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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction - PS4 will have 20 million lead over Xbox One at the end of 2015

BeElite on 15 August 2014
waza2323 said:


The sample size is not large enough to determine what effect the removal of kinect will have in the long term.

It has only been 2 months since Kinect has been removed. By December, the kinectless SKU will have been on the market almost the same time as the xbox one that launched with kinect. By then, we will know the $399 xbox has made an impact.

I have a feeling though that the gap in USA will start to decrease in the next 6 months, especially because of Halo MCC.


Who you kidding, new cheaper cku or price cuts have always had an immidiete effect then tapered of at a higher baseline if succesful. 

We already know it made little to no impact in NA.  



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DD_Bwest on 15 August 2014
waza2323 said:


The sample size is not large enough to determine what effect the removal of kinect will have in the long term.

It has only been 2 months since Kinect has been removed. By December, the kinectless SKU will have been on the market almost the same time as the xbox one that launched with kinect. By then, we will know the $399 xbox has made an impact.

I have a feeling though that the gap in USA will start to decrease in the next 6 months, especially because of Halo MCC.


not a chance,  especially with wats going on in sept.



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Captain_Tom on 15 August 2014
daredevil.shark said:

I predict PS4 will have 15 20 million lead over Xbox One by the end of 2015. Nothing less. Next year is full of games. It will be awesome. I also expect a price cut for both consoles. For PS4 $349 and Xbox One $299. And yet PS4 will outsold Xbox One.

 

Okay: I am updating my numbers. Its now 20 million.


I mean it really isn't a crazy prediction.  The PS4 selling 35 - 40 million the first 2 years, and the Xbox one selling 15 - 20 million in that same time isn't insane.  However I would say these are optimitic predictions.



Solid-Stark on 15 August 2014

Imo, 20m is too much.

15m looks doable.



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DucksUnlimited on 15 August 2014

Yeah, 15m seems realistic but i really doubt 20m. I think it'll be something like 32m vs 17m



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ICStats on 15 August 2014

I expect 15M advantage by end of 2015. If it's 20M would either amazing PS4 sales, or unexpectedly poor XB1 sales.



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MoHasanie on 15 August 2014

20m is too much but I could see 15m. Depends on how MS will price the X1. If they drop the price and have a price advantage over the PS4, then I don't see PS4 leading by 15m.



    

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MoHasanie on 15 August 2014
CGI-Quality said:
MoHasanie said:
20m is too much but I could see 15m. Depends on how MS will price the X1. If they drop the price and have a price advantage over the PS4, then I don't see PS4 leading by 15m.

But this is if Sony doesn't drop theirs, as well.

True but I said only if MS has a price advantage after the price drop. 



    

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AZWification on 15 August 2014

I don't think a 20 million lead can happen, but 15 million will definitely happen! No ifs, ands, or buts!



                
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Ninsect on 15 August 2014

I don't see why not. XB1 will be 17-19m and PS4 should be around 35-37m



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