than they do XB1, those games are being mainly marketed on PS4, not XB1 and we all saw what kind of an effect that had to Destiny.

None of those titles are AAA...

Actually they all are, Ratchet & Clank in particular is a huge game, one of Sony's biggest selling franchises, it also has a major movie release coming out.

Those are retail releases, made by big studios, Fat Princess is at least partially a Santa Monica game, they're also very different from the standard 3rd party releases we're getting, meaning Sony hits the season on multiple fronts.

If those kinds of games moved a lot of systems the Vita would be selling like hot cakes.

Major difference is that PS4 is a much more popular platform, that also has big 3rd party games and clear support by Sony's own developers, they're also more heavily marketed that the Vita releases.

Thinking they're going to reveal GT7 and release it before X'mas just seems like wishful thinking.

Not really, especially given how GT6 was handled, announced the same year it came out, I'm not saying it's definitely going to happen, but there's nothing against it happening, just because GT5 was a heavily delayed game that doesn't mean that Gran Turismo won't come much sooner this gen compared to the last.

FYI past games in the series actually came out much sooner than PS3's titles, a delayed GT game is actually less likely than a regularly released one.

Didn't Guerrilla have most of its staff working on the last Killzone game?  They're probably only halfway through development of Horizon.

They're a big studio, with over 270 staff, which is similar in size to CD Project Red.

If Media Molecule can work on Tearaway, Tearaway Unfolded and a new IP, with only 50 staff then I think Guerrilla were fine to make more than one game in the last 4 years.

They began development on it when KZ3 finished development, along with Shadow Fall, so no it wasn't the case that most of GG were working on Shadow Fall, most of Amsterdam were likely dedicated to Horizon, given the scale of the project.

Another factor you have to bare in mind is that even smaller studios like Michel Ancel's new Indie Studio can churn out a game the size of Europe in a few years, with a staff less than 1/10th of Guerrilla.

Guerrilla even said in Feb 2014 that the game was already over 2 and a half years into development.

They've also been releasing a new game for home console every 2 years since KZ2 came out, making it even more likely that they coud at least have something.

Cambridge are working on a new game, from an established big Sony franchise, so if Horizon isn't the game, then it could be a new Killzone or Resistance that gets a release this year.

 

Sounds like list wars stuff where you put in a bunch of niche games that will be lucky to even chart in the top 10 to pad a list.

Not really, especially when a decent chunk of those games aren't even really niche and they all add something different to the library as a whole.

FYI people said Bloodborne was Niche, yet it sold very well. Those kinds of games, will no doubt serve to reinforce the bigger multiplat releases.

That's why PS4 has been selling like it has, it has the 3rd party sales this generation and a mountain of such games that you can't get on any other system.

The fact Personal 5 is going to be on 3 different systems will probably impact it being a PS4 system seller.  As for the others they will help in sales for sure but the same can be said of the Xbox One's existing library.

PS4 doesn't just have that though, P5 will likely sell best on PS4 out of all of the versions of the games.

As far as complete library of content goes PS4 has a substantially bigger library of games compared to XB1, fresh games from this year.


See bolded comments.



smroadkill15 said:

Just because Halo 3 moved an extra 60k retail at launch doesn't mean it wasn't selling consoles long before or after that. I bought an Xbox 360 for Halo 3 a couple months before the game released. I bought an Xbox One because of Halo. Both of those examples make your point invalid.


No they don't, for one thing you're one person, not the community on the whole, secondly other games sold the system as well, what I'm saying is that the install base won't spike enormously when the system get's a new major Halo game, which is what the numbers prove and it makes my point absolutely valid based on the facts.

Most people have more than just one reason to buy a system.

If Halo was the system seller that people make it out to be then the hardware numbers would have to move more in line with the software sales, but that doesn't happen.

Many people have argued that Halo 5 is going to cause a huge rise in Xbox One sales, but in order for that to happen then the sales of the console need to increase when the game comes out, otherwise it's a matter of people buying the game because they already had an XB1.



JustBeingReal said:
DialgaMarine said:

 Sony getting BO3 and Battlefront marketing deals and bundles will definitely give PS4 an edge this holiday, plus I sincerely doubt Sony's just gonna go through the rest of the year without at 1 or 2 more big AAA titles. E3 will tell all.


I'm pretty sure Sony also has the Mad Max marketing deal which comes out in September, that's looking very nice now as well. Maybe Metal Gear is a Sony thing too, that's a lot of weight for Halo, Forza and Tomb Raider to go up against, especially given everything else Sony has.

 

Sony likely has at least Ratchet & Clank, Fat Princess Adventures and Disgaea 5 as outright AAA retail exclusives so far for Q4.

Then there's a bunch of other stuff too like the F2P games Deep Down, Let it Die, Drawn 2 Death.

Given how GT6 was handled it's possible Sony may do a full reveal of GT7 next month and release that in the holidays this year as well, probably leaving at least one spot at E3 for another title.

Let's face it Sony's developers have been busy and quiet for a pretty long time now.

We know Bend, Media Molecule & Guerrilla Games are all working on something, I'd probably rule out Media Molecule because they have a game coming out this year with Tearaway Unfolded, so their new IP may be held back to show at Gamescom or PSX and released next year.

Guerrilla's Horizon could be the big gun for the Holidays, it's been in development for over 4 years, is very unique and we all know how Sony likes to be different to the competition.

 

The software Sony already has lined up for 2015, but that is lacking release dates is all very different from the 3rd party stuff coming. Sony has a big volume of games, which could hold more weight than the few titles Microsoft has prepped already for Q4.

 

There's also the likes of Persona 5 as a cross gen release, with so many other games that are next gen exclusives anything that could come to last gen will probably just help to reinforce Sony's position this Holiday. They also have Bloodborne, The Order, Tearaway Unfolded, Until Dawn, Everybody's Gone to the Rapture and anything else that came out in Q1, 2 & 3, which can be bundled with PS4 for the holidays.

 

I doubt Sony will go through E3 or Gamescom without pushing a couple of big AAA exclusives. There's also the possibility that they've backed some 3rd party AAA new IP and also the likes of Level 5 or Quantic Dream could have something ready this year.

 

The conferences should be very interesting this year!

 That's what I've been saying. So many people act like a game has to be revealed years ahead of release. I honestly don't understand this mentality right that MS is going to have all these exclusives coming during the holidays, but Sony has absolutely nothing. There's no way in hell Sony has nothing on the books for the rest of the year. Hell, I'm gonna be playing Godzilla and the new R&C, and I guarentee something else will pop up.





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I saw one on TV this morning and thought it was a little funny how early it was.