nah I'd probably agree with under 10m, but under 7m sounds like a stretch.
Thoughts? | |||
No chance. The Wii U will... | 415 | 53.34% | |
I agree, the Wii U will s... | 363 | 46.66% | |
Total: | 778 |
nah I'd probably agree with under 10m, but under 7m sounds like a stretch.
i think i put 9M into the end of the year prediction thread. i think the first part of the year will look very disappointing but i have a feeling nintendo will have a good back half of the year when some of their heavier hitters get released next holiday.
i feel good about 9M cause it is comfortably between wii's first year and 360's first year.
ryuzaki57 said: I've just made some calculation and found 7.2 million, but my assumptions for Europe are very optimistic, so I think you're right. |
Alright, let's see this calculation then
Conegamer said:
Alright, let's see this calculation then |
I know I'm not ryu, but I've made my own calculation! :D I posted it in another thread, but I don't see the harm in posting it here as well. Now, this is only going up till March - but if we follow the basic math we see that Wii U could sell around 12m in 2013...
I'll lay down some numbers for you. Xbox360 was released more or less on the same day as Wii U in 2005, and during its first 5 weeks it ALMOST sold 1,1m (1.08 really) averaging 216,475 sold units per week. It also sold ALMOST 1,25m (1,245 really) in 2006 up until 1 of April, averaging 95, 819/week.
Wii U on the other hand has sold slightly over 2.2m (2.207 really) in its first 5 weeks - MORE than double that of the 360 in the same period of time - averaging 441,565/week.
So you actually believe a console that outsold the 360 with twice as much in their first 5 weeks will only sell slightly more than 360 in the period between January-March? The numbers speak against you.
Considering these sales numbers it wouldn't be too farfetched to assume it'll sell almost twice as much as 360 from January-March, which means it COULD sell somewhere around 3m, and adding to that the current sold 2.2 Wii U's we get a total of 5.2m Wii U by the end of March - and that's not even considering the week ending the 29th December...
I'm not sure if this analysis will hold true, but mark my words; it'll sell more than 4m by the end of March.
I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!
Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.
That's quite a prediction. I disagree. I would say 9-10 mil 1st year. I hope it does more.
DanneSandin said:
I know I'm not ryu, but I've made my own calculation! :D I posted it in another thread, but I don't see the harm in posting it here as well. Now, this is only going up till March - but if we follow the basic math we see that Wii U could sell around 12m in 2013...
I'll lay down some numbers for you. Xbox360 was released more or less on the same day as Wii U in 2005, and during its first 5 weeks it ALMOST sold 1,1m (1.08 really) averaging 216,475 sold units per week. It also sold ALMOST 1,25m (1,245 really) in 2006 up until 1 of April, averaging 95, 819/week. Wii U on the other hand has sold slightly over 2.2m (2.207 really) in its first 5 weeks - MORE than double that of the 360 in the same period of time - averaging 441,565/week. So you actually believe a console that outsold the 360 with twice as much in their first 5 weeks will only sell slightly more than 360 in the period between January-March? The numbers speak against you. Considering these sales numbers it wouldn't be too farfetched to assume it'll sell almost twice as much as 360 from January-March, which means it COULD sell somewhere around 3m, and adding to that the current sold 2.2 Wii U's we get a total of 5.2m Wii U by the end of March - and that's not even considering the week ending the 29th December... I'm not sure if this analysis will hold true, but mark my words; it'll sell more than 4m by the end of March. |
That seems pretty logical, lest we forget there's still another week of sales left in 2012 to come!
Conegamer said:
That seems pretty logical, lest we forget there's still another week of sales left in 2012 to come! |
I'm expecting sales between 250-300k... But who knows what the future holds+ The future is often not logical ;)
I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!
Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.
Yeah, there's no way Wii U will be able to double the Vita's 2012 numbers.
DanneSandin said:
haha! made me lol =) |
QFT!! Or just because it's hilarious. Well played.