By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Prediction - PS4 will have 20 million lead over Xbox One at the end of 2015

daredevil.shark said:


And Halo 5 might get delayed. My speculation is tomb raider will be 2015 holiday exclusive because halo 5 got delayed. Lol.


No chance of Halo being delayed. If they can have a beta in January they should be able to get the game shipped by 2015.



Around the Network

Seems reasonable, though i'd be more conservative and say 15



wishful thinking



Tagging for future fun



I think that 12 million is very achievable. I doubt the 20 million number. I just think that the "Hype" around the PS4 is falling off. The problem for M$ has been that their Hype fell off dramatically more. I think that M$ will continue to do more and more little things to get more parity in the consumers eyes. With that, they will not catch up to Sony in sales, but the gap will not increase as fast as it has in the last 6 months or so.



It is near the end of the end....

Around the Network
daredevil.shark said:

And Halo 5 might get delayed. My speculation is tomb raider will be 2015 holiday exclusive because halo 5 got delayed. Lol.

I don't think Halo 5 will get delayed. Halo games have usually released in the Fall around September, so I expect Halo 5 to release at the same time as well. Tomb Raider will be a holiday system seller. They don't want both games competing with each other. 



    

NNID: FrequentFlyer54

I believe a 10-15m lead is indeed possible. Who knows, maybe even a 20m lead - Sony has the games next year in order to achieve this. For this year though, my prediction is that the current gap of ~5m will widen further to 7-8m at the end of this year.



Teeqoz said:
Tagging for future fun


Maybe you'll bump the thread to say " wrong prediction,  25M lead finally :) " , with a combination of poor X1 sales during Jan -October until Haloand great PS4 sales ( it works together) , it could be.



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

daredevil.shark said:

I predict PS4 will have 15 20 million lead over Xbox One by the end of 2015. Nothing less. Next year is full of games. It will be awesome. I also expect a price cut for both consoles. For PS4 $349 and Xbox One $299. And yet PS4 will outsold Xbox One.

 

Okay: I am updating my numbers. Its now 20 million.

It's a possibility; I would say 15-20 million.



”Every great dream begins with a dreamer. Always remember, you have within you the strength, the patience, and the passion to reach for the stars to change the world.”

Harriet Tubman.

daredevil.shark said:

I predict PS4 will have 15 20 million lead over Xbox One by the end of 2015. Nothing less. Next year is full of games. It will be awesome. I also expect a price cut for both consoles. For PS4 $349 and Xbox One $299. And yet PS4 will outsold Xbox One.

 

Okay: I am updating my numbers. Its now 20 million.


According to own predictions I made last year (and still highly reliable), by the end of 2015,

XB1 will have sold : between 11.2 and 17.4 million

PS4 will have sold : between 28.4 and 35.3 million

The gap will be between 13 and 22.7 million

 

Well, although the estimates above are correct with 95% confidence, the ranges are a bit large. I will update the data at the end of 2014, and the ranges will be much smaller.

In summary, your estimate of 20 million seems "POSSIBLE THOUGH NOT VERY LIKELY".

For more info, see : http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=178341&page=1

 



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates