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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013

 

Thoughts?

No chance. The Wii U will... 415 53.34%
 
I agree, the Wii U will s... 363 46.66%
 
Total:778

why the hate against Nintendo, what is your problem with them? i don't run like crazy bitch screaming XBOX and PS are doomed!!!!!



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nah I'd probably agree with under 10m, but under 7m sounds like a stretch.



i think i put 9M into the end of the year prediction thread. i think the first part of the year will look very disappointing but i have a feeling nintendo will have a good back half of the year when some of their heavier hitters get released next holiday.

i feel good about 9M cause it is comfortably between wii's first year and 360's first year.



ryuzaki57 said:
I've just made some calculation and found 7.2 million, but my assumptions for Europe are very optimistic, so I think you're right.



Alright, let's see this calculation then



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Conegamer said:
ryuzaki57 said:
I've just made some calculation and found 7.2 million, but my assumptions for Europe are very optimistic, so I think you're right.



Alright, let's see this calculation then

I know I'm not ryu, but I've made my own calculation! :D I posted it in another thread, but I don't see the harm in posting it here as well. Now, this is only going up till March - but if we follow the basic math we see that Wii U could sell around 12m in 2013...

 

I'll lay down some numbers for you. Xbox360 was released more or less on the same day as Wii U in 2005, and during its first 5 weeks it ALMOST sold 1,1m (1.08 really) averaging 216,475 sold units per week. It also sold ALMOST 1,25m (1,245 really) in 2006 up until 1 of April, averaging 95, 819/week.

Wii U on the other hand has sold slightly over 2.2m (2.207 really) in its first 5 weeks - MORE than double that of the 360 in the same period of time - averaging 441,565/week.

So you actually believe a console that outsold the 360 with twice as much in their first 5 weeks will only sell slightly more than 360 in the period between January-March? The numbers speak against you.

Considering these sales numbers it wouldn't be too farfetched to assume it'll sell almost twice as much as 360 from January-March, which means it COULD sell somewhere around 3m, and adding to that the current sold 2.2 Wii U's we get a total of 5.2m Wii U by the end of March - and that's not even considering the week ending the 29th December...

I'm not sure if this analysis will hold true, but mark my words; it'll sell more than 4m by the end of March.



I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!

Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.

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You are crazy



That's quite a prediction. I disagree. I would say 9-10 mil 1st year. I hope it does more.



DanneSandin said:
Conegamer said:
ryuzaki57 said:
I've just made some calculation and found 7.2 million, but my assumptions for Europe are very optimistic, so I think you're right.



Alright, let's see this calculation then

I know I'm not ryu, but I've made my own calculation! :D I posted it in another thread, but I don't see the harm in posting it here as well. Now, this is only going up till March - but if we follow the basic math we see that Wii U could sell around 12m in 2013...

 

I'll lay down some numbers for you. Xbox360 was released more or less on the same day as Wii U in 2005, and during its first 5 weeks it ALMOST sold 1,1m (1.08 really) averaging 216,475 sold units per week. It also sold ALMOST 1,25m (1,245 really) in 2006 up until 1 of April, averaging 95, 819/week.

Wii U on the other hand has sold slightly over 2.2m (2.207 really) in its first 5 weeks - MORE than double that of the 360 in the same period of time - averaging 441,565/week.

So you actually believe a console that outsold the 360 with twice as much in their first 5 weeks will only sell slightly more than 360 in the period between January-March? The numbers speak against you.

Considering these sales numbers it wouldn't be too farfetched to assume it'll sell almost twice as much as 360 from January-March, which means it COULD sell somewhere around 3m, and adding to that the current sold 2.2 Wii U's we get a total of 5.2m Wii U by the end of March - and that's not even considering the week ending the 29th December...

I'm not sure if this analysis will hold true, but mark my words; it'll sell more than 4m by the end of March.

That seems pretty logical, lest we forget there's still another week of sales left in 2012 to come!



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Conegamer said:
DanneSandin said:
Conegamer said:
ryuzaki57 said:
I've just made some calculation and found 7.2 million, but my assumptions for Europe are very optimistic, so I think you're right.



Alright, let's see this calculation then

I know I'm not ryu, but I've made my own calculation! :D I posted it in another thread, but I don't see the harm in posting it here as well. Now, this is only going up till March - but if we follow the basic math we see that Wii U could sell around 12m in 2013...

 

I'll lay down some numbers for you. Xbox360 was released more or less on the same day as Wii U in 2005, and during its first 5 weeks it ALMOST sold 1,1m (1.08 really) averaging 216,475 sold units per week. It also sold ALMOST 1,25m (1,245 really) in 2006 up until 1 of April, averaging 95, 819/week.

Wii U on the other hand has sold slightly over 2.2m (2.207 really) in its first 5 weeks - MORE than double that of the 360 in the same period of time - averaging 441,565/week.

So you actually believe a console that outsold the 360 with twice as much in their first 5 weeks will only sell slightly more than 360 in the period between January-March? The numbers speak against you.

Considering these sales numbers it wouldn't be too farfetched to assume it'll sell almost twice as much as 360 from January-March, which means it COULD sell somewhere around 3m, and adding to that the current sold 2.2 Wii U's we get a total of 5.2m Wii U by the end of March - and that's not even considering the week ending the 29th December...

I'm not sure if this analysis will hold true, but mark my words; it'll sell more than 4m by the end of March.

That seems pretty logical, lest we forget there's still another week of sales left in 2012 to come!

I'm expecting sales between 250-300k... But who knows what the future holds+ The future is often not logical ;)



I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!

Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.

Yeah, there's no way Wii U will be able to double the Vita's 2012 numbers.