Assuming you mean Europe? If so - No. About the same chance as Sony outselling Microsoft in America.

Oh, I absolutely agree with you. I'm just saying people that think MS is planning on taking another hit to try and increase market share again probably isn't accurate. That's why I don't think the next MS and Sony consoles will differ much in terms of performance, but I wouldn't be surprised to see an edge to MS (because, as you implied, they can afford it).

No lol... that's in the middle of MY prediction. 

6.5m?

The X720 will sell more than the PS4 in Europe. I will buy millions of X720's if that's what it takes to make my prediction materialise. BAHAHAH!

deal

Casual games are actually doing fairly well on the 360. Granted they aren't the newer titles, but it isn't written anywhere that demand should only be counted against the most recent releases. If we want to follow that logic PS3 owners really aren't into racing games, because only the old games actually sell really well. We can theorize as to why this is, but seeing as you probably aren't genuinely interested in understanding this. Then it is safe to say it would be a waste of my precious time to proceed on this specific point.

Looking at the sales of the Wii. I think it isn't the fact you claim it to be. The Wii and the 360 are competing motion control products, but Microsoft's console is selling over two times as many units. While holding a much higher price point. If that didn't make my point for me. Then the fact that Nintendo moved away from motion control centric play in their new console should. How can Nintendo hold or own a market that they have basically conceded to their rival. How can you win if your not in. Props to Nintendo for realizing that Microsoft had the better technology, and for not wasting time and money fighting a losing battle.

This flies right in the face of all reason, and it is purely wishful thinking on your part. Even if it were to come to pass it would be pretty awful for Sony, because for them to overcome Microsoft's advantage in total number of studios. Sony would have to suffer a myriad of software sales setbacks, and significantly lower the overall quality of their software. That is like losing a war to win a battle. I think Microsoft would gladly take that loss, because it would mean their intellectual properties would be selling well enough to warrant sequels. While Sony's intellectual properties would be almost to a title failing, and thus abandoned in favor of new original properties. What your effectively rooting for is the demise of God of War, Uncharted, Gran Tourismo, and Little Big Planet.

Anyway if Sony can make it into the new generation. I doubt they are going to be forced to abandon their best properties. If they have to do that then the game is pretty much up for them. It would mean that the market has turned its back on Sony's software, and that is probably over half the brand loyalty. In a kind of comincal way you are agreeing with me.

MS is rather new compared to the others in this market.. people forget Xbox 360 was only the 2nd console of this company. 360 sales outsold the USA grew slowly ( understandable with loyal Nintendo and Sony fans ) but the fact is they grew a lot over Xbox 1... But in the USA Xbox sales grew TREMENDOUSLY.

The fact is Sony can't be number 1 again unless it gets America back.. I don't think America will abandon the Xbox 3 so quickly..And now that the PS4 will drop a updated version of Cell and instead become more like an Xbox ( More like a PC ) under the leadership of someone new I think Sony has admitted and realized making a processor like Cell which made it harder for developers to make great games ( although they did and could - but it took more time = MORE MONEY ) would be another mistake to do it again.. And now will try and take a page from M$ book because they understand this something Xbox 360 did right.. technically it wasn't as powerful and it still didn't matter..

What a lot of Sony fans ( loyal to Sony - no other console ) don't understand is even if Sony passed Xbox 360 in sales it would still be the loser financially..

Google predicts Xbox 3 will crush PS4.. I did post that Sony make a comeback without gaining back the USA.. MS has a better chance of gaining ground in the rest of the world with its 3rd Xbox.. as it did with XB 360 over XB1...

http://www.ludos-mundi.com/2012/12/13/google-predicts-xbox-720-crush-ps4/

what about the big emerging markets for this gen,it should have an effect on sales in a few years,

i think price will be the major factor when MS/Sony launch,they could gain/lose share in europe and N.america,,i agree with Binary it feels like the they all have the same amount of Core supporters now so maybe this gen will be the 3-way split,maybe nintendo edging the share because of price and first party,i also think MS might lead the gen if nintendo slip up,so basically i haven't got a clue,it will depend a lot on online services and how they keep/please those customers with services