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daredevil.shark said:

I predict PS4 will have 15 20 million lead over Xbox One by the end of 2015. Nothing less. Next year is full of games. It will be awesome. I also expect a price cut for both consoles. For PS4 $349 and Xbox One $299. And yet PS4 will outsold Xbox One.

 

Okay: I am updating my numbers. Its now 20 million.


According to own predictions I made last year (and still highly reliable), by the end of 2015,

XB1 will have sold : between 11.2 and 17.4 million

PS4 will have sold : between 28.4 and 35.3 million

The gap will be between 13 and 22.7 million

 

Well, although the estimates above are correct with 95% confidence, the ranges are a bit large. I will update the data at the end of 2014, and the ranges will be much smaller.

In summary, your estimate of 20 million seems "POSSIBLE THOUGH NOT VERY LIKELY".

For more info, see : http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=178341&page=1

 



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates