Prediction: Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013

[DanneSandin]

Conegamer said:

ryuzaki57 said:
I've just made some calculation and found 7.2 million, but my assumptions for Europe are very optimistic, so I think you're right.

Alright, let's see this calculation then

I know I'm not ryu, but I've made my own calculation! :D I posted it in another thread, but I don't see the harm in posting it here as well. Now, this is only going up till March - but if we follow the basic math we see that Wii U could sell around 12m in 2013...

 

I'll lay down some numbers for you. Xbox360 was released more or less on the same day as Wii U in 2005, and during its first 5 weeks it ALMOST sold 1,1m (1.08 really) averaging 216,475 sold units per week. It also sold ALMOST 1,25m (1,245 really) in 2006 up until 1 of April, averaging 95, 819/week.

Wii U on the other hand has sold slightly over 2.2m (2.207 really) in its first 5 weeks - MORE than double that of the 360 in the same period of time - averaging 441,565/week.

So you actually believe a console that outsold the 360 with twice as much in their first 5 weeks will only sell slightly more than 360 in the period between January-March? The numbers speak against you.

Considering these sales numbers it wouldn't be too farfetched to assume it'll sell almost twice as much as 360 from January-March, which means it COULD sell somewhere around 3m, and adding to that the current sold 2.2 Wii U's we get a total of 5.2m Wii U by the end of March - and that's not even considering the week ending the 29th December...

I'm not sure if this analysis will hold true, but mark my words; it'll sell more than 4m by the end of March.