Heavy Rain did over 2 million and with a good reputation (everyone I recommended it to loved it) and some advertising (never saw one ad for Heavy Rain tisk tisk yet again Sony marketing) Beyond could do 3 million with Ellen Page attached.  Last of Us could do 3-5 million with ND and judging by preorders (plus it will stand out as unique and hopefully be bundled come holidays).  GoW is GoW and has multiplayer plus GoW 3 is undertracked so 4-5 million.  Puppeteer I have no idea (unknown dev, new IP, don't know launch window although I suspect first half).  Sly is doing good preorders and I think it could do Sly 2 numbers (<2 million).  Ni No Kuni I suspect to be big in Japan especially but I don't follow JRPGs so I have no idea what to expect.  

They should drop PS3 price at E3 once all these games have given them their hardware boosts and they fully reveal PS4.  This would be the perfect time and then holiday bundles can have old games and PS+ for $150 or a new game (LoU, PSAllstars, GoW: Ascension, or a new third party game that fall) for $200.  Remember they had no big exclusives (Starhawk, Twisted Metal, and LBP Karting weren't advertised at all and recieved very little support) aside from MAYBE Allstars this year which flopped.  Couple that with no price drop and it's easy to see why PS3 went down so much.  They could easily get 10m next year with these things.  I mean there was really NO incentive to get PS3 this year if you hadn't already.  $199 is a huge deal just like $299 and every other $100 drop ($50 ones not so much) so it could see a huge jump from that compared to the $250 one 2 years ago.

yea i never saw a HR advert. either. Ni No Kuni has already released in JP

i think the Puppeteer wil reach 500k in it's first 2 wks and hit 1.5m at some point word of mouth final sales about 1.5 to 3.5m. 

LBPK was advertised, but not to my liking. Sony killed any chances Starhawk had at being a hit, 1m+. remeber flopped is subjective opinion. look at Sony All stars for Vita/PS3 and starhawk is.well you'll see  http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/game_comparison.php?reg=Global&ending=Cumulative&game%5B%5D=PlayStation+All-Stars+Battle+Royale+%28PS3%29+%5B70744%5D&game%5B%5D=PlayStation+All-Stars+Battle+Royale+%28PSV%29+%5B70745%5D&game%5B%5D=StarHawk+%28PS3%29+%5B43923%5D&game%5B%5D=Starhawk+%28PS3%29+%5B70736%5D

yea, i was worried about PS3 having nothing exclusive to boost sales, but although down by 1.8m ww from 2011 the end result is clear, and we know what would have happened, if Sony had a big rlease last yr. 

$199 price point would be perfect, but i could have sworn PS3 had a enrty level price of $179, but i think that should be Sony's target price. i think Sony can sell 11-13m this yr., depending on their approach, but i wouldn't bet on it.

lets face it, Sony hasn't done everything they could have to make PS3 a success this gen., but they did enough to make a very strong comeback proving the PS brand, wasn't hurt that much.

Well it's sold a hell of a lot more than any other $600 console ever has.  It's also been the most expensive console the entire gen and may end up being the best selling one WW.  That may be the first time that's ever happened (SNES or NES may have accomplished this).  They certainly have messed up a lot but the fact that Playstation is most expensive and was late to the party therefore getting less friends getting you to buy it once they had 360 (especially in NA) shows either A.) the brand is stronger B.) people are finally catching on to the hidden costs of Live and proprietary HDDs C.) People are noticing all of its awesome exclusives (this is the one I suspect as it took a long time to shake the "PS3 has no gaemz" thing that was true the first 2 years) or D.) any combination of A, B, and/or C.  Whichever it is the future looks bright for Sony HOME consoles.  The Vita...well that's another story.